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Roulette Lets talk progressions.

Discussion in 'Roulette Forum' started by daveylibra, Feb 5, 2019.

  1. Mako

    Mako Active Member

    Joined:
    Jul 23, 2018
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    Location:
    Irvine, CA
    So while it's interesting to see upward trend charts with flat bets, and 1u bets at that, the normal critical caveats apply.

    First, testing would need to be automated because it's laborious to do manually, and 26 cycles/300 spins doesn't mean anything. Even if that trendline continued to 10,000 spins, it would still just be "a good start".

    Maybe Ben on the other board can do it up in Excel for you Davey, not sure how he would handle the retracking, but he's great at it so who knows.

    Second, the average hit rate for all betting spins came in at 48.75%, whereas the expected hit rate for a bet on 15.7 random numbers would be 42.43%.

    That looks promising, but the first rule applies...for 300 spins you could have a +11.8% net advantage session from a random EC bet or -11.8% for that matter...the spin count is low enough to just be pure luck.

    Fun to play though, easy, would like to see it pursued with automation to see how it plays out and if it comes back down to EV.
     
  2. daveylibra

    daveylibra New Member

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2018
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    Location:
    England
    A brilliant piece of testing - it certainly looks encouraging to me.
    I would probably play it so if I was ahead in one 37 spin session, I would take profit and retrack.
    But your method may be better, its hard to say.
     
  3. daveylibra

    daveylibra New Member

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2018
    Likes:
    4
    Location:
    England
    Another thought - I'm surprised the results are so good, as we need those 6 hits to be within 11 spins, flat-bet, don't we?
    12 spins means break even, 13 or more we are at a loss.
    If I saw that trend continue for 10,000 spins I would be very happy.
    I will try to contact Ben.
     

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