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Roulette draft of how a pro player bet

Discussion in 'Roulette Forum' started by alibaba, Dec 25, 2017.

  1. alibaba

    alibaba New Member

    Joined:
    Dec 24, 2017
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    Location:
    italy
    hi everyone, i'm new here, i want to say something about money management strategies, martingale, d'alambert, paroli and all those famous financial manouver that are used in the casino, are so much rough and coarse, martingale in particular is a suicide, because will always come the day where a losing strike blow up all the capital.

    for maximize the wins, when you bet, you must bet knowing why are you betting that amount... it can't be random.. when you bet you must know what are your probabilities, so, for now i want to start from far and do a little example.

    if you play with the probability of winning at 50%, and you play 100 spins..., if you win 60 times, you are in debt with your personal luck, because your average must be 50 wins in 100 bets.

    Now considering that in a long range, there is no luck, everyone should have the 50% of wins and losses, for the law of the big numbers, so when you are in debt with the luck, you must expect a tie in a long term, so it's reasonable to think that in the next 100 bets you can't win other 60 times because you are going too much far from your personal standard deviation... so you can think, ok i must be careful because in the future the wins will be compensate with more losses, so you can reduce your amount per bet until you have balanced, wins and losses, at the same times, if you are in credit with your personal luck, you can expect much wins in the future, so you can encrease your amount per bet, but not in a random way, like ok i triple my bet, no... you must encrease your bet in a cleaver way, just the necessary to go in profit when your personal wins and losses will return close, because the must... of course for do this, you must do maths... everything can be calculated, your probability, the size of the stake that is more convinient to you, what you can expect from the next bets, considering if your are in debt or credit with your luck and how much...

    sorry if all this is a mess, but my english is rusty and i have turned some of terms in my language in english in an improvised way, like when i say personal luck, it's a improvised translation, but what i mean is that, everyone have a own history of luck in game, so if you are to much lucky, prepare for give what you have taken, and the opposite...

    i also know that i have putted so much meat on the fire that can be a mess, but is more fan and useful for understand in this way, compared to give alreay the meal ready to eat.

    i hope you have enjoyed it for now
     
  2. RouletteGhost

    RouletteGhost Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2015
    Likes:
    102
    Location:
    Long Island, New York
    This poster is not the real alibaba as we know from the “forums”

    It’s an imposter

    Alibaba is a scammer no doubt

    However this person right here is a troll with just a little too much time on their hands
     
  3. Dr. Sir Anyone Anyone

    Dr. Sir Anyone Anyone Well-Known Member Lineage to Founders

    Joined:
    Feb 18, 2015
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    240
    Occupation:
    Shoe Cobbler
    Location:
    Merica
    The original poster has fallen for gambler's fallacy hook, line, and sinker!
     
  4. RouletteGhost

    RouletteGhost Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 9, 2015
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    102
    Location:
    Long Island, New York
    The imposter posters always go on the extra limb of “my English.....”

    So bogus and sad. Like mr Js systems.
     
  5. mr j

    mr j Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2015
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    281
    Occupation:
    self employed
    Location:
    Milwaukee, WIS

    Are you attempting to follow the same road as Bottomfeeder Bombus? Sorry rookie, it wont work, trying to upset me. Try harder please. Always remember, I would smoke you any day at the CASINO. All you have are crazy anti-patterns to CHASE. (lol)

    Ken
     
  6. mr j

    mr j Well-Known Member

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    Occupation:
    self employed
    Location:
    Milwaukee, WIS
    You cant leave the casino all the time like this RouletteGhost >>

    [​IMG]
     
  7. mr j

    mr j Well-Known Member

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    281
    Occupation:
    self employed
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    Milwaukee, WIS
    A good night at the CASINO (not online) for ole' Kenny!!

    [​IMG]
     
  8. Bombus

    Bombus Active Member

    Joined:
    Jul 25, 2016
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    amongst flowers
    mr j, you are such a fucking idiot, always was always will be.

    My honest advice for you is, too late now but in the next life, stay at school.
     
  9. mr j

    mr j Well-Known Member

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    Occupation:
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    Milwaukee, WIS
    @Bottomfeeder Bombus >> Grow up lady, few people on the boards have ever liked you and that is a fact. If you only knew the number of people that talk about you (and laugh) behind your back. I can only defend you for so long! Learn how to socialize with others better. Your antics are getting old.

    Ken
     
  10. Bombus

    Bombus Active Member

    Joined:
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    86
    Location:
    amongst flowers
    Wolves don't lose sleep over the opinions of sheep.
     
    Last edited: Dec 29, 2017
  11. mr j

    mr j Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2015
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    281
    Occupation:
    self employed
    Location:
    Milwaukee, WIS
    .
     

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