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Baccarat Betting singles or doubles

Discussion in 'Baccarat Forum' started by Ezmark, May 21, 2022.

  1. Ezmark

    Ezmark Member

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    Betting a single or double can win 75%... There is a bacic flaw in this logic. I see it occasionally throughout forms. Can someone explain to me why this is not a correct assumption?
     
    Last edited: May 21, 2022
  2. TwoUp

    TwoUp Well-Known Member

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    Singles represent half the results, doubles and above represent the other half.

    Probability tells us that a single result is 50/50 or 1/2, doubles/2iar is half again (probability to get a double is 1/2 × 1/2 = 25%) triples/3iar is half again (1/2 × 1/2 × 1/2 = 12.5%), 4iar is half again (1/2 × 1/2 × 1/2 × 1/2 = 6.25%), and so on.

    Add up all the streak probabilities and you get 50%.
     
  3. porky

    porky Active Member

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    It is a correct assumption. The issue is when something comes to balance. With the game being 50 50 half of all decisions have to be singles. And if you start looking at your shoes played it will generally be true - + one way or the other in a series of shoes.
    The thing is when do they balance out or if they will while you're playing.
    One player took a few of what he called his signature plays and tracked their hitting and missing over several games. Developed a game around them disappearing and making a comeback or getting hot. He also would drop under performing plays and install a new one into his game. Very slow and tedious game. Better than singles because of less volatility. Where he came off short was making postings of plays claiming hit rates above 50 percent. There is no such play. Now he may have meant that when he bets he's hitting above 50 percent. That I would believe.
    The only thing I can say is if you're looking to play singles good luck. Some are successful doing it and others fall by the wayside. You may have a better chance with doubles. A lot of people claim that's their play. But again you have to play them when hitting. And doubles do make up 25 percent of all decisions.
     
  4. Ezmark

    Ezmark Member

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    Thank you TwoUp and porky .
     
  5. Ezmark

    Ezmark Member

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    Greetings:
    Recently I went to a casino to play Baccarat, the first time in many months..
    My heart wasn't in it.. been awhile..

    Only one other player on the table. Then I was the only player.. So I bet only Banker every hand to run out the shoe.. I found this to be more relaxing and fun more so than all the tracking and book work I normally do at the tables..

    I did not win and did not loose much in total.. I left after about 3 hours..and had a 2 hour drive to home.. I had somewhat of an empty feeling after this trip that wasn't interesting or exciting.. Back now to a normal life .. My lawn is in need of a cutting..
     
    Last edited: Jul 13, 2022
    Punkcity likes this.
  6. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Troll tag team one accounts head , Skipptophia.
    Lol, maybe next time try this little exercise.

    As you drive to the casinoverse next time, take all your cash ( your budgeted casinoverse bankroll for this session) out of your wallet and put it in an envelope, then seal it. Keep it on the seat or centre console. Look at it often as you do your two hour drive to the casinoverse. Hopefully it is a sizeable wad of cash , if it’s just 200 to 500 euros/dollars change it to the smallest note denom your country allows.

    As you drive pick up that wad of cash in that envelope, appreciate the weight and the feeling of that wad in your hand, it’s truly wonderful tell yourself this as you drive. Feel and appreciate it often during your journey to the casinoverse. Don’t think about winning or losing, methodologies or even about the colour of the ink of your pen that you use to record the shoe, think nothing of the games you may or may not play.

    Just you , the drive and the wad of cash in an envelope on the seat or in your hand.

    As you get to the casinoverse DONT go to the car park or park on the street, what you are going to do is drive right up to the entrance ( legally of course) wind down your window and simply take that wad of cash ,envelope and all , and throw out that window.

    Then wind your window back up and drive away back home.

    It’s a rush and depending on the time of day you may even hit someone or not.

    Enjoy your travel home.
    Cheers
     
    TwoUp likes this.
  7. Ezmark

    Ezmark Member

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    Ha ! Yes absolutely. I will try this next time... This would make an excellent YouTube post, if I were a YouTube poster.

    If I borrow my friend's two-seater red BMW convertible that would, you know, be an attention getter. I wouldn't want to throw an envelope of cash out of the window and no one pay attention, other than a security guard to give me a citation for littering.
    And I hopefully can find an attractive accessory to ride in the co-pilot seat .. If my friend's younger attractive wife is to busy to come along .

    Maybe I should also make a couple laps under the front door canopy before actually throwing out the cash...and burn a couple of donuts at the entrance... you know I really want to get my money's worth.
     
    Last edited: Jul 19, 2022
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  8. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Ezmark I have been where you are in life regarding gambling and I will try to help.

    This is a little bit advanced where your aim is to create LEVERAGE TO PUSH FOR MORE USING REGRESSION.
    Is 100% mechanical rules and affordable with low bankroll requirements.
    Your aim is to win twice with each attempt and your goal is to win exact +4 units for each session, set and forget.

    Session bankroll is 90 Euro with a 10 Euro stake.
    Progression 1 1 1 1 2 3 where you aim to win twice.
    If you win at any point using the progression you regress down one step.
    And there is a count system for that approach.

    So you wait for B or P to show and play for a single.
    If you lose then you apply the progression.
    So singles acumulate wins and series force you to use the progression.

    When you have won one session +4 units you move to another game or table which allows lower stakes.
    For example, if you are in a real casino you might have a baccarat table with a 10 Euro minimum.
    Then playing 5 Euro you might need to move over to an Airball machine (Roulette) or a Craps Table.
    Online is no problem to find baccarat tables at 1 Euro minimum so 10 and 5 Euro minimum is no problem.

    So the idea is to hit +4 units and then lower your bet size by half and operate with casino money.
    The +4 units are your LEVERAGE to win real money at a lower phase.
    This way you might be able to stay above the surface of the water without busting and losing money.

    Here are 20 RNG sessions to win and achieve LEVERAGE.
    And as you can see that alone manage to win more than you lose.
    Imagine that each +4 unit session would generate more money.

    Code:
    1. +4
    2. +4
    3. +4
    4. +4
    5. -8
    6. +4
    7. +4
    8. +4
    9. +4
    10. -5
    11. +4
    12. +4
    13. +4
    14. +4
    15. +4
    16. -9
    17. +4
    18. +4
    19. +4
    20. +4
    
    I am bad at explaining strategies so I will upload a video for you to watch and see the betting behaviour.
    Hope this clears your questions.
    I use a Roulette simulator without zero to illustrate the betting process.

     
    Last edited: Jul 20, 2022
    Rond1nell1 likes this.
  9. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    This system is designed to lose less and still have the luxury to play.
    That's all Ezmark.

    Cheers
     
  10. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Troll tag team one accounts head , Skipptophia.
    Lol
    Pick a good viby sound track to blear out of car speakers maybe Malibu by Kim petras? Or wild child by iggy pop. Forget the donuts, just peel off a big fat bit of rubber as you do a burnout out of there. Nice work love your style. Lol. Cheers
     
  11. twibble

    twibble Member

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    if you win twice 1,1,1,1,2,3 you are still down 1 nearly all the time then if you run into 6,7,6 for instance you quickly lose money. would it not be better on a loss to wait for the next single to appear?
    ie. p, b win, p, p stop p,p,p,p,p,p,p,p,b,b, stop b,b,p,b win
     
  12. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    twibble - is only for entertainment - feel free to change it and do what you feel is better -

    Cheers
     
  13. Ezmark

    Ezmark Member

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  14. Ezmark

    Ezmark Member

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    Thank you Sputnik for the information ..
    I've been on the job and soon will have the time to study the process ..
    I don't take it for granted because I know how difficult it is to develop a process. Thank you.
     

  15. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Ezmark remember is only for entertainment and have some fun at the tables.
    Make sure you can afford a 90 Euro loss.

    Cheers
     
  16. Rond1nell1

    Rond1nell1 Active Member

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    Why did you take your other videos off the internet?
     

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