Discussion in 'Roulette Forum' started by BlueAngel, Sep 19, 2018.
[Sir Anyone] - "But all the experts throughout time have said......"
Go ahead, we're waiting.
It sounds good in theory, but when you test the theory is not working.
Maybe I did something wrong, but i follow the simple instructions.
I think Blue angel meant two interval that increase but that are also late on 37 spins... In your example, numbers came out in the 37 spins cycle as them should, so them are not late and shouln't be bet. ( well i think so)
@TG, yeah, the same old story...sigh!
@Sputnik & Sharptracker
Your mistake was that there should be 3 increasing intervals with 4 hits in total, for example number 26 hits after 13 spins, that's the 1st interval, then hits for third time after 24 spins, that's the 2nd interval, then hits after 40 spins, that's its 4th hit/3rd interval.
In such case you would bet number 26 for up to 40 spins.
Is it clear?
"Exposing the Gambler's Fallacy
You're playing roulette, and red has just come up eight times in a row! Now's the time to bet on black, right? Wrong. Red and black are equally likely. Even though we've just seen a bunch of reds. How can this be? Let's find out.
The idea that an event becomes more likely if it hasn't happened for a while is called the gambler's fallacy. (It applies to non-gambling events too, though.) It seems logical, but it's not true. If it were true, all you'd have to do to win would be to wait until red has come up several times in a row and bet on black. If that worked, casinos couldn't stay in business. But because it doesn't work, they're happy to provide the marquee that shows recent numbers, and the pads and pencils or baccarat players to track what's happened before. That's your clue that it's not gonna help.
The reason it doesn't work is simple: it doesn't matter what happened before. Past results have no bearing on future results. If the odds of getting heads on a coin flip are 50-50, it doesn't matter what was flipped before. Same for the roulette wheel. But coin flips are easy to understand, so let's look at those.
The probability of getting heads on a coin flip is 1 out of 2. That's one way to win out of two possible outcomes. We can write that as the fraction 1/2. That's easy, but what about the odds of getting two heads in a row, on two flips? To figure this we multiply by the probability of each event:"
So then red can show up 144 times in a row without a black showing up....
Yet there is a record actually for how many times a even money bet repeated and how
many times one didn't show...... somehow statistics prove that random has limits, yet
some human brains can't understand how that works - they hear "random" and their
brain goes into "impossible to predict" mode. No wonder so many people don't win.
What the AP guys and computer guys say is : “the only reason you didn’t see 144 reds in a row is because you didn’t play long enough”
We know that’s ridiculous.
Also remember. Both are “selling something”
I didn't get hit by lightning 20 times....
"Well, that's just because you didn't live to be 50,000 years old,
we all know that if you could possibly live that long, it could maybe happen."
This is the reasoning they use, and then tell people this is reality. It's strange.
I’ve noticed this for quite some time
They say the same thing about 37 uniques in 37 spins
Well you see old sport, you just didn’t play long enough
I'm always amused by people that can't comprehend basic probability, and how their convinced that everyone that does comprehend it is wrong.
Tell us again how your system wins again because two comes after one, and three comes after two. It's some real deep stuff!
By the way, Michael Bluejay, the guy that wrote that article, is I believe a mathematician/actuary. How about you? Are you a mathematician/actuary? Given your qualifications you really should write him and tell him just how wrong he really is!
I'm professional gambler and I've better things to do than criticizing an article.
Got any good advice for doing taxes between states that don't have income tax and states that do?
No you're not and no you don't. I've read your systems. They don't work.
You are truly amazing, God bless you!
I'm not a tax expert, neither have been to such situation, but I guess your best bet is an offshore formation if we are talking more than 100K.
Not to offend but i 've learnt that anyone can claim anything... there is topics that deal about that here. Professional gambler is ,in reality, an euphemism... In fact it is long term slave 's cashier, unfortunetely. I mean, just look at the two words, them cannot match together...
A long time ago I agreed that what happens previously in the game has nothing to do with what happens afterwards, but now I do not agree, it is not a fallacy and I can assure and demonstrate (that I will not do it because I expose myself to say things that some that go from experts, do not know!) that there is a relationship between what comes before what comes out later.
100% confirmed and I care very little what you think and say about what I just said.
Everyone has an opinion, do I have to prove myself to you?
I don't think so, believe what you want, I don't care.
Ok then, bye. Nothing left to say.
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