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Roulette Your prediction about "Roulette systems" in the next 20 years?

Discussion in 'Roulette Forum' started by precogm, Jan 13, 2020.

  1. Nathan Detroit

    Nathan Detroit Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Those cats forgot roulette and consider the date when an old man kicks the bucket.
     
  2. TurboGenius

    TurboGenius Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Occupation:
    Self proclaimed Theoretical Philosopher
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    You and Benas should learn how to read charts, and some math. Just an opinion.
    Life expectancy according to your posted chart for a 91 year old man is 3.75 years.
    That would mean you had a 1 in 3.75 chance of being right based on your data.
    Not a very impressive "prediction" regardless.
    I predict Dozen 1 will show next - I win ! Not really a prediction is it ?
    Anyway, none of this is relevant to the topic - go on predicting that incredibly old people will die soon
    if that's what makes you happy.
     
  3. TurboGenius

    TurboGenius Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    According to your same chart - only 12.322% of people make it to 92 (12,322 people per 100,000)
    Being that he was 91 when you "predicted", you had a 87.678% of being right.
    Anyway... carry on.
     
  4. Kairomancer

    Kairomancer Active Member

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    Thank you my friend for the sound advice. Maybe you should apply it yourself as well.

    Let's see what I have got:
    Please read this again a second time and just think about it.

    a Probability of dying within one year.
    b Number of survivors out of 100,000 born alive.

    Note: The period life expectancy at a given age for 2017 represents the average number of years of life remaining if a group of persons at that age were to experience the mortality rates for 2017 over the course of their remaining life
     
  5. Nathan Detroit

    Nathan Detroit Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Did you factor in the Wuhan virus ?
     
  6. Kairomancer

    Kairomancer Active Member

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    Indeed. That is an average number. Your math would be correct if we could know it with certainty that in 3,75 years he would die.
    Nope, the same principle applies as above.

    It was not a public threat at the time of the prediction.

    I can see what you did here.
    Given your condescending attitude, correcting your mistakes is what makes me happy.
     
  7. Kairomancer

    Kairomancer Active Member

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    Please forgive my bluntness. I should not be disrespectful with you. My false ego pride got me carried away.
    One day we may arrive to similar conclusions. Take care.
     
    Last edited: Nov 7, 2020

  8. Benas

    Benas Active Member

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    I found in your writings many elementary math mistakes.
    I even think that you will not solve many math tasks which are for 6-8th class. If you feel very strong in math we can do such a test, I will write the task from the school problem book, and if you will not solve I will post a scan from the book where I took and will be clear from which class is that task. The same you can do to me and we will see who solves tasks better ...
     
  9. precogm

    precogm Active Member

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    Seeing the latest posts on this forum I think many believe they have found the holy grail and the search is finally over.

    Although I'm yet to see any demonstration.

    I guess that answers my original post, and on and on we go.
     
  10. Klausy

    Klausy Member

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    I’d like that post if I had a like button.
     

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