Lani, I need to correct my earlier comment. It's the opposite. I ran a one deck Markov Chain and got this: TOTAL = 1.000000 PLAYER =...
So bet Flat Bank, but if PlayerWins, sit out next (one) bet? Next next bet go back to flat Bank always? I might have to get to your test...
Craps, I don't mean to offend you. If I have, I apologize. I'm just looking for real advantage play. In fact, recently, I'm erring on the...
Math and Science are provable/disprovable. Religion is not. Where math and science could fail is in the modeling of reality. All models are...
Do a google search on Wizard of Odds Baccarat card counting - Effects of removing a card. His methodology is to start with full 8-deck shoe and...
Your graph comparing the two MMs was expected. It was the unusual positive drift which caught my eye. ^^
Actually, the calculation seems to be right. P(P|BPBP) = P(BPBPP) / (P(BPBPB) + P(BPBPP)) = 6.7/(6.7+5.5) = 54.9%. The interesting question is,...
Lemonade, do you have a bet-selection strategy that generates that strong positive drift in your graph (or is that the result of a bug in the...
fathead, are you getting a +EV overall? If so, where do you think it's coming from?
Here's an improved density plot with a better, non-default, x-axis scale. [ATTACH]
Hi Craps, Thanks! Yes, that's a great follow-up question. In fact, just plain flat betting yields a somewhat "normal-like" curve with some skew...
That weird FLAT bet overlay is too much of a headache to code up (it's one-off code that'll never be used again, and yet, it messes up the main...
Oh, one other note. The more I do this, the more I understand why veterans ignore nearly everything except looking for a positive edge. Adding...
Well, it's interesting because it's the first commercial Bac system I've tested. I'm in the process of making a complete survey of different...
Hi Craps, ok - this is obviously straightforward to you because you've been doing it for a long time. You have to admit, even your list of 4...
One other quick question before I go to sleep. If none of the rules match (it's unclear yet, whether this could even happen or not), sit out one...
ok - it's getting late so I can't turn what you said into code yet (I'll try again tomorrow). for now, I'm trying to get one sample for each of...
My understanding of labouchère must be off or my understanding of rule 14. is off, because I can't reconcile rule 13. with 14. Under a standard...
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