Casino Positive return after 6 months of paper bets. Am I wrong or is this a goldmine? Need help.

Hi, this is results of my 6 months of paper bet. So either i'm wrong on maths, or i'm sitting on gold mine over a long run???? Only down side of this is hard grind, you literally have to stay 11-12 hours behind screen and wait for right moment to step in. I writted here not to brag about it, but I want to be sure my maths are correct and I can actually to start play with real bankroll.

Game is based on chance. Payouts are 1 to 1.
Odds to win is 46%
Odds to lose is 46%
Tie 07% - pays out half of your bet.
House edge is 0.037%

1st month played 26 days. 10 shoes a day. ( +- 11 hours a day )
Total played hands: 2766
Total win hands: 2272
Total lost hands: 494
Result: 1778 points of profit (1$ stake)
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2nd month played 20 days. 10 shoes a day.
Total played hands: 1946
Total win hands: 1597
Total lost hands: 349
Result: 1248 points of profit (1$ stake)
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3rd month played 22 days. 10 shoes a day.
Total played hands: 2342
Total win hands: 1781
Total lost hands: 561
Result: 1220 points of profit (1$ stake)
--------------------------------------
4th month played 20 days. 10 shoes a day.
Total played hands: 1616
Total win hands: 1137
Total lost hands: 479
Result: 658 points of profit (1$ stake)
--------------------------------------
5th month played 26 days. 10 shoes a day.
Total played hands: 3030
Total win hands: 2165
Total lost hands: 865
Result: 1300 points of profit (1$ stake)
--------------------------------------
6th month played 24 days. 10 shoes a day.
Total played hands: 2993
Total win hands: 2312
Total lost hands: 681
Result: 1631 points of profit (1$ stake)

===========================================
Total results 6 months period.
Total played hands: 14693
Total win hands: 11264
Total lost hands: 3429
Result: 7835 points of profit (1$ stake)

 

14693 wagers is a small sample. If you were betting every hand, for example, it would be about 200 shoes.

I would say try betting online for real with the smallest unit for a few months to see if it holds up. Then increase the bet size as you gain confidence. Using a larger bankroll than you think you will need would be best in case the drawdown turns out to be worse than you expect. Good luck.

 

I usually play around 20-30 hands in one shoe, and one shoe has around 165-170 hands. I'm still in kind of shock, because we all know that you can't beat casino... So, either I was lucky for 6 months or is it actually works, and you can beat casino at them on game, or my maths was wrong? I will continue to do a paper bet for another few months before I start with real bankroll. By the way thanks for reply.

 

You are welcome. Your plan sounds like a good one. When you bet with real money, that will be the real test. Sometimes there are things that crop up in actual betting that you don't anticipate when paper testing. I wish you good fortune in your endeavour.

 

Query, what joint are ya buckin up against that pony up baccarats shoe what give ya 165-170 hands per shoe, hey hey????

 

It is not baccarat. It is similar version of it, it called dragon tiger.

 

House edge on that is 3.73%, pretty high. Tie provides the house edge. On tie you lose half of the bet that you placed on dragon or tiger.

Hopefully that is how you are testing. +1 on a win, -1 on a loss, -0.5 on tie.

 

.............then why was this post in reference to Baccarat ? `

Tje post was off topic right from the beginning . . Just to draw attention ?

A post by Pinkcity ,actually the second one gad been deleted by someone .

Nothing offensive in that post only a reference to the Nigerian Prince .

Punk apparently smelled something .

correction Punkcity.

 

Any news about Princes Myrtle of Nigeria ? She is in charge of the holy grail section .

 

Still, if yer gettin to eyeball 170 hand/decision per shoe, so how many deck are these shoe yer buckin up against, hey hey????

 

Each side is only dealt one card per decision, higher card wins. Six decks I think.

 

Casino War is similar. If you play Casino War and always surrender (never go to war), it would be about the same game. See below.

https://wizardofodds.com/play/casino-war/

 

I find your winning v losing hands extremely in favour of yourself. I am not familiar with that game, but from my experience, winners usually favour the house. Beware the 'sucker pull' of free virtual games. When you play with real money, you may find those odds you had, 'mysteriously' change in favour of the house! Gamblers may win on free games, which casinos use to suck in the unsuspecting. When gamblers play with real money, the game odds change. Sad, but true.

Also, when you play for real, you may not be able to avoid playing each hand? Food for thought.

 

I love casino games

 

46+46+7=99
Where's the other 1%?
House edge: move your decimal two places to the left
Cheers,
Alan Shank