1. Welcome to the #1 Gambling Community with the best minds across the entire gambling spectrum. REGISTER NOW!
  2. Have a gambling question?

    Post it here and our gambling experts will answer it!
    Dismiss Notice
  3. Discussions in this section are assumed to be EV- as they are outside of the Advantage Play section. For EV+ discussions, please visit the Advantage Play section.
    Dismiss Notice

Poker Trying to improve my hand ranging skills and math

Discussion in 'Poker Forum' started by kennyh, Mar 13, 2015.

  1. kennyh

    kennyh Guest

    I have a specific example, but I've been working to improve my opponent hand ranging. Specifically doing the math quickly on the spot.

    Example:
    $50 $85k gtd. On Bovada
    10k starting stack
    Hero on Button has 9300, villain UTG has 14500
    (History: I had folded to a check raise in roughly the same position 9 hands earlier.)

    Blinds 75-150,
    Villain raises to 330
    Folds to hero who raises to 962 hold QhQd
    Villain calls
    Flop: Js, 8s, 8s
    Villain checks
    Hero bets 1096
    Villain raises to 3440

    Do I shove or fold?
    After doing some brief math against his 3 bet calling range I figure I am against 19 hands that dominate me, 30ish that I dominate and a lot of semi bluffs that I am ahead of that should not call a fold.
    I figure that against this whole range I'm over a 50% favorite, plus the fold equity of shoving. So I did. Is this math and line of thinking about right?

    Source.
     
  2. jackie finlay

    jackie finlay New Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Jan 30, 2015
    Likes:
    6
    Location:
    United Kingdom
    There is only 9% chance your behind here, it looks like he's trying to get you off the hand like before ( check raise ). If you shove even if he has KK AA you will scare the life out of him.
    Fourm Ans.png
     
  3. Thomas Gallagher

    Thomas Gallagher Member Lineage to Founders

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2015
    Likes:
    23
    Occupation:
    Gambling Coach. Casino Game Developer
    Location:
    Santa Barbara, Ca
    ICM may dictate a fold. ICM the chips you win are worth less than chips you have. That is a very wet board!
    You may have used those chips for a better situation.
    ??
     

Share This Page