Systems that attempt to exploit unhit numbers, such as the KTF, on live wheels are a bad idea for the following reasons: 1. Defective wheels. Betting on unhit numbers increases the chance that you could be betting on negatively biased numbers. Such numbers hit less frequently than they should for physical reasons. This means that the player could lose not just at the house edge, but at a rate that could theoretically exceed the house edge. If anyone would like proof of such a wheels, then drop me a PM. I would be happy to provide you with the data. 2. Numbers are never due to hit or catch up, since the number of pockets remain the same on the wheel from one spin to the next. 3. The up as you lose progressions associated with such systems limits the player to a paltry win, since the initial bet must be so low. The bankroll fluctuations could be larger than expected because the player is chasing their losses on potentially hazardous bets. Mathematically an up as you lose progression makes no sense. The better option is to bet on the numbers that have hit the most and or most recently. 1. Attempting to bet on the hottest numbers increases the chance that the player will exploit some inefficiency in the actual wheel in the forum of a bias/defect. This is where the player can actually make money and get the edge...by exploiting inefficiencies in the wheel. 2. This slightly reduces the chance of the player betting on a negatively biased number and ever so slightly increases the chance that the player could be wagering on a biased number. The more data the player collects before wagering, the better the odds are of getting the advantage. 3. The player should reduce the number of numbers bet down to just one and no more than ten numbers. The more numbers the player bets on, the greater the odds are that they will be betting on a random goat or worse yet, a negatively biased number. If only one or two of the numbers is biased, but the others are random goats, then the random numbers or negatively biased numbers may wipe out the edge of the biased numbers. In roulette, less is more. Bet on fewer numbers. 4. The player should wager a percentage of their bankroll at each spin, rather than running an up as you lose progression. In the event that the player is lucky or is wagering on biased numbers, the wins will on average be much larger than the paultry wins that are achieved with an "up as you lose progression." The player's initial bet can also be much larger, increasing the chance of a large win. 5. Ignatus has recently come up with some clever quick play methods that chase hot numbers. Most of his hot number methods are vastly superior to the unhit number systems like the KTF. Good luck, The General ./index.php?topic=16956.0 Source.