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Roulette Ask Me Anything About Betting the EC's (Even Chances)

Discussion in 'Roulette Forum' started by SPIKE, Dec 9, 2021.

  1. gizmotron

    gizmotron Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Yes, we should never meet. I won't make the effort but you can.
     
  2. gizmotron

    gizmotron Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    • Violation of Rule #1: Be Respectful
    Yep, I trained for years to kill with just my bare hands. In fact I started down that road as a means to self defense. I came to the conclusion that self defense I was being taught was to kill. So I stopped. It was not me. But deep down in my childhood I react badly to being lied about. It's in my DNA. I have the skill. You have made me have a reason to kill. So it is me after all. From now on you can just drop dead. You don't have to stop off and eat shit on the way too. Did you ever think that you would run into a person like me? I wonder how many fanaticize doing something about you bet never have the nerve? If I can climb some of the big walls of Yosemite without a rope do you really think that I'm kidding? Death has been on my mind for decades. I just never wanted to make it fun for others. You are a fun person. Come on over. I will show you a time you won't be able to forget.
     
  3. TwoUp

    TwoUp Well-Known Member

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    I think you are seeing random walk behavior and nothing that is not explained by variance.

    The variance over 50,000 spins is:
    50,000 × 18/37 × 19/37 = 12490
    Standard deviation is √(12490) = 111

    So well within 2 standard deviations which is ± 222 with 95% confidence.

    I would want to be testing more than 50k spins as there is not a clear drift upward
     
  4. David Gregory

    David Gregory Active Member

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    I continued the same session to 423 spins but switched to the Marty at spin 346. The big drop-down you see, well, I have an excuse for that but I won't say why here. Anyhow, I still hit on the 6th step. The Marty sure seems to do well with my bet selection. The graph is attached below. There is definately something to this and I think it can be refined further. Maybe a good understanding of Penney's game and applied accordingly.
     

    Attached Files:

  5. TwoUp

    TwoUp Well-Known Member

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    More intimidation. And by your own admission you're not kidding, so the threat is real then.

    The admins really should terminate your account.
     
  6. gizmotron

    gizmotron Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    I'm very glad you used the word terminate. You see things the way that I do.
     
    thereddiamanthe likes this.
  7. gizmotron

    gizmotron Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    BTW, how do you know they are real. You make up lies from assumptions. You believe they are real. I might just be lying to you.
     

  8. David Gregory

    David Gregory Active Member

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    Below is a graph of 110 spins betting opposite of my strategy.
     

    Attached Files:

  9. SPIKE

    SPIKE Well-Known Member

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  10. Dr. Sir Anyone Anyone

    Dr. Sir Anyone Anyone Well-Known Member Lineage to Founders

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    David,

    Nope, not a chance that's the opposite.

    You need to bet the same number of numbers, etc, and run the same progression while betting the opposite pattern.

    Once you do this, you'll realize that your patterns are worthless.
     
    Last edited: Jul 10, 2022
  11. David Gregory

    David Gregory Active Member

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    The patterns are not worthless, they are priceless. They do exactly as expected. I am not betting numbers, I am betting black and Red. And yes, that was a session of betting exactly opposite of the way I normally bet. 327 sessions of playing my strategy to a win of 64 units or bust, I never encountered a loss as that graph shows.

    Now I am going to ask to do something that I think is impossible for you. Offer something possitive, something we can use and apply for the good. I am a betting man and I will bet that you cannot do that.
     
  12. SPIKE

    SPIKE Well-Known Member

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    Why do you bother, he's never going to do it correctly and even if he did he would not believe the results because he thinks he has the Holy Grail. He has Holy Grail Mania that can only be cured by several trips to a real Casino betting real money. He needs to jump in his Lincoln or his Mercedes and leave his mansion for a few hours and withdraw $10,000 from the million he has in the bank and go to a real Casino. Snicker..
     
  13. David Gregory

    David Gregory Active Member

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    Oh, by the way I forgot to mention, you do not have a clue about why my strategy works. so the best thing for you is to worry about your own strategies and not mine. Show me your strategy (if you even have one) that you play 327 sessions to a win of 11,000 units. If you can do that, I may give some validity to the things you say.
     
  14. David Gregory

    David Gregory Active Member

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    Very good suggestion telling Dr. Sir not to bother. You should do the same thing and stop wasteing your time replying to my posts. I don't give a shit what you have to say anyway. And I have another real good suggestion for you, stop replying to TwoUp's posts, you sound like a real moronic idiot.
     

  15. TwoUp

    TwoUp Well-Known Member

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  16. TwoUp

    TwoUp Well-Known Member

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    Caleb aka Snowman aka Dr Sir AA uses physical wheel bias to inform his bet selection. From what I have gathered he probably has forgotten more than many know about tracking wheels for opportunity and profit.

    That said, he takes a certain long term view with respect to the math, and we have butted heads numerous times and don't always see eye to eye in how that applies in the short game.

    With his perspective on the game he struggles to accept there is any other way, in particular systems players because the payout is short vs the number of pockets so how does one actually overcome that unless there is a physical explanation.

    And thats fair enough, he has a working approach from all accounts so he can fairly challenge approaches that have no explanation or basis for the perceived advantage being claimed.
     
  17. David Gregory

    David Gregory Active Member

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    Physical wheel bias, does that even exist anymore? I think that ceased about the same time Elvis did. If that's even a strategy, you can count me out traveling around the country to find that one in a million. Everything else you said regarding Dr. Sir, fair enough.
     
  18. Dr. Sir Anyone Anyone

    Dr. Sir Anyone Anyone Well-Known Member Lineage to Founders

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    David,

    Follow the logic here, if you can.

    The number of pockets on the wheel determines the probability of winning in the random game. Correct???
    If the number of pockets remains the same from one spin to the next, then why would one EC be more likely than another EC to hit on the next spin or the next series of spins?

    Which of the following is true?

    1. Magic?
    2. The wheel has memory?
    3. The RNG function on your game is corrupt?
    4. None of the above, each EC bet has the same chance of hitting on the next spin?
     
  19. TwoUp

    TwoUp Well-Known Member

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    • Violation of Rule #1: Be Respectful
    But apparently your holy grail edumacted guessing is ok.

    You need to jump in your Nissan Sunny, leave the trailer park, cash in a few food stamps and visit a real casino.
     
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  20. David Gregory

    David Gregory Active Member

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    Number 4 would be my answer for sure. It doesn't matter that the next bet on EC has an equal chance. My strategy is based on the probility of patterns that WILL and MUST form. I keep track of the patterns that are showing up more than usulal. I notice if the the session is producing an unusal number of streaks longer than 3. I keep track of patterns that are not showing up as often as they should. It is a fact that only 3 different patterns are produced. With my observations of what's going on, I bet accordingly. And with a 6-step Martingale I have 6 chances to get it right. Very rarely do I place a bet past the 4th step. If you look at any of my session graphs, you will notice a steady climb with minimal drop downs.
     

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