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Craps DICE THROWING VS. TIME OF MONTH ON CARNIVAL SHIPS

Discussion in 'Craps Forum' started by Dicenator, Apr 1, 2016.

  1. Dicenator

    Dicenator New Member

    Joined:
    May 14, 2015
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    With the revelations concerning Carnival's dice change policy that I've received over the last 3 months, I've decided to analyze my dice throwing results versus the time of the month I've been on the cruise. By time of month I'm looking at week #1, #2 etc. On all Carnival line ships including Princess they introduce new sets of dice, each ship starts with a specific number of sets, on the first day of the month. On the recent cruise on the Emerald Princess they started the month with only 6 sets of dice for the whole month. On the Regal Princess they started with 15 sets on the first day of the month. I don't have a sense right now as to what governs the number of sets that a given ship starts with.


    When I look at the data below, there are a few cruises which I rule out due to extraneous factors. The second cruise listed, the Carnival Freedom, occurred after no playing in casinos or practicing for 4 months. This was due to working on home improvement projects. The exact same factor applies to the 6th cruise listed, the Carnival Victory. The 4th cruise on the list, Regal Princess, had a very bouncy table and I only played 12 hands for the whole week which is why I consider this to be an outlier.


    Of all the 11 different ships listed, they all had normal bounce characteristics except for the Regal Princess.


    On a typical cruise, the craps table is in play about 4 hours a day therefore, two days of usage on the ship would be equivalent to a full shift on a land based casino. My basic premise is that the dice would be OK on any of these ships anytime in the first 2 weeks of the month due to being new or only slightly used.


    For cruises in the first 2 weeks of the month, discounting the outliers, I had the following results in Average Roll Length: Carnival Pride = 14.76, Carnival Miracle = 13.38, Crown Princess = 13.26. At the end of the month, last two weeks, I had the following results: Carnival Valor =10.33, Carnival Pride = 10.10, Carnival Splendor = 9.34, Carnival Legend = 10.76, Emerald Princess = 10.03, Carnival Glory = 10.46, Carnival Dream = 9.74.


    There were 2 outliers to these generalizations; they are Carnival Valor = 13.15 in 3rd week and the Carnival Glory = 13.03 in the 4th week. The only explanations that I have is that my throwing might have been exceptional for that week or for some reason the dice were not that badly worn due to low play in the previous weeks on this ship.


    In summary it appears that my throwing results are Average Roll Length of 13+ in the first 2 weeks of the month with new to slightly used dice. For the last 2 weeks of the month the average is 10+ using worn dice to marbles. This analysis covers 17 cruises of which I consider 3 to be outliers which I did not include.


    DATE/CRUISE CRUISE SHIP AVG ROLL LENGTH COMMENTS


    10/1/12 CARNIVAL PRIDE 14.76 WEEK #1


    2/2/14 CARNIVAL FREEDOM 11.13 NO PRACTICE 4 MONTHS


    11/6/12 CARNIVAL MIRACLE 13.38 WEEK #2


    2/7/16 PRINCESS - REGAL 7.42 TABLE VERY BOUNCY


    2/8/14 PRINCESS - CROWN 13.26 WEEK #2


    4/8/12 CARNIVAL VICTORY 8.92 NO PRACTICE 4 MONTHS

    12/11/13 CARNIVAL SPLENDOR 11.69 FIRST NOTICE WORN DICE

    5/13/13 CARNIVAL VALOR 10.33 WEEK #3


    11/15/15 CARNIVAL PRIDE 10.10 DICE WERE MARBLES


    6/17/15 CARNIVAL SPLENDOR 9.34 WORN DICE AGAIN


    8/18/12 CARNIVAL VALOR 13.15 WEEK #3


    6/20/13 CARNIVAL GLORY 13.03 WEEK #4


    8/21/11 CARNIVAL LEGEND 10.76 WEEK #4


    1/23/16 PRINCESS - EMERALD 10.03 DICE USED PREVIOUSLY 4 TIMES


    6/24/10 CARNIVAL GLORY 10.46 WEEK #4


    8/24/13 CARNIVAL DREAM 9.74 WEEK #4


    1/30/16 PRINCESS - EMERALD 10.65 NEW DICE 5 NIGHTS



    Dicenator
     

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