Baccarat Progressions

Yes the D'Alembert is the backbone of a lot of progressions and their variations. I use a variation. But since you can't win more hands than lose it will ultimately fail.

 

Bets results -> +1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -2 -3 -3 +3..

what progression you would suggest for these results?

 

If you get 10 consecutive losses in a row you should work about your bet selection and not trying to find out solutions with progressions.

Moreover, it's completely unsound to raise the bets in the middle of a losing streak, this is the main reason why most players quit the table broke.

as.

 

55, member: 821"]If you get 10 consecutive losses in a row you should work about your bet selection and not trying to find out solutions with progressions.

Moreover, it's completely unsound to raise the bets in the middle of a losing streak, this is the main reason why most players quit the table broke.

as.[/QUOTE] I guess that's a typo? You must mean worry about your bet selection?

Lots of people consider three in a row a streak. I know people who would stop after losing three in a row and wait for a win before proceeding. My experience is generally that turns out to be a wash except those times when you do run into long losing streaks like above.

So if you do that it will prevent what could become a real black swan event. But then LLLWLLLWLLLW can also foil you!

J

 

I'll add something else since this is my thread. You really can't expect to win with a thirty percent strike rate like above. But consider that above you just lost only fourteen units. The casino now owes you a lot of wins. You now need a plan. There's lots of ways. But one way would be just to flat bet using a unit size your bankroll can afford. It's just a matter of time before you get up into at least the 47% strike rate which could get you even depending upon the unit size or close to something you can handle and restart.

J

 

10+ losses in a row is normal variance in a near 50:50 game. It is inevitable. No bet selection can prevent it.

 

Problem is win rate must be above 50%. Below 50% your bets escalate very quickly.

 

10+ losses in a row is uncommon. Good bet selection can cut down the frequency of the long losing streaks.

 

Btw, casinos do not owe a fkng nothing to us: thinking otherwise belongs to one of the many Gambler Fallacies that apply to every living soul but to those who like sailing.

as.

 

We are owed a fair game. So At some point in time, you can expect and will get, at minimum, the expected value of each game providing one has the bankrol to achieve such.

Hahaha. Some people in the past wondered why the Baccarat game take was 20% in a 1% game! Well, reason is most people didn't lose 20%. They lost 100%. Ha ha ha.

 

I agree it's uncommon but also inevitable. We tend to remember that many losses in a row. At least I do. Recently i've lost eleven in a row and ten in a row. And yes that's very unusual. I recall losing twelve in a row once in blackjack and and twelve, eleven and ten in a row in Baccarat a few years back. Funny they all came within a short time.

It's possible and what I don't remember is maybe leaving a game losing 5 or 6? And then starting a new game losing 5 or 6. So that would qualify but I don't remember those.

But I agree that bet selection does matter.

 

@Jimske we were in Cartagena one week and there was a nice little casino downtown we went to a few times. I felt like a high roller because the exchange rate was something like 4300 pesos: $1. The minimum bet was 5,000P so to show off, I was betting 25,000P lol. I kid you not with my wife as my witness, I either pushed or lost 23 consecutive hands. And I’d say at most 5 of those were pushes. Never seen anything like it. Fortunately it was less than $100 but had I been playing $25 hands in the US and lost 18 hands in a row, I would have been sick to my stomach.

The point is that these long losing streaks happen and more often than you’d think. Unfortunately I’m blackjack you can’t alter your bet selection.

 

Can you use your software for this?

 

In trading and sports, you average a couple of units each month.
The main question is to not believe in a quick fix and understand that a game of chance is a marathon race with no ending.

The money part is easy when you have a positive expectation or a positive return on investment.
It does not matter if you make 1,2,3 units each game, as you only need to scale up the unit size.

And casino games and sports trading on the exchanges face the same problem with limits.
Casino games have table limits and the exchange might not have a current turnaround with money in the specific market to take the bet.

Cheers

 

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89
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When you make a profit, go back to square one

 

Keep on betting win or lose? Suppose you lose

11 W1 you are down -1. Do you move to 2? This is similar to how I play only I do best of three bets with some other enhancements.

 

move down, return to the beginning by +1 unit or more

 

this is the extended fibonacci sequence

 

Well i am not sure if you got it right - this is the extended fibo

1
1,5
2
2,5
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4
5
6,5
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10,5
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27,5
34

 

Here's a blast from the past twelve years ago from GLC. A modified D'Alembert.

Do your homework. Pick a difficult registry and compare it against others like the extended fibo above and Chingy.

I still like the idea of stopping at three losses and wait for a win. You still get burned once in a while with LLLWLLLW but not too often.