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Baccarat True Bias

Discussion in 'Baccarat Forum' started by Sputnik, Sep 7, 2023.

  1. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2014
    Likes:
    398
    This is not a finished play and go is just one experiment.

    I wanted to show how two events out of three dominate for even money.
    Same as two dozen on roulette.

    I take a loss of two when I get a triplet.
    Otherwise, we win or break even and I let it ride to see how many strikes you can get for 3 to 4 shoes.

    31113 2 ....................WWWL
    212212221 3 ............LW
    313 2 ........................LW
    231 ...........................LL
    113 2 ........................SKIP
    2111 3 ......................WWL
    32233 1 ....................LW
    112111 3 ..................SKIP
    313313 2 ..................LW
    21122 3 ....................WL
    331131 2 ..................WWL
    231 ...........................LL
    23323 1 ....................LW
    12112121 3 ..............WWL
    311 2 ........................WL
    232 1 ........................WL
    1311111111 2 ..........WWWWWWWWL
    21111 3 ................... WWWL
    3331 2 ......................WWL
    213 ...........................LL
    11212 3 ....................SKIP
    321........................... LL
    3323 1 ......................WWL
    1211122 3 ................WWWL
    321........................... LL
    131113 2 ..................WWWL
    231 ...........................LL
    112 3 ........................SKIP
    311 2 ........................WL
    212121 3 ................. LW
    31111 2 ....................WWWL
    231 ...........................LL

    Here is the LW-Registry without letting it ride ...
    W LW LW LL W LW LW W W LL LW W W W W W W LL LL W W LL W LL W LW W LL

    The longest strike with the two events above was 11
    I also try to ride a trend but the chop with wins and loses and ending up with break-even gathering then profiting.

    The main idea comes from Turbo Genius who shows how triplets underperform and where domination dominates.
    So you see two events and they will continue to strike more often than you will see triplets.
    And when you get one string starting with two 1s you can not reduce the betting to two events, that is why I skip them.

    Cheers
     
    Jimske likes this.
  2. cps10

    cps10 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2016
    Likes:
    355
    Location:
    North Carolina
    Hi Patrik

    I’m just trying to follow what you’re doing here. How I play is different. I would have had won 10.25 units on this example flat betting and assuming all 75 of my wins were on Banker (which they would not have been of course) with 61 losses. Had I applied my normal progression, that goes up to 37.15 units. I could have also factored the Lanky divisor and played it that way. All of course saying they were Banker wins which they wouldn’t have been.
     
  3. twibble

    twibble Member

    Joined:
    Aug 16, 2020
    Likes:
    13
    Location:
    uk
    31113 2 ....................WWWL 3,1,now go for 1 and win ,now go for 1 win, now go for 1 and lose,now go for 3 and win now go for 3(you need a 2 to make three) and win. wait and it stays at 2 .so i get WWLWW. or if i wait for the two and then bet for the three and lose i would have WWLWL.
    212212221 3 ............LW 2,1 bet for 1 and lose, bet for 2 win, bet for 2 win,bet for 2 lose, bet for 1 lose, bet for 2 win,bet for 2 win,bet for 2 win,bet for 2 lose,bet for 1 lose,bet for 2 lose.

    LWWLLWWWLLL
    or am i barking up the wrong tree? as i don't understand where you get LW.
     
  4. twibble

    twibble Member

    Joined:
    Aug 16, 2020
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    13
    Location:
    uk
    can somebody enlighten me?
     
  5. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2014
    Likes:
    398
    Hello - the reason I stopped at LW is that I believe you should stop and not continue.
    And only ride when you get a direct win or get WL same as above.
    This narrows down to two losses at most.

    But you can forget about this approach as it will also show a 345 std loss as any other existing approach in this forum.
    The truth is that no matter if you wait for a new shoe or for a bad strike to end or play in cycles or cut or avoid in any combination.
    You can not escape from a 345 stdv loss.

    Cheers
     
    asymbacguy likes this.
  6. twibble

    twibble Member

    Joined:
    Aug 16, 2020
    Likes:
    13
    Location:
    uk
    Thank you
    W LW LW LL W LW LW W W LL LW W W W W W W LL LL W W LL W LL W LW W LL this is pretty good thou.
     

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