Baccarat Marigny De Grilleau + Baccarat

Marigny De Grilleau + Baccarat

This topic will be about imbalance based upon - math & probability models - and is up to each punter to make their own conclusions.

Cheers

Sputnik The Gambler

 

Hi Patrik

I assume you will be discussing this on this current thread?

 

Yes, now Banker and Player have the value one each, but they do not have any boundaries.
If we base our observations upon - The Law Of Series - we can clearly know with some degree of certainty that some events will show in the future.

I will start with singles versus larger series.

Universal Rule 1

The probability dictates that the imbalance should be within 50 hands, if not then you might face a long slow delay.
For example, if you have singles and a series of two and a series of three.
Occasional a series of four.
Then you might have a 3.0 STDV staying at that level and slowly grow stronger with no real correction/regression.
The probability dictates that if you have a tight imbalance, then the likelihood is a rapid or normal correction/regression in the future.

Universal Rule 2

The imbalance has to occur within the first 100 hands so you can resolve the correction/regression with the 200 future outcomes.

Note:

If you have unlimited time and open hours at your local casino you can decide for your self to apply - Universal Rule 2 - or just skip it.
This is the basic, next I will post the different ways to explore - Playing Models - based upon Math and Probability.

Cheers

Sputnik The Gambler

 

Here is the Playing Modells.

Next, I will add the Z-Score Sheet so you can make your own dummy charts.
And you can use any sequence you like.
You can use a road map and bet against any combination you decide before you start playing.
For example 14 versus 2 in any combination or 12 versus 2 in any combination or any other combo.
You can use 3 or 2.5 STDV windows or lower, the only thing you have to remember is the number of overrepresented events versus underrepresented events.
There is no need to bring a calculator with you to the casino

Singles contra larger series

When you get a window of events with singles and a series of two reaching a 2.5 or 3.0 STDV.
Then this independent window is the starting point, now we know that somewhere between 3.0 and 5.24 there will be correction/regression.
One simple march by Marigny is to bet after the +1 result where the correction/regression begins.
There are different ways to when and where to start the attack.

Singles has the value of 1
Series of two has the value of 0
Series of three has the value of 1
Series of four has the value of 2
Series of five has the value of 3
Series of six has the value of 4
And so it continues ...

Series of two has the value of 1
Series of three has the value of 0
Series of four has the value of 1
Series of five has the value of 2
Series of six has the value of 3
Series of seven has the value of 4
And so it continues ...

I don't mention series of three versus larger series or higher figuers.
You get the point.

This is how you calculate with a calculator.

The French word for STDV is Ecart.

First, you have to get the Absolute Ecart when you calculate.
So let's assume you have a sequence with 14 series alternating with 2 singles present.

Then you take 14 - 2 = 12

Now we want to get the statistical Ecart so we continue with...

14 + 2 = 16

Now we take the sqr of 16 = 4

And finally, we divide the absolute Ecart whit the sqr

12 sqr 4 = 3,00

The Statistical Ecart 3,00

Attach Excel Sheet for the Z-Score

That way you can play around with different values and make your won dummy charts.

Cheers

Sputnik The Gambler

 

Playing Modells

Singles contra series

Singles has the value of 1
Series has the value of 1

Series contra singles

Series has the value of 1
Singles has the value of 1

Note:

You can apply any model to one side only.

Cheers

Sputnik The Gambler

 

Each BS should have a confirmation of the bet that in the 1/3 areas of the main road statistically precisely 75% of the results take place in the 1/3 zone or in any case the vast majority

 

You can also use another +1 method when it is a result to the right and - 1 when it is down, calculating the different flow for Banker and player, and in the case of +2 or more +3... in the count you can point the opposite, to in the case of - 2 or less - 3.. We continue with the trend of the last release, but still keeping the counts separate for banker and player

 

Yes, I agree, but I use The Law Of Series because of my own theory.
A window with a medium or strong imbalance is like a vacuum pressure.
The question is not - IF - the larger series will unfold, the question is when.

There are different scenarios.

1) One can wait for a window of imbalance and then bet there will be regression (like the OG topic).
2) The other option is to wait for one imbalance and bet when there is a real indication for regression.

Cheers

Sputnik The Gambler