Baccarat Anti Streak Betting

Back in Vegas again. Going to play more AS theories and have some fun. I’ll keep you guys posted

hey @fathead I have a mathematical question I’d love to run past you

 

How do you calculate to 97%?

 

The probability of 4 or less is actually 93.75%. For 5 or less it’s 96.875%. But regardless soxfan is correct in that the overwhelming majority of streaks will be 4 or less.

 

Yes sir.

 

What"s better play when have PPPP B? Or P. Or bbbb P or same?

 

You mean
B
B
B
B
Bet --} B , win or lose bet B again ?

 

In commission Baccarat, B has 50.7% chance of winning, P has 49.3% chance of winning. It would be better to bet PPPP bet B.

 

@fathead Can you message me ?

 

PS; It Involves the need for data from your shoe files.

 

Wait PPPPP then Bet BL1BL2P....
Wait BBBBB then Bet PL1PL2B....
Streak of five has less negative expectation compare to 3 & 4

 

@walkingman
Man, This may make me sound dumb here; But I do not know those acronyms at all, I apologize. Are you saying to bet against the run twice and then switch?
- I agree with you on the seemingly less negatives that come from a streak of 5.

Random update: I have not chased my bets hardly at all this trip. What i have noticed, my play takes a lot longer ( haha ) but i'm not getting wiped out at all - so there's that. I know I could probably chase the bet a few rounds, and I have hear and there.
So far, Im still up and still a few more days.

 

Wait

Yes bet against L1 =lose 1 unit L2 lose 2 units then switch to follow for more action navigate more tables if possible.

 

True enough but that information doesn't help much flat betting.

 

What do you mean " I bet on 6 repetitions"? Would you mind giving an example of how that works. TIA

 

Im not sure what you mean here, please explain for me so that I am not misunderstanding.

So, as far as flat betting goes, I tried a new style yesterday ( new to me ) where I just flat bet against runs of 4 and 5. I had planned on only doing 5's. but i get impatient .
What I found was - I win more than I lose But, not as much monetarily as when I would chase my bets and double each time plus a unit or half unit. BUT - lol. the biggest issues I have chasing are: I can win decently ( more than I lose ) but the losses when they hit can really hurt. Even if i cut them at 3 losses in a row.

 

@GhOstrider. "Dyin' is easy. It's the living that's hard."

Some here have said that betting B against player four streak is a positive EV. The problem is there's as many 5+ in a row (IAR) as 4 IAR. That's why they call it a fifty fifty game even though bank wins more than player. Doesn't really matter which streak you choose.

As Fathead pointed out. B = 50.7% and P = 49.3%. So you have to change odds of winning by about one and a half percent on either B or P to gain even a small profit. Maybe 1 or 1.5 units per 100 trials.

There's no one here that can win this game without making some guessing- period.

Cheers

 

1. simply use mild MM such 1 2 1 2 3 3 OLD2F
2. simply use mild MM such 1 2 1 2 3 3 OLD2F

 

Quit the shoe always after +4 unitd

 

Just increase your base to recover past loses. just stick to +4 unit per table or whatever your situation arise. WW or WLW start over MM

 

The “impatience” is probably the very first thing above all else you should address.

I can tell you that the un checked impatience will lead to bankroll death that will come sooner, much much sooner than later. I say this of course regardless of the “system of selection or monetary scale” you use.

No , nothing overcomes the inability to be patient, nothing.
Good luck.