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Blackjack never lose in bj!!

Discussion in 'Blackjack Forum' started by ralphie1313bj!, Mar 21, 2023.

  1. ralphie1313bj!

    ralphie1313bj! Member

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    i wrote a whole long answer but its under review i do not know why but if u read it i also wanted to say something else and i know u will all jmp on it but the avg losses in a row are between 3 and 5 thats what i been finding in 3 months of play every day how about this pick a free bj site and lets sign on together and play at the same table would u do that?
     
  2. treetopbuddy

    treetopbuddy Member

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    Yo Christopher Mitchell, just saw 14 blacks in a row….online roulette
     
  3. redhot2112

    redhot2112 New Member

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    Wow i went today and tried it it worked perfect i walked away with 625 bucks in under an hour. Maybe beginners luck we will see i am going back tomorrow and just to let you know i did not lose more than 5 in a row... Thanks man!!!
     
  4. Chip Magnet

    Chip Magnet Active Member

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    Not doubting your honesty Ralph.

    A member on another forum bought the DVD of that video from Kaufman for $300, years ago. Only to discover it was the same video available for free on YouTube.
     
  5. ralphie1313bj!

    ralphie1313bj! Member

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    wow poor guy !!! hope he made it back off of the video!!! lol hey i do not have any motive here i am just sharing with u guys what i been doing and some of my friends i turned on to this, of course there is a risk its gambling but so far i am up so much allready i can not see how i can lose at this point unless i do not follow my own rules that got me here, maybe 16k in 2 months is not good enuff for some people thats why they bash me i do not know, i am not forcing anyone to try it i am only discussing what i have learned and i am just thinking if its working for me and my friends why can't it work for others and like i said at this point i would have to lose 8 in a row once a day for 16 days straight sorry 18 days lol i picked up another 2k since i started posting and i do not care what anyone says i would find that impossible !!! so anyway this is my last post on this good luck to everyone and keep on trucking!!! lol bye
     
    fathead likes this.
  6. KewlJ

    KewlJ Well-Known Member

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    Will I play everyday on a free blackjack site with you to try to disprove some long proven mathematical facts? No. Sorry. Nothing personal. For one I have no idea what this this "free site" is offering as far as an honest game. Maybe it is rigged so people will think they can win and will signup and play for real money and lose. All I am telling you is the math of what you are claiming is long settled.

    Let me try to explain it this way. Roulette because it is easier to explain. Playing a martingale type system, just changes the amounts of your wagers. But in the end the totality of those wagers are all played against a negative expectation house advantage. Every single wager is placed against a disadvantage. So why would anyone think that will somehow result in long-term winning?

    To win (longterm) a player has to be doing something that makes his wagers +EV or positive expectation. Wagering systems alone simply cannot do that.

    What a wagering system like Martingale does do is change the distribution of wins and losses. In the case of martingale, a player will end up with many, many more small winning sessions and a few bigger losing sessions that eclipse all those winnings and then some. But it will not change that a player will lose in the long run. That formula is amount wagered x expectation and that is a negative number or loss.

    But feel free to continue doing what you are doing. I just wanted to take a shot at explaining the long proven math.
     
  7. ralphie1313bj!

    ralphie1313bj! Member

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    sorry i had to answer again u and other keep up with this martingale system i got no idear what it is i am not doing math and there is no math to figure out it comes down to one thing only anything else u just and sorry but just trying to sound good the bottom line is the odds of loosing 8 in a row like i stated before my friend flipped a quarter for a year and it landed on one side 8 times only like a hand full of times and never lost on the 9th so there nothing to prove or disprove if u flip the quarter and u keep loosing 9 times well then u really really an unlucky person and what i am doing is the same thing as flipping a quarter if anyone has brains u know u never going to lose a 50/50 100 times in a row but in bj u can not keep going till u win or u never ever would lose thats why they got a table limit so all i am showing is the 50/50 odds are around the 8 to 10 time mark on avg so long as u offset your bet and keep playing till u win u can not lose !!! i can not see whats so hard to figure this out or maybe u just do not want to like me asking u to play a free bj site u dont want to see that u are wrong or why else in the world would u not play with me and give a crazxy excuse like a free honest game and if u think its so dishonest u should play with me u would prove i am wrong but u can not prove that thats the problem it so simple to understand !!! like i said i am up so much it is impossible for me to ever lose now or in the long run ....
     

  8. ralphie1313bj!

    ralphie1313bj! Member

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    how bout this i will or if u would please upload a video of u flipping a quarter !!! for a few min and that will be the proof right !!! if not anything else said is pure bull end of story
     
  9. KewlJ

    KewlJ Well-Known Member

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    Flipping a quarter? Is that a game at the (online or real world) casinos that you play?

    You started a thread entitled "never lose at blackjack". I play blackjack for a living and was asked to comment on blackjack, not flipping a quarter. I tried to explain the long, meaning centuries old proven math, which you don't seem to want to believe. I have gone as far as I am going to go.
     
  10. fathead

    fathead Well-Known Member

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    I will test this out at the Wizard's site. Yes, I know I have too much time on my hands. lol. I may have made a few mistakes on this video.

    Ralphie, I believe that you won $16,000. I just worry that you might give it back over time.

    Session #1 ... +101 units.

     
  11. ralphie1313bj!

    ralphie1313bj! Member

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    lol why were u not hitting on 11 and 9 oh wow when i said i dont take a card i did not mean if its 11 or under!!! i am sorry if i did not say that right lol of course i take a card if its 11 or under i ment from 12 on i do not hit!!! my bad if i did not make that clear!! yeah u can never win that way!!! lol
     
  12. fathead

    fathead Well-Known Member

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    " u never ever hit or split or double down just let it ride "

    The above is your quote, Ralphie. lol.

    No problem, I will hit until 12 or higher in the future. I plan to post one video per day.
     
  13. ralphie1313bj!

    ralphie1313bj! Member

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    u know i was just out had to pick someone up and as i was driving it hit me i figured out the problem!!! i am really smart!!!(as a dog) lol but really the problem is your looking at this as black jack !!!! but really what is bj whats the end result !!!! no matter what if u hit stand split double down the end result is u win or u loose this is why i look at it as 50 50 odds casino made up this fun colorfull game to trap all u suckers to get to 21 but it dont make a dam difference !!!! the bottom line is win or lose so look at it this way lets say the casino made a called quarters or black and white so take a deck of cards one side of the deck is one color and the bottom half is white half is black and half white the dealer deals 1 card to u turned over and one to him uncovered u are showing white the dealer flips over its white u win its black u lose guys its the same exact thing except it would be boring and u would not play so they made a fancy way to hide the fact that no matter what u do to get to 21 the end result is win or lose dont u guys see this !!!! so it goes back to my last post its all about laws of when u lose how many times will u lose in a row and i am dam right cause like i said the casino sets the table max so u can not make the 9 or 10th bet cause law of avg u will win so i am playing banking on i will not lose more then the 8 or 9 times thats it and anyone wants to test it flip the quarter now u understand why its 50 50 !!!
    wow i really am smart !!!!
     
  14. ralphie1313bj!

    ralphie1313bj! Member

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    sorry dude lol i just figured that was like an automatic rule u hit up till 11 lol!!
     

  15. ralphie1313bj!

    ralphie1313bj! Member

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    i am playing free online at casino world there betting is 1,000,2500,5000 and so on i am up 1.2 mill since this morning!!! i hit 8 looses in a row once lol i am a millionair!!1
     
  16. fathead

    fathead Well-Known Member

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    You are on the right track, Ralphie. That is true for other casino games like Craps, Baccarat for example. In the long run over 100 hands you will win about 50, the casino will win about 50 (the casino wins a little more or takes a commission to get their house edge)

    Unfortunately the casino makes it tougher in BlackJack. In the long run over 100 hands you will win about 42, the casino wins about 58. It does not seem fair, right? How do you make up that 16 unit deficit the casino takes away from you? By doubling down, by splitting, by winning blackjacks, and by perfect drawing/standing rules.

    So unfortunately in Black Jack you start out in the hole in terms of win/loss. But I will keep testing and posting a session video every day and we will see how it goes.
     
  17. coach belly

    coach belly Active Member

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    The odds for a player winning in a game of Blackjack is 42.22%.
    The chances of a dealer win is 49.1%.
    The remaining 8.48% are the odds of a tie.
     
  18. fathead

    fathead Well-Known Member

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    My mistake. The odds for a dealer win or push is about 58%.

    Can you tell that BlackJack is not my strength? lol. My wife likes BlackJack but I always lose. I do better at Craps or Baccarat.
     
    Last edited: Mar 22, 2023
  19. fathead

    fathead Well-Known Member

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    So 42.22+49.1=91.32

    Bettor = 42.22/91.32 *100 = 46.23%
    Dealer = 49.10/91.32 *100 = 53.76%

    So about 46 / 54 .
     
  20. ralphie1313bj!

    ralphie1313bj! Member

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    so how do u explain me and my friends winnings combined were up over 150k we are all lucky??? i wish it was a year from now and in a year and i am up over 100k what will u say i am still lucky or its still going to get me in the end ? its impossible for me to lose allready ? its said someone who been playing so many years does not see how its not 50/50 odds and next week i am going to double up and play 2 hands your talking 1000 a day and if that works what i am still just lucky? i do not know table min and max but if a 25 min table and the max allows u up to 9 in a row u could play that also and make a real killing. but anyone who would not flip a quarter and see what i am talking about is a sign of a closed minded person and i guess will never advance...
     

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