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Craps Craps Odds Calculations

Discussion in 'Craps Forum' started by Collinsraf, Nov 18, 2023.

  1. Collinsraf

    Collinsraf Member

    Jun 1, 2023
    Craps is a popular casino game that involves rolling dice and offers a variety of betting options. Understanding the odds associated with different bets is crucial for players looking to maximize their chances of winning. In this article, we will delve into the calculations behind one of the fundamental bets in craps, the Pass Line bet.

    Craps Odds Calculation for Pass Line Bet:

    The Pass Line bet is one of the most straightforward bets in craps. It is based on the outcome of the come-out roll, which is the first roll of the dice. Here's how the odds are calculated:

    1. The shooter wins on a come-out roll of 7 or 11 and loses on a roll of 2, 3, or 12.
    2. If any other number (4, 5, 6, 8, 9, or 10) is rolled, that number becomes the "point."
    3. To win, the shooter must roll the point again before rolling a 7.

    The probability of winning a Pass Line bet can be calculated as follows:

    - There are 36 possible outcomes when rolling two six-sided dice.
    - There are 6 ways to roll a 7 and 2 ways to roll an 11.
    - There are 1 way to roll a 2, 2 ways to roll a 3, and 1 way to roll a 12.
    - For the point numbers (4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10), the shooter can win by rolling the point before a 7.

    Now, let's calculate the probability of rolling a 7 or 11 on the come-out roll:

    (6 ways to roll a 7 + 2 ways to roll an 11) / 36 possible outcomes = 8/36 = 2/9 (approximately 22.22%).

    The probability of rolling a 2, 3, or 12 on the come-out roll:

    (1 way to roll a 2 + 2 ways to roll a 3 + 1 way to roll a 12) / 36 possible outcomes = 4/36 = 1/9 (approximately 11.11%).

    The probability of rolling a point (4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10):

    (6 ways to roll a 7) / 36 possible outcomes = 6/36 = 1/6 (approximately 16.67%).


    Understanding the odds of different bets in craps, such as the Pass Line bet, is essential for making informed decisions when playing the game. The Pass Line bet offers a relatively favorable probability of winning with approximately 22.22% on the come-out roll, and it provides an opportunity to continue rolling to establish a point. These calculations can help players develop strategies and make more educated choices when participating in the exciting world of craps.
  2. Chale14u

    Chale14u Member

    Jul 20, 2023
    Understanding the odds in craps, especially for fundamental bets like the Pass Line, is crucial for making informed decisions when playing. The Pass Line bet involves probabilities based on the come-out roll and subsequent rolls to establish a point. The calculations reveal that the probability of winning with a 7 or 11 on the come-out roll is around 22.22%, while the chances of rolling a 2, 3, or 12 are approximately 11.11%. Furthermore, the odds of establishing a point (4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10) and winning before rolling a 7 vary, providing players with insights into their betting strategies. These probabilities empower players to approach the game with a deeper understanding of the risks and potential rewards associated with the Pass Line bet in craps.

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