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TurboGenius The Limits of Random - 2020

Discussion in 'TurboGenius's Forum' started by TurboGenius, Jan 13, 2020.

  1. TurboGenius

    TurboGenius Well-Known Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Jan 25, 2015
    Likes:
    1,794
    Occupation:
    Self proclaimed Theoretical Philosopher
    Location:
    Near Atlantic City New Jersey
    Yet another subject that is very popular on roulette discussion forums is
    the so-called debate about how random performs.

    It's always interesting how those who don't agree that random has limits
    will also agree that it does - even to exploit it when possible.
    When a bias wheel is detected, this process of testing proves in itself that
    the current spins are not "random" and a bias is present... yet the same people
    will argue that random has no limits.
    It would give the reader the wrong idea that with random "anything can happen".....
    either given enough time or spins... "anything" is possible with random.
    This simply isn't true. There are things that do happen, but these prove that
    a wheel isn't producing random results (bias) and further backs up the argument
    for random having limits.

    As a quick initial demonstration I've uploaded a video showing software tracking
    the results of spins as they happen.



    =================================================

    Now, this is how random performs.
    It isn't chaotic and unpredictable, it actually shows predictable results.
    It also shows the limits that random has.

    Assume for a moment at spin #1 that we have a fresh set of data being
    charted.... is there any locations below 0 ? No. 0 appearances is the low limit
    at all times. This already is a limit that exists naturally.
    Now a number can appear 10 times more than the others for example... but as soon
    as it gets beyond "random" in results the "FAIL" will appear and this isn't considered
    a random outcome game.
    It could be from a wheel defect or some other cause, but it isn't random.
    There is a high limit - and when this limit is surpassed - we don't have random
    results.
    This again yet alone proves that random has limits.. a low limit and a high limit
    and as spins go by (as in the video) - all numbers will gain hits randomly and the
    circle grows... at no time is there some strange deviation from this "random"
    and if there were, it would NOT be random. The results would have gone beyond
    the limits.

    Example #1 -
    untitled.png

    I created 2 blue dots to represent fictional numbers.
    One is off on it's own near the center of the circle - it would have appeared
    at some "impossible" place in the chart, and another outside of the bottom right -
    again appearing at some "impossible" place.

    If either of these were an event, "random" would not be the result... because random
    has limits.

    The green line represents the "mean" or the average -
    as we can see MOST numbers appear incredibly close to this "average".
    Some have appeared more than expected and are outside of the green average line.
    Some have appeared less than expected and are inside of the green average line.

    The blue line that connects them all SHOULD be considered as an analogy I like
    to use - a "rubber band" that contains random. Some can be greater and some less
    than average - but this ALL happens within a controlled area -
    what isn't possible with "random" is for either of the blue dots that I added to happen.
    If so, then there isn't random - there is a bias/malfunction or defect in the
    apparatus producing the spins.

    So while many will argue that "anything is possible" - I've just proved and demonstrated
    that this statement is false.

    Random HAS limits, when it doesn't - it's NOT random.
     
    Last edited: Jan 13, 2020
    mr j, Systematic, trellw24 and 2 others like this.
  2. Jhincks

    Jhincks Member

    Joined:
    Jan 8, 2020
    Likes:
    8
    Location:
    UK
    I agree, well said.
    I think you're on the right track but your aiming is off.
    Refine the ordering then it's all about the triggers.

    Cheers
     
  3. John Blerg

    John Blerg Well-Known Member 👹 Troll 👹

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2018
    Likes:
    189
    Occupation:
    Founder of CalAsia Proven Baccarat Wagering Method
    Location:
    Self Banned Troll
    Gizomtran said that all table games will be in museums except poker because of his breaking the code and that will cause all casinos to go bankrupt. he posted it on this forum board. what do you think?
     
  4. Denzie

    Denzie Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2019
    Likes:
    243
    Location:
    belgium
    Imagine the damage one could do if only they had enough time to track numbers......
     
  5. Naughty but nice

    Naughty but nice Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 14, 2019
    Likes:
    229
    Location:
    UK
    As long as you know the averages
    upload_2024-1-11_8-41-56.png
    upload_2024-1-11_8-42-44.png

    upload_2024-1-11_8-43-50.png
     
  6. Naughty but nice

    Naughty but nice Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 14, 2019
    Likes:
    229
    Location:
    UK
    Luck of the Irish data
    I ran about 500 000 cycles of 37 spins and came up with the following:

    (Number on left is number of unique numbers and next number is how many times a spin cycle had exactly that many unique numbers in the test)

    37 spin cycle:

    15 1
    16 12
    17 202
    18 1417
    19 6020
    20 18309
    21 41304
    22 73951
    23 98780
    24 102814
    25 80164
    26 47276
    27 20934
    28 6706
    29 1685
    30 349
    31 35
    32 5
    This is a test I did in November. I tested over 1 million single zero RNG spins and got this:

    2 3210
    3 6251
    4 9017
    5 10906
    6 12398
    7 12852
    8 12454
    9 11478
    10 10007
    11 8619
    12 6845
    13 5243
    14 3857
    15 2730
    16 1816
    17 1128
    18 687
    19 355
    20 246
    21 96
    22 61
    23 29
    24 16
    25 5
    26 3
    27 0
    28 0
    29 0
    30 0
    31 0
    32 0
    33 0
    34 0
    35 0
    36 0

    The most unique numbers in a row was 25 (The 26 means it hit on the 26th spin, so 25 unique numbers in a row) and this happened only 3 times.
    Post above 20 spins NO repeat.
     

    Attached Files:

  7. Denzie

    Denzie Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 28, 2019
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    243
    Location:
    belgium
    Notto, my point was to show how we could make a ton of money with the fallacy . ( nothing about 24 numbers) The fallacy is nicely at work in TG's video . This could be done flat-betting but I would definitely put a progression on it. I've done dozens of these tests and it's DEFINITELY a solid way to make money. There are times when we finally select our numbers (1-4) that some remain at their spot for more spins. That's why we play multiple and don't bet every spin. (Although we could)

    Notice the area on the wheel around #1 and #23 "catching up "...
     


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