Baccarat Sputnik's Baccarat Corner

Here is a tweak with March 1

Singles versus Series

Gives another approach using 1/3

333 W
332 W
331 W
323 W
313 W
322 W
311 W
321 W
312 W

222 W
223 W
221 W
232 W
212 W
233 W
211 W
231 W
213 W

111 LLL
113 LLW
112 LLW
133 LW
122 LW
121 LW
131 LW
123 LW
131 LW

Look at these results

WWLWWLLWLLWW LLL LWWLWWW LLL LWWLLWWWLWWLLWWWLLWWWWLWLWLLWLLWLWWLLW LLL LWWLLW LLL WLLWLWWLWLWLWWWWWWLLWWLLWWLW LLL WWWWLLWWLLWLWWWWWLWWWLWLLWLWWWW

Dispersion and imbalance would be twelve versus two or fourteen versus two which would be a 2,5/3,0 STD.
It happens rarely.

Is tempting to use this approach.

Code:

221 W
313 W
121 LW
313 W   
113 LLW   
112 LLW   
121 W   
111 LLL   
123 LW  
211 W  
132 LW   
222 W  
313 W  
111 LLL   
131 LW  
211 W   
112 LLW   
211 W   
311 W   
132 LW   
213 W  
112 LLW  
331 W   
211 W   
113 LLW   
221 W   
222 W   
311 W  
132 LW   
132 LW  
112 LLW  
112 LLW.   
121 LW   
231 W   
112 LLW  
111 LLL   
122 LW  
321 W   
113 LLW  
111 LLL   
313 W  
113 LLW   
121 LW   
231 W   
131 LW  
121 LW   
132 LW   
311 W  
311 W   
212 W   
322 W   
113 LLW   
231 W   
112 LLW
233 W
133 LW   
111 LLL  
311 W  
312 W   
311 W  
312 W   
112 LLW  
333 W   
112 LLW  
123 LW   
332 W  
231 W  
311 W  
231 W   
121 LW  
211 W   
232 W   
131 LW   
113 LLW   
131 LW   
233 W   
213 W   
213 W 

Cheers

 

They have identical results - singles versus series - & - series versus singles - this just proves there are as many of both -

March 1 Variant 1

LWWWWWWLWW LLL LWWWLWWLWLWWLWWLLWLWWLLW LLL LWWWWWWLLWWWWLLWWWLWWWLLWWWWLWLWLW LLL WLLWW LLL WWLWLWLWLWW LLL WW LLL LLWLWLLWWLW LLL WWW LLL LWLW

March 1 Variant 2

WWLWWLLWLLWW LLL LWWLWWW LLL LWWLLWWWLWWLLWWWLLWWWWLWLWLLWLLWLWWLLW LLL LWWLLW LLL WLLWLWWLWLWLWWWWWWLLWWLLWWLW LLL WWWWLLWWLLWLWWWWWLWWWLWLLWLWWWW

Cheers

 

When I look at these LW-Registrys I can see how following the LLL sequence would perform well and after the first loss switch back.
That would give a pretty solid way to play on a rolling basis.

But all combinations have their Black Swan so even this one but is a start.

There is a point when to hold a bet and wait for a fictive win so the march within the march would look like this when translating the output into decision-making.

1) Bet on a rolling basis until three losses, then bet the losses will continue, and if yes, continue until the first loss and then start over betting on a rolling basis.
2) Bet on a rolling basis until three losses, then bet the losses will continue, and if no,, switch back and bet on a rolling basis.

3) If both 1 & 2 fail you have LLL W LLL and can continue repeating, option wait for a fictive win and then start over with 1 & 2 or do nothing and stick with 1 & 2.

I can not come up with a better solution at the moment, but after some reflection, there might come up with other solutions.

Cheers

 

March 1 - winning two in a row -

You wait for three groups with a series of two then attack until you get two groups with no series of two.

WLWW
WLWW
WLWW
WLWLWLWLWLWW
WLLWLLLWW
LWW
LWW
WLWW
WW
WLLWLLLL

- - -

LWLLWW
LWLWW
LWW
WW
WW
LLWLLLL

- - -

WLLLWLL

- - -

WLWW
LLWLWW
LLWW
WW
WLLWLWLWL

- - -

WLWLWW
WW
LWW
WLLWLLLWL

- - -

Code:

122
312
221
322 wlww
321 wlww
321 wlww
333 wlwlwl
332 wlwlww
313 wllwl
112 llww
121 lww
122 lww
321 wlww
211 ww
313 wllwl
111 lll
132
133
233
211
113
112
221
312
131 lwll
233 ww
132 lwlww
121 lww
213 ww
212 ww
113 llwl
111 lll
121
112
222
311 wll
131 lwll
133
213
131
131
111
111
321
312
321
321 wlww
113 llwl
232 ww
112 llww
231 ww
311 wll
333 wlwlwl
211
322
332
332 wlwlww
221 ww
122 lww
313 wllwl
113 llwl

 

Hello, AsymBacGuy and Jimskey and all ...
The following is as close or near science approach you can get with math and probability, to tackle even money bets.

This playing model is Singles versus larger series.
I show the imbalance and the regression so you all can make the same observations as me.

I use random org exclusively so no one can argue about true values and curve fitting.

Regression towards the mean - Variants 1 & 2

First, I want to mention that this is not how you bet, this is how you observe regression towards the mean.
How it behaves and unfolds in real life with random bits from random org.
We want to see the regression’s behaviour as small, medium and large chunks of correction.

Variant 1

We can get a series of three with no larger series and still the STD will drop and get weaker as they strike several times in a row, regression towards the mean.
Here we are interested in the gaps between the series of three and the opposite to that, the series of two, with no value, to show us the gaps between strikes and no strikes (value and no value).

So to visualise this, I will use a plus sign for a series of three ( + ) and a minus sign for a series of two ( - ).
And with larger series, we will get several plus signs in a row.

Variant 2

Here we get chunks of series of three and larger series to strike as part of regression towards the mean.
A mix of both.

So this is how I want to get a visual over the regression.
Where the main idea is to see how +1 value and beyond strike after a strong imbalance.
After some samples of visualisation, we can start to talk about how to approach and bet on regression using a predefine march to catch those attractive events.

 

Sequence 1 from TRNG (random org) 2023-04-05

Imbalance 3,15 STD

R
R
RR
R
R
RR
RR
R
RR
R
R
R
RR
RR
RR
R
RR
RR
RR
RRR
R
RRR
RR
R
R
R
R
RR
R
RR

- - - 15 singles versus 2 series of three
- - - Regression Unfold

3 series of three
2 series of four
1 series of five
1 series of seven
1 series of ten

- - -

RRRR
R
R
RR
RR
RR
RR
RRR
R
R
R
RRRRRRR
RR
RRRRRRRRRR
R
RRRR
RR
RR
RRR
RRRRR
RRR
R
RR
RR

Visualisation:

++
-
-
-
-
+
+++++
-
++++++++
++
-
-
+
+++
+
-
-

 

Sequence 2 from TRNG (random org) 2023-04-04

Imbalance 2,98 STD

RRR
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R
R

- - - 13 singles versus 1 series of three
- - - Regression Unfold

RRRR
RRR
RRR
R
R
RRR
R
R
R
RRRRRR
RR
R

Regression Events:

3 series of three
1 series of four
1 series of six

Visualisation:

++
+
+
+
++++
-

 

Sequence 3 from TRNG (random org) 2023-04-04

Imbalance 3,15 STD

B
B
B
B
BB
BB
BB
B
BBB
B
BB
B
B
B
BBB
BB
B
B
B
BB
BB
B
BB
B
BB
R
BB

- - - 15 singles versus 2 series of three
- - - Regression Unfold

BBB
BBB
BB
BB
B
B
BB
BB
B
B
BBBBB
B
B
B
B
BBBB
B
B
BBB

Regression Events:

3 series of three
1 series of four
1 series of five

Visualisation:

+
+
-
-
+++
++
+

 

Sequence 4 from TRNG (random org) 2023-04-04

Imbalance 3,15 STD

B
B
BB
B
B
B
B
BB
B
BBB
B
B
B
B
B
B
BB

- - - 13 singles versus 1 series of three
- - - Regression Unfold

BBBB
BBB
B
B
BBBBB
B
BBBBBB
B
BBBBB
B
BB

Regression Events:

1 series of three
1 series of four
2 series of five
1 series of six

Visualisation:

++
+
+++
++++
+++
-

 

Sequence 5 from TRNG (random org) 2023-04-05

Imbalance 3,15 STD

B
R
B
RR
B
R
B
RR
BB
R
B
RR
B
R
BB
RRR
B
RRR
B
R
BB
R
BB
R

- - - 15 singles versus 2 series of three
- - - Regression Unfold

BBBB
R
BB
R
B
R
BBB
R
BB
RR
BBBBBB
R
BB
RRR
B
RRRR
B
RR
BBB
R
B
R
B
R
B
BBB

Regression Events:

4 series of three
2 series of four
1 series of six

Visualisation:

++
-
+
-
-
++++
-
+
-
++
-
+
+

 

I got back to AsymBacGuy's W, LW, LL it is an excellent concept in many ways.
Also another method, flat betting 7500 outcomes with a 7,3% edge over the casino, works on baccarat and all other even money bets.
The Author made the system for another table game, but I succeeded in transforming it and getting it to work with even money bets.

But at the moment I don't feel like sharing as there is so little participation.

Cheers

 

Beat The Casino and Ellis is right about one thing that I can confirm to be a very solid approach.
And is in line with the AsymBacGuy approach (both ways) singles and strikes with the W, LW, and LL concepts.
Both end up with the same way to tackle the march which is almost the ultimate solution playing on a rolling basis.

I touch on this area before but used the wrong concept to achieve the right solution for a march on a rolling basis.
BTC talk about system 40 and F3 and I will show how they perform the same way as using the AsymBacGuy approach in both directions.

Now if you see a single you bet for singles and if you see a series of three you bet for strikes.
But is a bit more complex.

If you get a single you play singles and a series of two until two lose and you have a series of three.
If you have a series of three you play FTL until one single show and you will have two losses.
Now you switch back to singles and series of two.
If you start a show with neither and have a series of two, then they are neutral, so you don't bet until you have a single or a series of three.

Now I can prove this method is solid betting in both directions.
Is not working flat betting, but is a steady stream of winnings versus small chunks of losses.

Adding the principle of holding a bet when the tram goes against you is rare and almost not necessary where the largest group of loses chunks into pairs of four LL, LL,

Sample 1 of 2

LWWLWWLWLL
WLL
WWLWLL
LL
LWLWLL
WWWWWLL
WLWWLWLWLWLL
WWLWWWLWLWWLL
LWWWLL
WWLWWWLL
LWWLL
WWLWWLWLL
WLL
WLWWLL
LL
WLWLL
WWLWWLWWLWWLL
LWLWWWWLL
LL
WWWLWLL
WWWWLL
LWWWWWLWWWWWWLWWLL
WLWLWWWLL
WWLWWLWWWWWLL
LL
LWLL
WWWWLWLWLWLL
LWLL.
WLL
WLWLL
LWLWWLWWLWWLL
LL
LWLL
LL
WWWWLWLL
LWLWLWLWWLWWWWLWWWWWLWLWWLWWLWLL
LL
WWWWLL
WWLWLWLWLL
LWLL
LW

Sample 2 of 2

WWWLL
WLWWLL
LL
LL
LWWWLL
WLWLWWLL
LWWLL
LWWLWWLL
WLL
WLL
WLL
WWWWLWLWWLWWWLWWLL
LWWLL
LWLWWWLL
LWLWLWWWWWWWWWWLWLL
LWLL
WLL
LWLL
LL
LL
LWLWWWWWLWWWWLWLWWLWLWLWLWLWWWWWLL
LL
WWWWWWWWWWWWLL
LWLWWLL
WWWWLWLL
WWWWLL
LWLL
LL
WWLWWLWWLL
LL
LL
WLWWLL
WLL
LWWLL
LWWWLL
LWLL
LWLL
WLWLL
LL
WWLL
WWWWWWLL
LWWWLL
WLWLL
WLL
WLL
WWLWLL
LL
WWLL
LL
LL
WWLWL

 

One detail about NORM who used a loop of 12 up on a positive - if I remember correctly.
I notice that the LW chops are several between and within strikes so I try a 1 1,5 loop with very good results.

And I will quote one punter.

Press and pull when winning.
Hold a bet or bet small when losing.

I have forgotten about this, squeeze out as much we can when we win and keep a low profile when the tram goes against us.
This put me back to Brett Morton's excellent fund management.

Cheers

 

So waiting for 2 losses in a row before switching? The losing streak would be 3-2-3-2-3? Or 3-1-3-1-3?


BBBPPBBBPP?

or

BBBPBBBP?

 

I have not worked out the triggers yet but I will show you the two random walks passing each other.

The first random walk start after one single appears B P then you play for singles and a series of two B P B PP B P BB P B PP BB P B P B
until two losses and you get a series of three in a row BBB/PPP that gives us W, LW, LL

The second random walk starts after one series of three appears PPP and you bet it will strike PPPPP and you continue betting for series even if there is a loss PPPPP BBB PP BB follow the last until you get a switch and one single BBB PP BB P B that results with two loses LL and here you also have W, LW, LL.

Either one side is dominating or either one random walk is dominating.
And sometimes they switch between themself where you get at most two losses.

One more detail, staking 23 and a fourth bet 4 end up with +1 using a positive progression and also works as a loop 23.
The best of two worlds, not yet tested.

Here are two samples from random org 2023-04-10 and 2023-04-11
To the left random walk 1 to the right random walk 2 (LW-Registry)

They overlap nicely and when they strike you get several W and LW segments.

Code:

1
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W L   
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
1 L
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
2 W
1 W
1 L
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
2 W
1 W
1 L
2 W
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
1 L
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W L
1 W L
2 W
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W.
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
2 L
1 W
1 L
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W L
1 W L
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
2 L
2 L
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
1 L
1 L W
1 L W
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W L
1 W L
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W L
2 L W

Code:

1
2 W
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
1 L W   
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
1 L
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
1 L
1 L
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W   
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W    
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
2 W
1 W
1 L
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
2 W L   
1 W L   
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
1 L
2 W
1 W
1 L
2 W
1 W
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
1 L
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
1 L
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
2 W
2 L
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
2 W
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
2 L
2 L
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
2 L
2 L
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
1 L
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
1 L
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W L
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
2 L
1 W
1 L
1 L
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
2 L
1 W
2 W
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
2 W L
2 L W
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
1 L
1 L
1 L W
2 W L
1 W L
2 W
1 W
1 L
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W L
2 W L
1 W
2 W
2 L
2 L
1 W L
2 W L
2 L
2 L
2 L W
2 L W
1 W L
1 L W
2 W L

 

Hope that helps ...

Cheers