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Baccarat Stadium play 2019 February to August

Discussion in 'Baccarat Forum' started by Punkcity, Apr 2, 2020.

  1. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Ok here’s Johnny
    June posts as follows
    1 unit =$500
     
  2. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    A=01/06/2019

    B30,C01,D35,E+18,F-17,G+1,H+1
    B34,C02,D46,E+18,F-28,G-10,H-9

    Shoot dropped a whole days bank $5000 in 34 minutes. Hard to believe in some ways that only yesterday we were on a positive momentum swing, guess past results means sweet fk all really.

    Anyway as per usual per previous posts I do have access to another daily bankroll that’s why I recommend to have 5 x10 x $unit bankroll in beautiful hard cash and not some arbitrary fictitious amount. You don’t have the proper bankroll amount you are just gambling and variance will bend you over and fk you up. You know that already yeah. Let’s continue

    B11,C03,D15,E+10,F-5,G+5,H-4
    B32,C04,D52,E+26,F-26,G=,H-4
    B16,C05,D27,E+16,F-11,G+5,H+1

    K= 123 minutes

    End of day profit =+1 unit
    End of day running bank H=+1

    That’s a $10 000 turn around (5 down 5up=10k) in two hours flat betting. That’s why I cover the cash value on screen, even though you bet in chips on screen your balance is always display in $$$$ not chips. As posted previously we all carry luggage in this job and some scares don’t fade as much as we would like. What a way to start a month. It’s really a bullshit comment as the actual day means nothing to the RNG stadium but you get the human aspect of the comment.
    Cheers
     
  3. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover bank H+1 unit.

    A=02/06/2019_______H+1

    B10,C06,D11,E+9, F-2,G+7,H+8
    B6,C07,D10,E+7,F-3,G+4,H+12
    B7,C08,D11,E+5,F-6,G-1,H+11
    B12,C09,D15,E+11,F-4,G+7,H+18
    B7,C10,D10,E+7,F-3,G+3,H+21

    K=42 minutes

    End of day profit =+20 unit
    End of day running bank H+21

    That’s a better $10 k turn around all up only 1 unit down.

    Did I happen to mention that I’m not banned for winning consistently x$k per week or month?
    Cheers
     
  4. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover running bank H+21 units

    A=03/06/2019_______H+21

    B8,C11,D17,E+10,F-7,G+2,H+23
    B34,C12,D57,E+20,F-37,G-17,H+5

    Oucchhh this is a huge swing in momentum/variance whatever you want to call it. But it’s a fact that nothing is rosey forever. Have access to your bankroll again. In this exact situation I have already loaded two daily bankroll into the stadium terminal. Discounting the running bank H+5, Iam actually at +5 units from my daily bankroll deposits x2 =20units + 2units won game C11=22 units -17 units lost game C12 =+5 units.

    As this situation has not been posted before I now have put the 3 rd daily bankroll into play ( remember we have 5 daily bankroll of 10 units ) as it’s not advisable to play a new game ( in my opinion ) ANYTIME with LESS than TEN unit bankroll. This is why I say often posted that you play with a real bankroll not a pretend 5 x 10 unit bankroll.
    You must have that bankroll to mentally, emotionally and physically back you up. If you don’t and you get into this situation of dropping $8500 it can seriously mess with your mind ,if you don’t have the backup and you go away and rebuild your bankroll over a number of days or weeks etc then you are really loading more luggage onto yourself. It becomes a snake eating its own tail.

    Ok blar blar blar .
    Let’s continue on same day play with the 3rd daily bankroll loaded so that I have 15 units at my disposal. If I lose that 15 unit I will end day session, take a break for a couple of days and be effectively down only 10 units =1 daily bankroll plus Zero profit for 3days play. Not the end of the world. Remember H=+5units as we don’t write the 10 unit bankroll into the H tally!! Ok .

    B74,C13,D126,E+76,F-50,G+26,H+31

    Remember we are shuffling the daily bankroll between the H+ running bank for the sake of this post , otherwise the H+ would be 61 units 30 being 3x 10 daily bank plus the 31 units running profit etc. As posted previously it’s easier to just post the tally ex bankroll. Etc.

    Continue day session
    B36,C14,D56,E+31,F-25,G+6,H+37

    K= 152 minutes

    End of day profit =+ 16 unit
    End of day running bank H+37

    Absolutely phew
    Cheers
     
  5. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Well is a hole in the ground, here we are three days into the new month of play and we are experencing almost the polar opperset of the month of Mays first 3 days played. I think of all the months posted this thread -17 units has been the largest drawdown posted thus far. There are a couple of -11,-12,-8,-7 scattered throughout and if I recall a -16 units over the course of a few day play, but 17 units in ONE session. Our running bank H+37 units is a far cry from May 4th H+104 units. Huge huge difference.

    It happens, not often ,but you must be aware that variance is always lurking in some corner somewhere. This -17 units can be a black swan event to the unprepared, to the undisciplined GAMBLER with no bankroll ,no game rules or personal rules. Previous scaring from similar events can shut you down mentally,emotionally and you can freeze up physically on a twenty second screen ---your down $9000 plus---- playing a RNG game --- all of a sudden the Gamblers fallacy starts pinging in your head, RNG is rigged, The casino is out to get me , I can Never win, {{MY recent favourite posted on another thread and I will paraphrase somewhat}}}} I was DUE for a loss of XXXunits because its long over due and I need to get my focus back etc, let me beat myself up, woe is me. Personally if I want to get a whipping I would Spend 1/4 of that loss -go to a B&D parlour pay some good looking lady with a whip and fishnets to flog me within a inch of daylight and have no self imposed mental anguish, ie scare tissue.Then I would spend the other 3/4 on friends, dinner, charities , and fun .....If you think like a gambler you will not succeed. YOU WILL GAMBLE. full stop. Some other posters have posted this forum, gr8,soxfan, mdawg etc you may not like them ,agree with them or not but they are correct in saying most people fail because they cannot honestly handle the drawdowns, the pressure, the high to low emotional swings and the inability to see what is happing for what it is--- VARIANCE--- and not some other lame arse excuse .The dog ate my homework......Really......

    Wrong Bankroll Spread
    Wrong money betting progression
    Wrong selection criteria
    Wrong attitude
    Wrong rules in place
    Wrong person for the job.

    Think about what you are doing, this job is not for everyone . Thats ok. As the various APs say on this forum its an EV- game, so is roulette, slots etc I agree with them 1000% ,if it will stop people throwing their life away as a degenerate Gambler, I respect them for that but not for the low crime stuff most of them do in the name of being an AP. If you have a problem seek help.

    Can you imagine the -17 units flat betting --- if you are a marty or neg progression player how much more you would be in the hole for?

    After all a well is a hole in the ground.

    As I said June is truly an EPIC month and this was just day 3.

    Cheers.
     
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  6. JacobBlaze

    JacobBlaze Active Member

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    ,,,
     
    Last edited: Jun 3, 2020
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  7. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Cheers
     

  8. JacobBlaze

    JacobBlaze Active Member

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    was posting this then i realized you answer my question already on the units as i had not refreshed my page..... not sure if you saw the post before i edited and erased it, i thought i had saved and copy and repaste here.. but i lost it

    but the main point i wanted to say that your 4 month summary posting was impressive and inspirational, thanks

    im still working on low limit tracking macau bet selection live dealer online and after about 400 hands im up 1.17 units :) had sessions(shoes) up 15 units and next session down 13 lol ( im waiting for the french fries)

    Also have you tried your bet selection on other casinos RNG systems? besides Sydney? would be interesting if your "system" was played in other rng system in vegas, manila etc....your bet selection is amazing (im still trying to decipher your session you posted, and i thought i saw a pattern in the french fries)

    anyways thank you for your diary, im a learning a lot from it, especially your latest post about freezing up physically etc, as i have experienced that and i know exactly what you mean, that post is sticky worthy if they have such a thing on this forum, but many will not understand it unless they have a lot of screen/table time
     
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  9. JacobBlaze

    JacobBlaze Active Member

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    Sticky worthy post, great summary thanks

    Wrong Bankroll Spread
    Wrong money betting progression
    Wrong selection criteria
    Wrong attitude
    Wrong rules in place
    Wrong person for the job.
     
  10. JacobBlaze

    JacobBlaze Active Member

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    LAST 21 SESSIONS RESULTS

    RESULT+/- (E IS EVEN) # HANDS
    21 SESSIONS / 457 HANDS /
    +7 (+3.20 AFTER COMMISION)


    +1 23 HANDS
    +15 39 HANDS
    -7 36 HANDS
    +5 31 HANDS
    +1 11 HANDS
    E 23 HANDS
    E 2 HANDS CONNECTION ISSUE
    +4 20 HANDS
    -13 34 HANDS
    +4 33 HANDS
    -3 36 HANDS
    E 28 HANDS
    E 29 HANDS
    E 12 HANDS
    +4 11 HANDS
    +4 14 HANDS
    -8 23 HANDS
    +3 20 HANDS
    -3 27 HANDS
    +3 14 HANDS
    E 21 HANDS

    TOTAL 457 HANDS +7 UNITS
     
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  11. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    No I didnt see original post but did see the quoted post . I thought it was a epic post of zen , Im not being rude thats just how I see things sometimes. To me it was the perfect representation of the Macau three screens in the simplest form.
    Cheers
     
  12. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Yes excellent menu choice, when the fries are hot, their hot ,when the burgers are good indulge and i have yet rounded the meal off without a nice serve of onion rings, yummie yummo.

    As usual more good questions, Yes have played RNG at other venues other than Sydney Casino. As stated previously it works on table games, RNG both b&m and online, I have not played live online so cannot say but have used the app we spoke of, to play while watching someones posted live play on youtube, it works also. Although playing online via net on 50 hand max game is not as profitable as b&m casino/club in my opinion, but as for practice is do able. And practice makes perfect ,it can be rather mechanical at times and this also helps the decision making process speed up, plus really helps the limiting of the actual number of times you freeze up at the screen. Glad you froze, not being an Ahole about it to you, but in practice mode is better than high value $unit mode. Its good you had the practical experience now rather than later etc.you will be able to recover in the future [if that happens again and it will ] quicker and with the least amount of mental,bankroll damage. Hopefully you attached a rule or two and didnt panic bet your way out , {{at this stage the temptation to do a little marty is always there,been there done that not helpful at all really}} or became despondent in a self deprecating way.


    The important thing is the gradual increase you are getting and so far you have not just been posting EVERY game as a NEGATIVE UNIT return. That is the most important thing you need to recognise at this stage of the process you are embarking on.

    That is a HUGE accomplishment !!!

    You are refining a selection criteria that you had not ever thought of before. I have posted before that if you take care of the selection criteria the unit return will eventually look after itself. Re my posted play so far. That was also the post about using the minimal betting unit/ paper trade to practice with until you get it. Thus ensuring minimal bankroll damage plus minimal damage to your mental , emotional well being. Basically you are growing into the scenario that is posted per the daily leading to monthly achievable results posted this thread. That is your goal to focus on. The returns will come dont sweat it. I didnt start at a $100 unit initially When I was working it out I used a $10 betting unit some days I made ZERO profit or Im down $80, $50 even a $100 dollars but it was the ZERO , +$20, +$10 ,+$17.50 that kept me focused. As posted +1 =,+2 unit per game sure adds up to 200 plus units a month. Once I recognised that I had worked out what the selection process was,and the drawdown was minimal, I slowly increased my betting unit value and at this stage I use $500 units. I would finish at the casino get home then grab the laptop and hit the online free roll sites ,the 50 hand max, RNG ,and grind it out again to hone the process while laying around the house, no pressure, no luggage no emotional attachment but determined to not blow that free bankroll. Get that ice in the veins as you put it some posts ago. I know it works and you are also aware that it works. Neat huh? Flat betting making a +1 per game, neat huh? Dont put to much focus on the unit value at the moment. the focus is on the selection, the focus is having a positive unit return yes I know you are paying commission on bank wins, dont count the value count the units, as stated the unit value will pick up in real life later.
    Yes some games at this stage will be =, +1, or 2 or even in the - 1,-2,-5 etc eventually you will get the +1,+1,+2, +1, =, etc etc that add up to the 200 plus months etc.

    cheers

    Thanks I enjoy your post and journey
    Cheers.
     
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  13. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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  14. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Jacob,
    Shoot I made a reply to your post Jacob in the above post it was somehow caught up in your text so can you expand the above quote to read the post I Posted. Thanks
    Cheers
     

  15. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    June post continued
    Carryover running bank H +37 units

    A=04/06/2019_______H+37

    B35,C15,D53,E+29,F-24,G+5,H+42
    B45,C16,D80,E+46,F-34,G+10,H+52
    B42,C17,D77,E+27,F-50,G-23,H+29

    BIG EVENT nothing is working in this game all the black swans coming home to roost at the same time.EMmmF it happens.
    I had loaded two day bankrolls plus used the first +15 units won first two games to continue into the next game with a full game day bankroll of 10 units for game C18

    B62,C18,D95,E+56,F-39,G+17,H+46
    B58C19,D99,E+54,F-44,G+10,H+56
    B90,C160,E+90,F-70,G+20,H+76
    B37,C21,D52,E+21,F-31,G-10,H+66

    K= 369 minutes= HUGE 6 hours work

    End of day profit +29 units ( 4 units p/hr @ $2416 p/hr)
    End of day running bank H +66

    Epic and a half .

    As we have seen for a couple of months everything is brilliant, Ive made huge 8,10,15, 20 and even a 26 plus unit game win not to mention the +30 unit day wins . Yet in the first 4 days of June we have dropped 61 units @$500 per unit = $30 500 for 686 minutes play( 11.4 hours) In May we only had -20 units from 6 games for the whole month.
    May, as posted here again below.
    5/5, C9, G-2
    14/5,C46,G-5
    14/5,C47,G-7
    26/5,C66,G-4
    26/5,C69,G-1,
    30/5,C86,G-1
    G = - 20 units May.

    We did indeed finish these 4 days of June at H+66 units profit and we did indeed retrieve our very hard worked and very ,very much appreciated 5 x 10 unit bankroll. Love you Bankroll, You the BEST FRIEND EVER. This is FLAT BETTING. We have turned over a huge amount $$$$ about 1/4 million at a guess give or take $50 k . Another reason they dont ban winners.

    This huge drawdown -61 units we have posted, happens ,not very often. But enough for ME to reason in the past few years of this style of play that emotionally and mentally I cannot handle the huge swings at a $500 unit if I continued the neg progression bets or the martingale bet system, especially not on a 20 second stadium screen, mega stress....Be true unto oneself, blar blar blar.. The other issue here besides the table limit, is that there is no way to foresee when and where the black swan event will unfold. Everyone should fully understand that by now unless your a total fool degenerate gambler.. As you can see in four days play that swan shat wherever the fuk it wanted too. Variance, this is the main reason not to gamble. This an EV- game,,,, the best or at least the very minimum anyone should be aiming for is to limit the losses to the least amount possible , then build from there . Rather than as most seem to think try and get the max amount at any cost.

    Once again if you check the dates of the above posts you will see yet again I played for 10 straight days from the 25/05 straight into the new month of June until the 04/06/2019, I was on the momentum swing of the end of May and should have taken a break on the 02/06/2019 after the 1st of june -10 unit drawdown. This was a up momentum to a down momentum back to a huge up then massive down back to an epic up momentum, I was very much aware of the continued momentum that really started on the 28/04/2019 until the 04/06/209 . About a six week ride actually

    Yes I was gungho after May $160 k plus win( which is by no means the most i have harvested flat betting $500 units ) Yes I had no idea that last year I would even post this to a forum I mean coronovirus who would have thought, the casino shutdown- never in a million years. Yet it seems rather strange that its applicable to answer some question Jacob is asking at this point in time one year after I actually played this session Twilightzoneish . So I should have excersised more restraint and I did actually take a break and resumed playing again on 07/06/2019.

    This is not a dog ate my homework excuse but I did play on the Sydney casino older RNG stadium screen that runs the older software of the Macau screen system, lots of gliches as I can basically do the screen in my head but I do look for conformation and did second guess both myself and the old software on many occasions. The long and short--- its variance do the best you can.

    Still Im happy to still have my bankroll intact, Im happy to be up 66 units, but for variance we could have been up maybe 100 plus units as the momentum was still there otherwise how else did we get our -61 units back ?

    But this fully answers a question or two that you Jacob asked some weeks ago and I mentioned to wait for the June post etc.

    As we normally lock up the daily betting bank when we get to the +50 +60 ish running bank, this month I didnt, I actually kept it handy as per the first 4 days drawdowns already experienced and decided I would stop on any future day this month at -20 ( 2 day banks ) drawdown. I do remember thinking I would run a very tight profit stop this month as its been a hard first 4 days. So we are at +66 units now and the least profit i will take is going to be +40 units this month . Yes the game face was on.

    Cheers
     
  16. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Oh the minimum 40units is $20 k that’s a nice months earner.
    Cheers
     
  17. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Game face on .
    Carryover running bank H+66 units
    We are still using our daily bankroll of 10 units and we are only lining up with two daily banks. If we drop 20 units, the month is over as far as game play is concerned.

    A= 07/06/2019_______H+66

    B11,C22,D17,E+12,F-5,G+7,H+73
    B10,C23,D18,E+10,F-8,G+2,H+75
    B8,C24,D12,E+7,F-5,G+2,H+77
    B16,C25D26,E+17,F-9,G+8,H+85

    K=35 minutes

    End of day profit= +19 units
    End of day running bank H + 85 units

    Ok I have now returned the 2 daily betting banks to our account and they are locked up for the month of July. Regardless of how the rest of June plays out we have our full 5 x 10 daily bankrolls and 60 plus units profit min .
    We will now use our running bank H +85 units as our daily bank as per usual this thread procedures

    Cheers
     
  18. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    A note to bring to your attention. So far I have posted roughly 80 odd days of game play , 8000 plus hands played and the one common thread for all these posts is that the rules/ my procedures have remained almost 99% the same. Its groundhog dog format in play that helps achieve consistent positive results. That same groundhog day in the posting format on this thread, yes its boarder line boring, and or long winded as some comments are its a grind. Capture +1,+2 units slow grind boring etc = x hundred units boring. There is no change in play at the first sign of a loss. You can see this month of June posts dropping 60 plus units in 4 days then recover 60 plus units, most people would abandon procedures start panic betting marty, neg progression bets etc as they try to recover the losses. In this sense the applied robotic procedures you put in place will help you through the inevitable variant drawdowns.

    Food for thought
    Cheers
     
  19. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Is that an elephant in the room or is it just a monkey?

    Carryover running bank H+85 units

    A=09/06/2019_______H+85

    B7,C26,D17,E+11,F-6,G+5,H+90
    B14,C27,D22,E+11,F-11,G=,H+90

    K= 21 minutes

    End of day profit =+5 units
    End of day running bank H+90
    $2500 in 21 mins = $119 per minute . Nice

    Cheers
     
  20. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover running bank H+90 units

    A=10/06/2019_______H+90

    B46,C28,D,71,E+39,F-32,G+7,H+97
    B50,C29,D78,E+39,F-39,G=,H+97
    B49,C30,D81,E+45,F-36,G+9,H+106

    K = 145 minutes

    End of day profit =+16 units
    End of day running bank H+106

    I have no notes for that day on the daily workbook, so I cannot say why I played for so long plus so many games. Maybe I was just blowing the cobwebs out, but I would guess 16 units is always a good days play.

    Cheers
     

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