Baccarat Reversals

I wanted to test Reversals.
The worse drawdown in 60,000 placed bets - flat betting - was around 30 units - with no reversal.

I simulated 100 sessions.
I bet the opposite of the first outcome to get one reversal if a win +1.
If not then I continue until I get a reversal - break even with +0.
I set the limit to 300 trails, if no reversal, then there is a loss.
No house edge and pure 50/50.

44 Wins
55 Reversals
-20 One loss - no reversal in 300 trails where one side stays ahead at all times -

I attach the file.

 

Interesting bro. What do u mean by 300 trails? Thanks

 

Sputnik, I don't understand.

 

300 trails mean 300 outcomes

This is the details

You get one outcome and you have an imbalance.
One side is ahead.

Then you bet for an equalizer (reversal).
If you win you stop and the game is over.

If you lose, you have one side ahead with two outcomes.
Now you do nothing until you get a fictive win on the opposite side.

When you have a fictive win on the opposite side, the underrepresented side you bet twice (cycles of two) until you reach +0 or lose again.
Let's say you lose two bets, one cycle and still no equalizer (reversal) you wait for the next fictive win.
And you continue the loop until you reach break-even (both sides have equal outcomes).

Summary 99 reversals and 1 loss.

Philip Koetsch did simulate 60.000 outcomes where he used 100 outcomes samples.
See attachment

 

bb lose bbbb p(fictive win) p win b lose
bb -1 bbbb p 0 -1
bb -1 bbbb p 0 p win 1 up
bb-1 bbbb p(fictive win) b lose-1 p(fictive win) bbb lose -1 p(fictive win) b lose-1 (-4) p(fictive win) p real win -3 b lose -1 (-4)

bbbbpbpbbbpbppb correct yes/no and if you do win 2 in a row bppppppb what now start with the banker again and go opposite?
i hope this is clear.