1. Welcome to the #1 Gambling Community with the best minds across the entire gambling spectrum. REGISTER NOW!
  2. Have a gambling question?

    Post it here and our gambling experts will answer it!
    Dismiss Notice
  3. Discussions in this section are assumed to be EV- as they are outside of the Advantage Play section. For EV+ discussions, please visit the Advantage Play sub-forum.
    Dismiss Notice

Horse Racing Masianello & Lay The Favorite - I solve a problem

Discussion in 'Horse Racing Forum' started by Sputnik, Jul 7, 2022.

  1. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2014
    Likes:
    270
    I solve a problem.

    When you lay the winner you have one side betting.
    So there was no chance to use a financial algorithm to win money using Masianello.

    But I solve the problem using placed bets rather than past bets.

    So we bet for a win to become a series of two wins or more with one single bet.
    And we bet that a loss will be followed by a win with one single bet.

    That way if we get (placed bets) 10 single wins and 10 series of losses we lose.
    If any imbalance we win 20% and if an equal to 10:10 we lose 100.

    See the attachment and here is the image for the decimal variant.
     

    Attached Files:

    TwoUp and Bombus like this.
  2. TwoUp

    TwoUp Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 30, 2020
    Likes:
    304
    Location:
    Australia
    I'm not sure I understand how you apply the cell value to your bet and the odds.

    How do you handle the fact your odds are different each bet?

    Can you give an example of the bets, the outcome and the odds and how you apply the cell values to your lay bets?
     
  3. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2014
    Likes:
    270
    - - -

    Andrew I will try to explain in English - but I need time to wrap my mind around how to explain the betting process.

    Cheers
     
    TwoUp likes this.
  4. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2014
    Likes:
    270
    First things first - we lay the favourite to lose and we win.

    So we track and chart the horses that qualify without betting.
    Virtually.

    So first using Masianello we need to know if we will have a series with two losing favourites (two winning bets).
    Or if we have one winning favourite (one losing bet) and one losing favourite (one winning bet).
    WW or LW.

    This virtual situation will determine the entering point using Masianello.
    A series with two winnings will make us next time we get a single win bet for a series of winnings.
    WWLLLW bet for a win.
    If we start out with a loss and one win we will next time we get a loss bet for a win.
    LWL bet for a win.

    And from here we bet using the Masianello chart using both situations as one event each.
    Hope this puts some light on the subject.

    Cheers
     
  5. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2014
    Likes:
    270
    Andrew do you have access to exchanges - are you from UK or USA ...
     
  6. 6th-sense

    6th-sense Active Member

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2019
    Likes:
    62
    Location:
    Uk
    here's the software extract ..click on application enter bankroll..for three ec,s just tick one or all...got to right on a win..down on a loss
     

    Attached Files:

  7. TwoUp

    TwoUp Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 30, 2020
    Likes:
    304
    Location:
    Australia
    I am in Australia. We have quite a lot of retail bookmakers but the only exchange operating here is Betfair.

    Betdaq closed up shop as they were offshore, and Betfair changed the business globally from being an exchange to a retail business model driving away winners with hostile tactics (due to the conflict of running a retail dark pool) and added premium charges and stake limiting.

    That leaves offshore exchanges and any of the reputable ones also ban users from counties where laws require betting exchanges to be licensed.
     
    Last edited: Jul 7, 2022


Share This Page