1. Have a gambling question?

    Post it here and our gambling experts will answer it!
    Dismiss Notice
  2. Welcome to the #1 Gambling Community with the best minds across the entire gambling spectrum. REGISTER NOW!
  3. Join our $5,000 Cash Giveaway!

    Win Cash by Posting and Inviting New Members!

Intro John Grochowski

Discussion in 'Introductions' started by John Grochowski, Jan 22, 2015.

  1. John Grochowski

    John Grochowski New Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2015
    Likes:
    2
    Occupation:
    Writer/editor
    Location:
    Chcago area
    Hi, I'm John, and I've been writing about gambling for more than 20 years. My syndicated column currently is found at Casino City Times, the Press of Atlantic City and other sites, and I'm a regular in Casino Players, Strictly Slots, Midwest Gaming, Southern Gaming, Blackjack Insider, Casino Journal and Slot Manager. Thanks for the invitation to join you.
     
  2. james15

    james15 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 27, 2015
    Likes:
    5
    That's interesting , I have been in Casino for 30 years experience working as a roulette Dealer
     
  3. Rona

    Rona Member

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2015
    Likes:
    18
    Welcome John!!! Nice to see ya here
     
  4. amoser

    amoser Member

    Joined:
    Feb 7, 2017
    Likes:
    14
    Location:
    Casino
    Hi John! I also write about gambling. However I'm not as experienced as you
     
  5. estherqing

    estherqing New Member

    Joined:
    Apr 3, 2017
    Likes:
    0
    Location:
    Poland
    Welcome John, nice to know you !
     
  6. Raimo Demirkiran

    Raimo Demirkiran New Member

    Joined:
    Apr 27, 2017
    Likes:
    0
    Occupation:
    Sales Clerk
    Location:
    USA, Dallas
    Hello, I will be looping you so when I have some question I can ask.
     
  7. gizmotron2

    gizmotron2 Active Member

    Joined:
    Aug 31, 2016
    Likes:
    81
    Location:
    Northern California
    You say this a lot. I know you are advising players to steer away from fallacies. It's not that your pet numbers are going to do you any better, it's just that any numbers are just as good as any others on any given spin.

    The point of a streak is that it's not just one spin but a sequence of spins that produce the streaks. Your mind must be wrapped around the concept that streaks come and go, and that when they do come they have a kind of life to them of their own. Take your pet numbers for instance. Let's say that you have 12 pet numbers, just for the sake of argument. Let's say that in 300 spins you will see a phase where these 12 favorites go into a state of dominance. In this period of dominance, if you were to bet just on them, you have a win rate that is far above the average for 12 numbered bets. Now what you see is that when they do lose they never lose more than 2 spins in a row and that happens very few times while your pet numbers are in a state of dominance.

    Example: (Look at the "P" section on the far right.)
    Code:
    |       X |       X |       X |   | -- 33
    | X       |    X    |       X | P | -- 5
    |    X    | X       |       X |   | -- 22
    |    X    |    X    |       X |   | -- 20
    |    X    | X       |    X    |   | -- 16
    |    X    |       X |       X | P | -- 18
    | X       | X       | X       | P | -- 1
    |       X |       X |    X    |   | -- 30
    | X       |    X    |    X    | P | -- 11
    |    X    |       X |    X    |   | -- 15
    |       X | X       |       X | P | -- 31
    | X       |    X    |    X    | P | -- 11
    |    X    |    X    |       X | P | -- 17
    |       X | X       |       X | P | -- 31
    |    X    |       X |       X |   | -- 21
    | X       | X       |    X    | P | -- 4
    | X       |    X    | X       | P | -- 2
    |    X    |       X |       X | P | -- 18
    | X       |       X |       X | P | -- 6
    |    X    |    X    |       X | P | -- 17
    | X       |    X    |    X    |   | -- 8
    |    X    |       X |       X |   | -- 21
    |-------------------| X       | P | -- 37
    |       X | X       |       X |   | -- 34
    | X       | X       |    X    |   | -- 7
    |    X    |    X    |       X |   | -- 20
    
    This is a pet set of 16 numbers going into and then out of a state of dominance. This happens to single dozens and columns on the table layout too.

    There are streaks of situational awareness, a combination of sequences that look promising and actual effectiveness, while betting along with them to be considered. They come and go, irregardless of the over all odds for each spin. Your pet numbers go into a phase of dominance from time to time. These times last just long enough to win a few bets while they do. They always end at some point though. You can never know when that moment starts. The trick is not to treat them as a fallacy. Wishful thinking can't start them occurring. The trick is to always look at the effectiveness streak. You can have a dominance where a few losses are part of a huge dominance of your pet numbers and you, just by randomness, bet only at the times of those few losses. That's bad, but it does happen. You should have won. Your effectiveness state was in a lose dominance state even though you were in the middle of a streak of your pet numbers. Awareness allows you to side step the fallacies.

    Some of us here dig the concept of situational awareness. It's common to see a single dozen or column go to sleep for 15 spins in a row. The more dozens you keep track of the more likely it is that you will find a favorable streak to test the effectiveness on. Casinos can't stop randomness from appearing to be sequentially favorable. It just takes a very skilled player to be aware of these changes when they occur.

    Welcome to the forum. I like the fact that you help a lot of new players avoid the common pitfalls of getting started.
     
  8. TurboGenius

    TurboGenius Well-Known Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2015
    Likes:
    271
    Occupation:
    Self proclaimed Theoretical Philosopher
    Location:
    Near Atlantic City New Jersey
    I'm confident that no one looks at the date of posts anymore.
    The guy posted 2+ years ago and hasn't posted since - yet people reply as if there's a purpose to it.
    Odd. And I wonder why people can't grasp how to win in a casino. Pay attention ? Just a thought.
     
  9. MaxZan

    MaxZan New Member

    Joined:
    May 22, 2017
    Likes:
    1
    Location:
    USA
    Welcome
     
  10. Suzy Brinda

    Suzy Brinda New Member

    Joined:
    May 30, 2017
    Likes:
    14
    Location:
    CA Northyork
    Hello there :)
     
    Kemal Orre and Pia Toomingas like this.
  11. Sammie Gorman

    Sammie Gorman New Member

    Joined:
    Jun 19, 2017
    Likes:
    11
    Occupation:
    Video Editor
    Location:
    Sydney, AU
    Hello John,
    New here, hope we can be friends.
    Thanks.
     
    Kemal Orre and Pia Toomingas like this.
  12. Pia Toomingas

    Pia Toomingas New Member

    Joined:
    May 26, 2017
    Likes:
    24
    Occupation:
    Manager / Consultant
    Location:
    German
    Hello John and Sammie.
     
    Kemal Orre likes this.

Share This Page