Roulette DOZEN , always nearly equilibrium in series bet?

BET DOZEN WILL REPEAT

[bet a new dozen will SERIES],
Wait for new dozen to appear, to bet it will repeat, or series.

If lose, bet the new dozen will repeat.
If win, wait for new Dozen, to bet again
======================
for easy eyes visualization,
Dozen, 1,2,3=

1-12=A,
13-24=B,
25-36=C.
NB=NO BET.
======================
I choose a sample , randomly
it happen that the three dozens have unequal hit.
=====================
Spielbank Hamburg
Tisch 0001
02.04.2001
Gewinnzahlen:

FLATBET ONLY

34C NB...bet next=C
35C HIT1
8A NB
5A HIT2
34C NB
13B lose1
34C lose2
18B lose3
18B HIT3
35C NB
2A lose4
10A HIT4
7A NB
10A NB
27C NB
32C HIT5
19B NB
29 C lose5
13B lose6
5A lose7
2A HIT6
6A NB
----
10A NB
6A NB
24B NB
33C lose8
00 X lose9
33C NB
35C HIT7
4A NB
16B lose10
32C lose11
27C HIT8
36C NB
25C NB
16B NB
1A lose12
----
7A HIT9
36C NB
20 B lose13
24 B HIT10
5A NB
4A HIT11
----
7A NB
16B NB
27C lose14
35C HIT12
25C NB
30C NB
24 B NB
29 C lose15
35C HIT13
5A NB
16B lose16
00 XX lose17
34C NB
14B lose18
11A lose19
----
7A HIT14
28C NB
8A lose20
15 B lose21
20B HIT15
9A NB
5A HIT16
12A NB
----
31C NB
33C HIT17
25C NB
22 B NB
16B HIT18
22B NB
13B NB
31C NB
24 B lose22
21B HIT19
----
26C NB
10A lose23
14B lose24
17 B HIT20
22B NB
30C NB
19B lose25
4A lose26
26C lose27
1A lose28
35C lose29
28C HIT21
34C NB
31C NB
17B NB
1A lose30
25C lose31
16B lose32
20B HIT22
24B NB
26C NB
30C HIT23
----
11A NB
6A HIT24
6A NB
23B NB
18B HIT25
22B NB
30C NB
36C HIT26
20B NB
33C lose33
29C HIT27
18B NB
20B HIT28
12A NB
----
22B lose34
14B HIT29
18B NB
13B NB
19B NB
26C NB
24B lose35
32C lose36
25C HIT30
28C NB
9A NB
22B lose37
13B HIT31
29C NB
----
22B lose38
10A lose39
20B lose40
00 LOSE41
6A nb
2A HIT32
16B nb
25C lose42
23B lose43
33C lose44
28C HIT33
29C NB
20B nb
13B HIT34
18B NB
36C NB
30C HIT35
30C NB
----
18B NB
18B HIT36
5A NB
35C lose45
26 C HIT37
26C NB
3A NB
12A HIT38
----
1A NB
28C NB
24B lose46
5A lose47
25C lose48
13 B lose49
5A lose50
23B lose51
36C lose52
15B lose53
4A lose54
11B lose55
28 C lose56
29C HIT39
----
30C NB
19B NB
9A lose57
19B lose58
4A lose59
3A HIT40
28C NB
6A lose60
26C lose61
2A lose62
13B lose63
27C lose64
34C HIT41
8A NB
----
13B lose65
5A lose66
8A lose67
8A HIT42
11A NB
6A NB
21B NB
29C lose68
28C HIT 43
35C NB
18B NB
16B HIT44
33C NB
----
21B lose69
26C lose70
16B lose71
00 X lose72
31C NB
33C HIT 45
24B NB
6A lose73
27C lose74
27C HIT46
25C NB
9A NB
26C lose75
35C HIT 47
16B NB
----
36C NB
23B lose76
4A lose77
29C lose78
33C HIT 48
26C NB
3A NB
25C lose79
14B lose80
----
30C lose81
00 X lose82
19B NB
00 X LOSE83
23B NB
12A lose84
35C lose85
00 X lose86
5A NB
31C lose87
6A lose88
27C lose89
1A lose90
27C lose91
33C HIT49
7A NB
11A HIT50
23B NB
16B HIT51
8 A NB
33C lose92
----
20B lose93
4A lose94
18B lose95
10A lose96
14B lose97
7A lose98
====

HIT=51
LOSE=98

Anzahl Spiele: 244
H剈figkeiten:
0 7
1 5
2 4
3 3
4 7
5 10
6 9
7 6
8 6
9 4
10 6
11 5
12 4
13 9
14 5
15 2
16 11
17 2
18 10
19 6
20 8
21 3
22 7
23 6
24 8
25 9
26 10
27 8
28 8
29 8
30 8
31 5
32 3
33 10
34 6
35 10
36 6
Schwarz 124
Rot 113
Pair 126
Impair 111
Passe 129
Manque 108
1. Dutzend 69
2. Dutzend 77
3. Dutzend 91
1. COL 85
2. COL 77
3. COL 75
1- 3 12
4- 6 26
7- 9 16
10-12 15
13-15 16
16-18 23
19-21 17
22-24 21
25-27 27
28-30 24
31-33 18
34-36 22
1- 6 38
4- 9 42
7-12 31
10-15 31
13-18 39
16-21 40
19-24 38
22-27 48
25-30 51
28-33 42
31-36 40
Uhrzeit Spielbeginn:
14.58
Uhrzeit letzte Zahl/Spielende:
23.38


Thus U can see that the win/loss= always near EQUILIBRIUM.

This just mean , if u take every spins , then u will depend on LUCK to win.

So, if it is TRUE that the series/single always nearly equilibrium,
Then what u gonna do to ensure constant win???

 

Equilibrium is an assumption meant for very long run only. If you expect an equilibrium when you play for that, sadly, you may not get that often.
Variance is the absolute reality of any way you can bet. No way of betting is superior to other, by itself. No way of betting will give you any edge. Every bet will face hard times and u can not guess when.

 

[
... is the absolute reality of any way you can bet. No way of betting is superior to other, by itself. No way of betting will give you any edge. Every bet will face hard times and u can not guess when.[/QUOTE]

Hi Albalaha,

U try to,... after "hard time", as u advocate.
If u scrutinize every spins session, u may see that the ,
the 'hard time' may also present in any series/single strategy...

Maybe I think that at least they may try to equilibrium,
after a while that u may win even FLATBET,

for example.

If u could "SIEVE-SIEVE-SIEVE",
the "hard time" away...
then u just bet the un-sieved portion.
Then u may win FLATBET...!

Why not u try a few thousand spins, as I cant programming.
and see how the effect?

I think we have same IDEA, but different English ...hehehee

 

No Wong,
You have got a wrong assumption. If at present, a bet is too bad, it doesn't mean it will go very good or even at exact average later. A bet may continue to remain below expected average, so long you can play. Have you seen how #3 behaves in zumma throughout 15k spins? Only thing you may assume for long run is, it can not go too harsh, averagely, in long run.
for example, you can see all 20 Blacks in the next 20 spins, it doesn't mean, u will see 20 Reds in next 20 spins or even 10 Reds with any kind of guarantee. Only and only we can expect that there would not be all 20 Blacks again in next 20 spins.
Equilibrium is something you may not get for a bet even after playing 1 million spins or even more. House edge further makes it tougher for all bets. good times need not compensate for the earlier superbad time. A superbad time may be followed by bad times and later below average time. Keep this in mind.

 

I think and wonder. It seems (I could be wrong) that the suppositions about this
divergence (or not) are usually based around picking one choice. I still maintain that
a more sensible idea is not sticking to one choice. Like red or black, or #3. Because
yes, I suppose that black could come in 65 times in 100 or something. But if you
are playing something "relative", like "next to last". Or last two dozen (letting the
sleeper go) I thing that that is a better tracking mechanism.

 

No bet is absolutely better or worse. One may think that only due to lack of knowledge of probability, randomness or inability to simulate and test.
When you simulate any betting style, all falls for same sort of troubles over long run. I can write this on a stone that no bet is better than other.

 

I think that, even though I was writing what I wrote, I agree with you. Even though I know what
I said.

I do day trading. One notion that is true is that you need to learn to make trades for real on what is
called the "hard right edge". Which is what it says. You don't see what is coming. And it happens.
The idea and notion as you look at charts is you think and you note all the places you could have
placed a trade and won the trade. Sometimes I have wondered why this is so true that learning
from seeing those moves isn't "educational".

Well what I learned is that, in effect, we see and take note of those winning moves and ignore
all the losing spots that we might have taken. And think we have it in a bag.

So when you look at gambling results it is the same thing. We only focus on the things that work.

If that is true. And what you said is true. Then there must be the same amount of positive stuff
going on that we just don't take notice of.

There is another trading rule. Let your profits run and cut your losses. Do you think gambling systems
work that way?

 

All sort of gambling are based upon uncertainty(randomness) and probability. We can't guess which one of the bet will be good or bad or average. We can't forsee future. If it gets even slightly possible, all casinos will shut their shops. The extent or stretch of the variance can also not be predicted or beaten by any mean. It makes a casino unbeatable. You may feel like referring to this topic of mine: http://albalaha.lefora.com/topic/18734189/makes-casino-absolutely-unbeatable-long-run-observations