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Baccarat Stadium play 2019 February to August

Discussion in 'Baccarat Forum' started by Punkcity, Apr 2, 2020.

  1. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Troll tag team one accounts head , Skipptophia.
    Here is last 4 days of March summary plus average. Next post will be March monthly average plus February stats.
    I will address your question Jacob in a separate post after this and will tie in some information re two month accounts. Cheers

    Our carryover running bank from previous week was H+198 units.

    A=25/03/2019—31/03/2019=4 days
    B= total time played =562min=9:36 hours
    C=total games played =15 games
    D=total hands played=757 hands
    E=total hands WON =448 won
    F=total hands LOST =309 lost
    G=total units profit=+137 units
    H=total running bank =+335

    The week average is as follows

    A= 4 days
    Average time played per day= 2:3hrs
    Average games played p/day =3:75
    Average hands /day =189
    Average hands WON /day =112
    Average hands lost/day=77.2
    Average unit won /day=34
    Average unit won per hour/ day = 14:7 units
    Average minutes to profit +1 unit = 4:28 minutes

    End of week running bank =+335 units
    March =1 unit size =$200
    Stadium baccarat, 20 seconds decision
    Flat bet only 1x$200 unit.
    Cheers
     
  2. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Here is the monthly average for the 18 days played in March 2019. I will list the 4 week total individually for each heading , then the 18 day average etc. as per previous month listing.

    A=01/03—31/03/2019=18 days
    Average time played =441,315,281+562=1599 minutes =26.6 hours /18 days = 1:48 hours play per day
    Average games played p/ day =22,21,16+15=74/18=4:1 game/ day
    Average hands played/day =718,529,431+757=2435/18=135:2 hands/day
    Average hands WON p/day =385,296,252+448=1381/18=76:7 won p/day
    Average hands LOST p/day=315,224,178,+309=1025/18=57 lost p/day
    Average unit profit p/day =54,70,74+137=335/18=18:6 unit p/day.
    Average time to realise +1 unit profit =4:7 minutes p/day.

    We have a standing betting bankroll of $10 000 which has been locked up after first week of March. We also have the profit from February of $18 400. Plus we have March end of month profit of $200(1 unit) x + 335 units = $67 000
    Bankroll =+$10 000
    February profit =+$18 400
    March profit =+$67 000
    Grand total =+$95 400
    Deduct initial dart up bankroll =$5000

    Net total profit =$90 400

    Flat betting on a rng stadium baccarat at 20 seconds decisions
    You cannot win flat betting right?
    Cheers
     
  3. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    This is the combined figures for February and March, I’m listing February figures first etc.
    Initial bankroll $5000 from my personal account.

    Total days played =21+18=39days
    Total time played=895+1599=2494 minutes =41:5 hours
    Total games =84+74=158
    Total hands=1589+2435=4024
    Total hands WON =916+1381=2297
    Total hands LOST =670+1025=1695
    Total units profit=234+335=569

    Note some change in figures as wins on half price bankers are always rounded down.

    This is the two months average

    39 days played in total

    Average time play p/day =2494/39=63:9minutes p/day=1:04 hours p/day
    Average game play =158/39=4:05 games p/day
    Average hands played =4024/39=103 hands p/day
    Average hands WON p/day=2297/39=58:8 won.
    Average hands LOST p/day =1695/39=43:5 lost
    Average units profit p/day=569/39=14:46

    February Total net profit =234x100=$23400
    March Total net profit =335x200=$67000
    Total profit = $23400+$67000=$90400
    Average unit values = $90400/569 units profit =$158 per unit.

    Total time played =41:5 hours
    Total net profit divided by total time played = net hourly rate of profit
    $90400/41:5=$2178 per hour.

    This is just flat betting one unit.

    I would say the initial start bankroll of $5000 worked hard. So now we have returned that start up to personal bank account. We will now carry the $90400 feb/March profit over to April.
    The April betting unit will now be $300 it will still be referred to as a single betting unit as per previous months play. Once again we need to have our betting bankroll adjustment of 5day x10 units=5x10x$300=$15000 we will deduct this bankroll from our net profit of $90400 , leaving us with $75400 profit in reserve.

    I will not bother with the actual breakdown of my betting turnover but it was a lot more substantial than the previous months etc. Those of you who wish to work out the casino comp value just go back through the numbers and work it out for yourself .
    To answer your question Jacob game C67 had about 13 ties, and in total about 140 hands +13ties equals 153 odd hands of which I played 119 of them. That particular game I just stopped for a couple of hands here and there and watched. I let no more than 4 or so hands pass max as I was running a trailing profit stop of +5 units . I was in profit of +10 unit from previous game and wanted to see how this game would continue to unfold. When in doubt I stayed out but seemed to be able to cherrypick at the right ish time. I managed to increase the profit so also increased the trailing profit stop to +7 unit. It was non taxing mentally or physically so I kept at it until stopped out at +7.
    — Game C68 was really good game as everything just worked, I played every hand but once again there many ties about 12 ties also had a floating trailing profit stop.
    The advantage of playing rng stadium 20 seconds decision game is that you can churn the hand volume in a short amount of time. Yes you’re correct to play 150 plus hands on a table = two shoes minimum plus a minimum of 3 hours if you’re lucky to have a table to yourself. If you’re lucky the pit bosses don’t do chip reconciliation, lucky to have no dealer swap outs , lucky the dealer just churning out the hands in under 30 seconds plus payouts . No — not going to happen
    The other thing I find is with table is when it’s crap it’s crap for the whole shoe 80 ish hands at about 120-150 minutes whereas rng 80 crap hands can churn through in about 40 minutes . Each to there own I guess.
    The return per game in the last week of March was high but that’s just variance in action you will notice if you look back through posted day recording some games are 70 odd hands for a negative 3 unit or a 35 hand game for a negative 11unit result. This is why I say I don’t gamble this is why I say I don’t worry about that game result or the day results but my concern is the end of month result. On average I’m doing ok.
    I can tell you April was no where near as profitable as March, it was Easter I play 14 or so days for the month but we will see that as it’s posted.
    Flat betting huh.?
    Cheers
     
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  4. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Ok I noticed that there is an account error stated above post . I wrongly deducted the initial $5000 starting bankroll from the February profit of $23400. I had initially returned that $5000 after the first week of play and continue to fund the rest of the month from the running bankroll. So in fact the April holdover profits should be $80400.
    But because I’ve posted $75400 as the holding profit for start of April we will keep it at that. We will keep that other $5 k and would have used it on tips,meals,hookers and sundry expenses as per usual . Which brings me to another rule I follow. It was designed to stop the having to reach a target profit each day, and it allows me to draw from the shoe/game being played the amount it allows you to comfortably take. I have a separate expense account which is entirely separate from the betting bankroll, the carryover betting bankroll or the holding profits. I don’t tax my bankroll to fund expenses or vice versa. I find that works for me , I find that also stops me from being a gambler and using whatever funds , rent , mortgages, car payments etc to fund betting activities as the want of nearly all gamblers I know. When they are not around they are sourcing money to come back and gamble. Subtle or huge difference you decide, I know what I think.
    Cheers
     
  5. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Let’s push on with April play. Remember I’ve set my new unit at $300+ I have allocated the correct bankroll of $15000(5x10x$300). We have also put $75400 profit in the holding bank and I’m have my daily expense account with me. I usually start by getting some green chips for staff tips as this guarantees quick service etc.

    Once again the daily bankroll will not be included in the days profit tally but we start with the full ten unit day betting bank. As per usual I do have an EXTRA full ten unit day betting bankroll as backup in case I need to draw down, has happened before so I’m always ready.

    A01/04/2019_______H=0

    B33,C01,D51,E+28,F-23,G+5,H+5
    B10,C02,D17,E+10,F-7,G+3,H+8
    B10,C03,D18,E+14,F-4,G+10,H+18
    B36,C04,D56,E+28,F-28,G=,H+18

    K=89 minutes

    End of day profit +18 units
    End of day running bank H+18

    Little over $5k in about an hour and a half. Flat betting doesn’t work right. ? Yes the actual total was a little higher as I do press % wise but in order to keep it a little simple as this is somewhat tedious to type out etc we only record the initial base flat bet as opposed to H =+24:35 units that was actually won on the day. Thanks for your understanding .
    Cheers
     
  6. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Next day more flat betting
    Carryover running bank H+18 unit

    A=04/04/2019_______H+18

    B40,C5,D56,E+28,F-28,G-3,H+15
    B40,C6,D55,E+29,F-26,G+1,H+16
    B45,C7,D54,E+28,F-26,G+2,H+18,
    B5,C8,D05,E+4,F-1,G+3,H+21
    B50,c9,D74,E+42,F-32,G+10,H+31

    K=180 minutes

    End of day profit =+13 units
    End of day running bank H+31

    Last month March you may or may not have noticed but the wins on half price banks was very few . Without looking I’d say 5-7 max for the whole month. But here just two days into our new cycle we have had 7 or so half price bank wins already . It can impact on your frame of mind especially if you win three in a row but it’s a half price bank and your still not in profit then you continue and get moor 1/2 price wins. Reference C5 and C6 game. This is the variance catching up with you, lucky I’m flat betting had I been on the martingale or the up one down one system I’m still in a deeper hole than I need be. Why give them more money than you need to ? At the end of the day no pressure still up over $3k in 3 hrs
    Cheers
     
    Last edited: May 17, 2020
  7. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Let’s post another day before this lockdown is over as I’m less inclined to post as often when we all go back to work so to speak.

    Our carryover bankroll H+31

    A=06/04/2019_______H+31

    B30,C10,D46,E+24,F-22,G+2,H+33
    B10,C11,D18,E+13,F-5,G+8,H+41
    B8,C12,D13,E+10,F-3,G+7,H+48
    B29,C13,D44,E+21,F-23,,G-2,H+46

    K=77 minutes

    End of day profit= 15 units
    End of day running bank H +46

    Another example of variance some times the shorter game pays a lot of units as opposed to the 40.+ hand games. Nothing to worry about and is a good example of play to the shoe and not what your projecting the shoe should be.
    Another point of note some games played have different times posted for similar lengths of hand played. Example this month C1 as opposed to game C7,
    51 hands at 33 minutes versus 54 hands at 45 minutes, the time difference 90 %of the time is a large number of ties that occurred. In my record I note the tie on the day work book as I’m there but I don’t record the tie in the final hand tally as it generally has no effect on the stats other than average monthly time played. Yes it’s true in some sense it blows my profitability versus time ratio out , but I still account for time at screen as that particular game time. Also I may sometimes just sit for a few moments before I actually play be it to set up credits on screen, clean screen or just gather myself before actually playing. I consider this as game time and note the hour and minute from the start to when I cash out that game and leave. It is a procedure I have in place as years ago I inadvertently left money on the machine ( more than once through distractions) as I thought I have finished etc and left . Only to discover my missing Tito ( if I wasn’t playing with account link player card as one has to do on occasions to keep the true profit per play from casino) not on my possession.
    So now it’s similar to a sentence starting with a capital letter ie time stamp =start of play + deposit funds+ game play+ write records ++ end game+ withdrawal of funds via card or Tito + close book +pick up phone + end of game time stamp hours plus minutes = the full stop of the sentence..... One neat procedure that once again works for me to stay professional as possible as one less mistake is always good. Nothing quite as annoying as losing money by leaving it behind in a machine or chips at the bar or in the cushion of a chair etc you have worked to secure the profit over x amount of time and money to let it go without a wimmper
    Cheers
     
    Last edited: May 17, 2020

  8. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Well a small pause , as you can see we have had three days play and are up nearly $15000 already. So the question now becomes why not chip up the unit to a higher value example $300+$100=$400 unit? I had done this in the past chipped up too early and got burnt remember we are still playing a - ev game the variance is always there and will catch the unwary. Sometimes the psychological progression is a barrier in it’s self. I know I do have the appropriate bankroll to handle the increase ( at this particular instance ) but usually most others do not have the full amount in back up and will take the GAMBLE that they will continue to succeed. Even though I’ve bet in the thousands previously and at that time I was very accustomed to the level, I do find now after flat betting a certain amount for so long I do have a resistance when I increase the unit level and try to proceed regardless.
    So changing unit size mid way through a cycle ,here I work in a month cycle as I have mentioned many times, can be a detrimental event in your grand scheme of things. Some food for thought ,but if you don’t think it applies to yourself , no problem.
    Cheers
     
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  9. JacobBlaze

    JacobBlaze Active Member

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    thanks for the continued write ups, i look forward to them and appreciate the time it must take you. It really provides valuable info and knowledge and i hope the beginner gamblers take heed to the discipline approach. Lots of valuable nuggets in this thread. But we all must or will learn on our own through mistakes, bankroll busts etc. I will certainly use and am using (live dealer online low limit) a lot of your managing tips and tricks.

    Are your local casinos opening up? I am planning a trip to vegas first week of JUne ( i drive so its flexible) but am unsure what level of bacarat will be there at that time, im not even sure whEn they are opening yet.

    I have been following and have a few questions if you are able to answer, if not its OK as I know this is mostly your diary.

    Do you have an end goal in mind? $200K a month? what level will you stop increasing your chip value? nearly $100k in 2 months is impressive flat betting $100/$200

    Also i know you stated you dont have a win stop limit/loss top limit etc and you just keep playing until you feel physically/mentally OK and you set trailing winning stops etc (+5), as i am reading your posts it seems your long games are played to get back to some type of acceptable loss or back to even etc, and you have success. what are your biggest drawdowns in these long sessions 50/60/70 hands etc? are you ever -20 -30 etc and come back to even or a few units down?

    how i am testing on low limit live dealer online
    I am using a trailing profit like this: (i know probably too tight)

    i try not to play more than 20 hands a session

    if +3 quit at even
    if +5 quit +3
    if+8 quit +5
    if +11 quit +8
    if +15 quit +11
    if +20 quit +15

    i know probably square peg..round hole
     
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  10. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Good questions and I really appreciate your thoughtful way you are picking up the pieces. I am happy to have dialogue with you and others but only mention at start of thread that I’m not interested in idiotic questions, thoughtless questions nor having to help with people that just want the silver platter and refuse to use comprehension to at least half understand what is posted. Your question Jacob requires an answer as you demonstrate comprehension and your exploring beyond the usual sides of the box.

    The +3 as a suggestion have your stop profit at +1 or +2 rather than zero, as its physiologically better to have a profit at end of game than to be at a negative. The rest of the trailing profit stop you list looks good, you will tweak as you go, but it’s very similar to how I use it. Once again it’s up to your comfort level.
    Let’s continue. A +1 unit is just nice , as you will notice the longer you do the it we are talking about, if you look back on posts you will see lots of +1,+2, as opposed to +9,+10+bigger number here. Sure the bigger numbers are achieved and they do push the monthly totals along very nicely, but if you deduct the big numbers you will find that it’s only increases the tally by 30% or so. Take March as an example if you deduct any and all number above +9 you will see it account for about 120 units leaving an equally acceptable tally of + 200 ish units

    To finish on the longer games at even or = as I note the entry usually means I’m only ever getting to +1 , then = , then -1, then =, +1 rarely does that particular game played get to +2,+3. So in that instance I don’t mind stop at = or even-1-4 etc. I know from what I do I’m going to replace that loss. When I play at tables ,and I have remarked on previous posts, that most people HOPE to win I politely tell them I play my game because I Know I’ll win. Big difference.

    My host was in touch with me last Friday and nothing is confirmed re open star city before end of June. As posted each capital city of each state in Australia has only 1 casino licensed, save for Queensland it has three small ones ,marginally bigger than a sports club but able to have table games ( sport club cannot have table games)

    I have already posted my cap on stadium flat bet is $500 units as posted it’s just a bit more convenient time wise, plus I have as usual have worked out the most efficient and convenient money movement that suits my requirements. The feeding in $100 bills is time consuming so I use a combination of Tito’s plus my account linked player card to keep the day betting bank plus the reserve betting bank ready and instantly available. Example the stadium reader reads each bill deposited it accepts the bill or not =+5 seconds to accept add +2 or so seconds to register or reject ( spits bill out) . You only get 20 second to place a bet so to deposit $500 you need at least 30+ seconds ,you miss that win and as sometimes we want only +1 units to finish etc etc. So $500 is my cap. For the sake of this diary dialogue I started the thread at a $100 unit to show that you can achieve something and then build it up. I have been playing $500 unit for a couple of years now. Full disclosure I do play without player card about 50% of the time just to mask full monthly totals, to just skim the casino radar ish . I also bet larger amounts $1k at the tables to also play the radar game it makes the host comfortable . So I do play at tables but I don’t count that towards my pay rate from my main stadium job. It’s usually apart of my slutty day blow off steam day as per previous posted posts this thread or play2win thread if anyone cares to look for it.

    The lengthy gameplay is also another tactic I use to skim the radar the ,50,70,90 hands is with the player card and each and every bet win lose or tie draw is recorded on computer and I can get a monthly report from the casino per transaction if I want. They have my actual activity and when the long play nets me =,+1,2 or -4,3,2,1 etc that takes some heat from what I’m doing. In my opinion only seems to work so far.

    Part of the game is they want to see you at a negative return occasionally face it otherwise they shut it down. Correct?

    Full disclosure yes in the coming posts of June 2019 there are posts of -17 and -23 units ($500 unit) . That doesn’t happen too often but it does occur and one must be able to handle that. Yes some long game I’m down-5-7 etc and I do play to bring back if it looks like it may come back, sometime it’s just hovering at -5 or -3 and I decide it’s no coming back walk away. But in saying that I have posted relatively short games and be down-5,-6etc and walked away, to be that far down so quickly it’s a no , that’s a deadcat bounce, it’s not coming back. I’m equally aware if I’m playing the radar game that I don’t let it get too far into the negative . As for value goal setting the answer is No.

    I have previously posted I believe it’s a gamble fallacy and makes one prone to be predisposed to gamble rather than be as logical as one can be. Mho.
    I will harvest the game as the game allows ,if it’s a negative/= or a +x unit then that is what it is. I play as I perceive my rules to be that allow me to not gamble. I have previously posted that after an exceptional month the next month is somewhat more subdued either by time spent or game duration = a lower unit return. ( I’m happy with that, I really make sure nothing is reliant on how much I win. Sort of don’t live beyond your means and you don’t have the pressure to make ends meet.) Rightly or wrongly if that is a tactic that actually allows me to skim the radar again it’s what I do. But me thinks the casino is well and truly aware of what I do at least in the high 90% of what I cash out each month. Let’s see if my policy of don’t be a smart arse by rubbing the casino face in it ,to the casino letting me do as I do for as long as I can.
    Cheers thanks for your input. Cheers
     
    Last edited: May 18, 2020
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  11. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Also as a follow up here in Australia we don’t pay taxes on ANY winnings, hence I posted somewhere we don’t consider revenue from gambling as a social stigma nor being a gambler a form of stigma either. Win win I guess.
    So the amount of cash I move is via casino cheque and cash into my brick and mortar bank account. Hence why I say the casino knows my balance pretty much and they seem fine.
    Cheers
     
  12. JacobBlaze

    JacobBlaze Active Member

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    Thank you for the detailed reply/tips, I just need to get my bet selection up to par, but I am sure with your management style and discipline a mediocre bet selection will still win handsomely. I have been searching the MaCAu Roads online to try to decipher your bet selection a I don't think with the 20 sec decisions it can be that subjective a bet selection but a rather fixed style..for example cockroach and small eye just turned blue or red so bet player or banker..etc...

    Again thank you for your time.
     
  13. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Hmmm that’s a yes and also a no, a part of what you see unfolding it can be the yes but you have to decide on how much weight or perhaps how much do you place the handicap ( handicap is probably the better term) on the unfolding event . and is the main board the real trigger for next bet and not the roundeyed boy as an example. The value of handicap I place on each of the four screens fluctuate and I use that 18 or the 20 seconds plus the 5 seconds from previous hand dealing to make my decision. Hence from my posted full shoe result plus play plus explained notation you can see I can have a lag of three losses ,sometimes,before I make a win. That is the handicapping fluctuating into a workable method for me. and to look back say five hands you can alter your thought for the next bet especially if you have more than 20 second to respond, ie table play.
    As an example I can look back on the day book I’m posting to this thread and it’s almost a year ago and I can look at the information I’ve recorded and think I should have made more money there, or I think what was I thinking to have played as I did , I should never have played opposed bet or follow bet etc.
    — Bare in mind ,as I do ,the cognitive biases that full results can induce one to see. Hence some reluctance on my part to check your homework , so to speak, of the shoe you posted .
    As you are aware of the results you got from the shoe I posted you had a slightly different return. No one is truly correct or incorrect

    But truly you are getting there, it’s now just a practice ,time ,thing. No disrespect but I had spent hours in front of the screen when I first had an idea of what we are discussing. I would look at the clock ,see 6,8,10 hours gone, day after day for weeks I probably made a few bets also to test .Im talking literally thousands of hands eventually I settled on the progress bet at the table (not stadium )and didn’t do to well initially, I’m winning but running out of shoe to reclaim the up down ladder progression. To address a statement you just made in a prior post and this was actually the reason I had just logged on before I read this recent post from you, so good timing. You stated you try to play 20 hands max . funny enough that was the exact thought I had years ago and I forgot to mention an address in my last post . The problem with that was it actually became a limiting shackle and could also start to influence your decision making process re the fluctuations of handicapping plus because you want to finish in twenty hands. Another reason to play stadium was my answer to myself. Also to qualify now I don’t need twenty seconds can be as short as the decision is made for the next bet while this hand is being dealt. Etc. So yes with practice 20 seconds feels like forever and as I remarked to a casino technician that I asked to shorten a bank of screens that had been incorrectly set to 30 seconds that I could build a house in that time it took to get a result in 30 second, he said most people complain that 20 is too short and asked if I was crazy. I can also walk the tables and from my back counting days of card counting blackjack tables stop at a table count bet leave next table looking for favourable counts, I can do this in my head for baccarat but I’m mindful of the cognitive bias and how far the shoe is before finishing. Can be an easy couple of hundred on way to getting a cup of coffee/tea. Or not. ...

    I would remind you that the app you spoke about in another post is a very useful tool. I mentioned that I use that same app also. So I would recommend you utilise your time rather than surfing the net re Macau board play but use your laptop to play online ( free or very low limit) and use your phone app to log the results then use the information from your phone app as the true precursor to your bet nomination ie bank or player. I did mention I use this app as I play stadium. One reason is some stadium screen gives conflicting information especially if they have an older computer program, also found on some of the older screens live dealer the software will give the wrong information also. Example the cockroach road says banker blue you want banker blue , you bet banker and player wins and on screen result shows blue not red as per the indication of players pre result. I thought initially I looked at it wrong but it continue to happen, the frequency of the mistakes from the software was costing me. I almost decided that it was not worth my time and money. For some reason I came across the app we are talking about, then I ran the app at same time as the screen game and then I saw the app was 99:9 % correct as opposed to the screen software. Even the up to date screen software at the casino has a glitch in built. Use the app.
    Also I found on the screen ,cover the amount column on screen as that can be unnerving as you see the amount drop by $5k as opposed to dropping $5k in chips I find I have more of an emotional attraction to cash than chips. This is a casino thing use chips it’s not cash psychology etc. When I play I write my daily book up as the format I list in above posts example-1,-2,-3 or +2,+1,+2 etc rather than -$500,-$1000 etc less to write, less psychological attachment build a house in 15 seconds.
    Your bet selection needs to be 53% correct to cover house edges with what you are embarking on you will achieve that easily. Eventually stop back testing already played hands then start paper betting live hands.
    On my daily work book I post the result I am aiming for then I post the actual results plus the + or - unit tally, also the symbol of a triangle to indicate a tie plus the - or + symbol to indicate why I chose that bet selected I then put a red line underneath the result if lost or a blue / black line if won . Hence a year later with minimum writing I can see the complete story of action taken rightly or wrongly.
    Example O = bank P=player
    Intended bet#####O, P
    Actual result #####P, P,triangle
    Red line first loss , blue line win
    Indicated symbols #- , +
    On the same line as symbols I would have the + or - unit tally
    Cheers
     
    JacobBlaze likes this.
  14. JacobBlaze

    JacobBlaze Active Member

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    Thank you, this helps so much, and is inspiring.
    .

    "No disrespect but I had spent hours in front of the screen when I first had an idea of what we are discussing. I would look at the clock ,see 6,8,10 hours gone, day after day for weeks I probably made a few bets also to test .Im talking literally thousands of hands eventually"

    Your posts show how much you've put in to get where you are. And like anything else in life if you work hard it eventually pays off. No free lunches.
    So I know that what you post will "help" those who truly are looking to improve their game.

    I am there with you on the thousands of hours and days that I've tested,playedaplayed retested various methods, and am lucky to say I am overall positive in bacarat, but I know most of it was luck that the black swan events didn't completely wipe me out. Along with tight money management. If I would have not been so good at managing my "gambling" bankroll i could easily be down hundreds of thousands now..
    Most of us including myself will never find what you found through your hard work, but at least you shared some of your hard earned knowledge to help us help ourselves. Thank you and continued success to you.
     
    Punkcity and Nathan Detroit like this.

  15. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Your welcome. Good luck.
     
  16. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Instead of continue the daily posts then summary of week , I think we all have an idea of what is happening. As you are aware of the particular months unit value you will be aware of the running total end of day in real $ terms. Im not sure if the summary is of real value to anyone, as a tool I find it helpful but you may not . So I will only post the end of month summary for April onwards. I will continue to list in same format and if anyone wants a particular game deconstructed I will.
    Cheers
     
  17. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Ok our carryover running bank H+46 unit

    A=07/04/2019_______H+46

    B30,C14,D40.E+22,F-18,G+4,H+50
    B4,C15,D12,E+7,F-5,G+2,H+52
    B50,C16,D73,E39,F-34,G+5,H+57

    K= 84 minutes

    End of day profit =+11 units
    End of day running bank H+57

    As per my usual game procedure I am now locking up my 5 day x 10 units x$300 unit value =$15000 betting bankroll. I will now draw directly from the H+57 unit running bank as my daily betting bank. That’s equivalent to the 5x 10 daily bankroll we start each month with.
    —I find it’s a pressure releasing tool as I know my initial bankroll is now safe . I know that if a catastrophic black swan event occurs I can immediately go back to my initial bankroll and continue. Most people who ” gamble “ do not protect the betting bankroll. They are content to gamble, blow though the betting bank with no resources then they lose time in scrapping together another bankroll etc . To me this is a fundamental procedure to being able to make more money. This is also why as previously posted I don’t set value goals because I need X amount of money units because I MUST have a certain amount for living, bills etc. You should also be aware that by now even after just two months you should have enough money in reserve and should not be feeling any financial pressure at all.
    Once again my opinion only.
    Cheers
     
  18. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    The carryover running bank H+57, this is also our new daily bankroll.

    A=08/04/2019_______H+57

    B23,C17,D38,E+23,F-15,G+4,H+61
    Huge number of 1/2 bank wins.
    B5,C18,D9,E5,F-4,G+1,H+62

    K=28 minutes

    End day profit +5 units
    End day running bank H+62

    A=09/04/2019_______H+62

    B20, C19,D27,E+15,F-12,G+3,H+65
    B5,C20,D5,E+4,F-1,G+3,H+68

    K=25 minutes

    End day profit =+6 units
    End day running bank H+68

    A=11/04/2019_______H+68

    B33,C21,D27,E+11,F-16,G-5,H+63
    Numerous ties.
    B11,C22,D11,E+8,F-3,G+5,H+68
    B14,C23,D16,E+8,F-8,G=,H+68
    B3,C24,D4,E+3,F-1,G+2H+70
    B5,C25,D9,E+5,F-4,G+1,H+71
    B6,C26,D9,E+6,F-3,G+3,H+74

    K =72 minutes

    End day profit =+6 units
    End day running bank H+74
    Cheers
     
  19. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover bankroll H+74

    A=13/04/2019_______H+74

    B15,C27,D24,E+12,F-12,G=,H+74
    B7,C28,D7,E+4,F-3,G+1,H+75
    B50,C29,D84,E+40,F-44,G-4,,H+71

    K=68 minutes

    End of day LOSS = -4 units
    End of day running bank H+71
    Must have been a Friday or some other fallacies in play. Light humour

    A=14/04/2019_______H+71

    B10,C30,D16,E+8,F-8,G=,H+71
    B40,C31,D57,E+31,F-26,G+4,H+75
    K=50 minutes

    End of day profit =+4 units
    End day running bank H+75

    A=15/04/2019_______H+75

    B10,C32,D18,E+13,F-5,G+8,H+83
    B15,C33,D25,E+10,F-15,G-5,H+78
    B18,C34,D23,E+17,F-5,G+11,H+89

    K= 43 minutes

    End of day profit =+14 units
    End of day running bank H+89

    Swings and roundabouts, a bit of variance kicking in, but still with a level head we still managed +5 units average per last 3 days , once again we focus on monthly total rather than daily losses to keep us focused.

    I’m of the above opinions because I have yet to have 5 days or more of continuous losses .

    With total honesty
    I would like to say I would be able to handle the psychological and emotional duress of such a downturn at the unit level I’m currently at .BUT— I really do not know if I would implode or not. As I acknowledge that I’m playing a -EV game I sometimes wonder if in someway I’m becoming complacent. Guess I will have to address that if and when it happens.
    Cheers
     
  20. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    I’m not sure if it was gr8 or soxfan said on one of their excellent posts each new session is a new event similar to playing a new game of football each day same stressful etc etc. Sometimes it does feel like walking through a dark alley in a rough part of town then you turn into the next alley and do it again. So taking a day or two break helps. Cheers
     

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