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Powell vs dollar: will he support or let it float freely?



At the start of the symposium in Jackson Hole, the intrigue about the succeeding dynamics of the dollar increases. Market participants are tensely waiting for what Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will say and how his speech will affect the current monetary policy and the prospects of the greenback.

At previous symposiums, Powell paid attention to very important issues. In 2020, he announced monetary stimulus for the American economy affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Last year, the key moment was the statement about the temporary nature of inflation and the curtailment of incentives. Powell's mistake. His stance on inflation has cost the world and American economies dearly, although this situation is fixable.

In 2022, the theme of the event is a reassessment of the current constraints in the economy, namely a large-scale price increase and ways to combat off-scale inflation. Experts are considering two scenarios of Powell's speeches:

1) Basic
The head of the Fed will once again pay attention to extremely high inflation, stressing that the monetary authorities will fight it. The US central bank will do everything possible to maintain economic growth in the United States.

2) Negative
Powell will confirm that the Fed is following the chosen course and is ready to aggressively raise rates to combat inflation. Against this background, the US economy will experience strong pressure. In addition, there may be an increase in yields and a correction in the markets. However, there are no prerequisites for the implementation of the second scenario.

According to experts, Powell's actions will determine the further dynamics of the greenback. Market participants expect that Powell's speech will clarify the immediate prospects of monetary policy. According to analysts, Powell "will try to manage market expectations" while maintaining the hawkish position of the Fed. On Thursday, August 25, at the symposium that began in Jackson Hole, representatives of the Fed confirmed their intention to raise rates and keep them at a high level until inflation weakens. At the same time, investors remain optimistic about the US currency and cautious with a negative bias towards the European one.

The dollar showed confidence this week, gaining momentum after the release of positive macroeconomic data. As a result, in the second quarter of 2022, the US GDP growth rate was revised upward (from -0.9% to -0.6%). At the same time, the number of applications for unemployment benefits decreased more than expected. After the statistics were released, profitability in the US peaked, but then retreated slightly from high levels.

Experts have recorded a steady growth of the greenback over the current year (by 13.5% against a basket of key currencies). The US currency has risen to its highest level in 20 years, while the euro has fallen by about 12% to below parity, which has not been the case for two decades. At the moment, there are many USD bulls on the market betting on its rise. Traders and investors are confident that the dollar has the strength to continue growing thanks to the hawkish attitude of the Fed and inspiring economic indicators in the United States.

Against this background, the European currency is noticeably losing to its American competitor. The energy crisis in Europe and the European Central Bank's unstable stance on raising rates add fuel to the fire. At the same time, most representatives of the central bank support an interest rate hike by 50 bps. However, many investors are deterred by the deteriorating economic prospects of the eurozone and constantly rising inflation. Against this background, the inflationary situation in the United States looks much more stable than on the other side of the ocean.

According to analysts, double-digit inflation in the eurozone is due to the long-term Russian-Ukrainian conflict, which provoked the energy crisis. Economists fear that the euro bloc countries will fall into the so-called "downward spiral of wage and price growth", from which it is difficult to get out. Against this background, long positions on the euro sharply plunged, which was under pressure.

The failures of the European currency play into the hands of the American one, experts emphasize. According to JPMorgan analysts, the greenback was supported not only by "encouraging economic data" on inflation and employment in the United States, but also by the "growing vulnerability" of the European economy. Recall that in July, the consumer price index in the United States rose by 8.5% in annual terms. At the same time, the unexpected increase in the number of jobs reduced market fears about the onset of a recession.

The US currency has received strong support thanks to the Fed's aggressive rate hike. According to investment analysts at U.S. Bank Wealth Management, this trend will continue in the near future. Against this background, the EUR/USD pair maintains a bearish trend, and the euro still looks vulnerable. Experts note the growing downside risks in relation to the euro.

In the short term, the EUR/USD pair is able to test the parity level again. The euro is still showing weakening, having failed to hold the 1.0000 mark. According to experts, the recovery above the level of 1.0030 will support the single currency. However, now it is rapidly sinking. The EUR/USD pair was near 0.9963 on the morning of Friday, August 26. Currently, experts consider the 0.9950 mark to be the support line, the breakdown of which will pull the pair to the low level of 0.9900.



Earlier, currency strategists at Capital Economics announced a prolonged period of the euro's weakness amid deteriorating economic conditions in the eurozone. Against this background, the dollar has every chance of rising, as markets expect the Fed to raise rates again in September. The implementation of such a scenario will increase pressure on the euro. However, any signals from the head of the central bank that the Fed recognizes the stabilization of the inflation rate will allow the markets to interpret what has been said in favor of easing the monetary policy. Misinterpretation of Powell's statements can shake the dollar's position and help the short-term recovery of the EUR/USD pair, experts believe.

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JPY is not a tenant. Powell and Kuroda signed the yen's death sentence



The Japanese currency is flying down at the start of the new week. The reason for the next peak of the JPY is still the same – the divergence in the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan, which intensified after Jackson Hole.

The main event of last week was the annual Fed symposium in Jackson Hole, and its climax was the speech of the chairman of the US central bank.

As expected, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stressed his firm intention to fight inflation by further raising interest rates.

– The restoration of price stability will take some time and will require the "decisive" use of the central bank's tools, – the official said during his speech at the forum.

The market interpreted this comment as hawkish, which provoked a sharp jump in the yield of US government bonds and, as a result, a large-scale rally of the dollar.

The DXY index updated its 20-year high on Monday morning, jumping to the level of 109.4.

The Japanese currency suffered the most from the strong greenback. In just a couple of hours, the Japanese fell by almost 0.6% and reached a 5-week low of 138.60.



The current weakness of the JPY is also dictated by the dovish tone of the head of the BOJ. Like his American counterpart, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda did not present any surprise at the Jackson Hole symposium.

Earlier, Kuroda repeatedly stated that the normalization of monetary policy could cause serious damage to the Japanese economy, which has not yet recovered after the COVID-19 pandemic.

Last Saturday, Kuroda again made it clear that he remains faithful to the ultra-soft course and will continue to adhere to it until "wages and prices will not grow in a stable and sustainable manner."

According to experts, this comment by the head of the BOJ was the last nail in the coffin of the Japanese currency.

In the near future, the yen will not only continue to fall, but also, most likely, will reach another record low against the dollar.

At the time of release, the USD/JPY pair rose above the 139 level and was aimed at the psychologically important 140 mark.

Most currency strategists believe that in the short term, the asset will be able to cross the key barrier that proved impregnable last month.

The probability of such a scenario developing is now very high. In the light of recent speeches by Powell. The markets expect that the wide difference in interest rates between Japan and the United States will remain longer than predicted.

This significantly strengthens the bulls' positions on the USD/JPY pair. According to experts, the upward trend of the asset will continue until at least one of the central banks signals a change in its current monetary rate.

We also draw your attention to the fact that this week the US dollar may receive another strong growth momentum. On Friday, traders expect the release of the US employment report for August.

We also draw your attention to the fact that this week the US dollar may receive another strong growth momentum. On Friday, traders expect the release of the US employment report for August.

If the data from the labor market turns out to be strong, it will push the greenback to new heights and send the yen even deeper to the bottom.

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US stock indicators continue to decline on the statements of the head of the Fed



The value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 17:01 GMT + 3 decreased by 0.7% - to 32064.03 points. Standard & Poor's 500 by this time fell by 0.6% - to 4032.75 points. The Nasdaq Composite index has lost 0.7% since the market opened and amounted to 12057.94 points.

On Friday, the fall of the Dow Jones Industrial Average exceeded 1,000 points and became the highest percentage since May 18. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite posted their sharpest declines since June. Powell's remarks, speaking at the annual economics symposium at Jackson Hole on Friday, were more reactive than market participants expected.

Among the 30 components of Dow Jones, only three stocks show an increase in quotations at the beginning of trading: Chevron Corp. - by 1.5%, Boeing Co. - by 0.5% and Verizon Communications Inc. - less than 0.1%.

The drop leaders were Dow Inc., which shed 1.6%, and Travelers Cos. - by 1.5%.

The cost of Apple Inc. down 1%, Microsoft Corp. - by 0.9%, Tesla - by 1.8%.

Sportswear maker Lululemon Athletica tumbled 0.6% after Jefferies downgraded its recommendation to a sell.

Shares of GameStop Corp., the owner of a chain of video game and game electronics stores, are up 0.5%. For 8 previous trades, the value of the company collapsed by 26.7%, it was the longest drop in almost 5 years.

Important for the market this week will be fresh data from the US labor market, the publication of which is scheduled for Friday. According to the average forecast of analysts, unemployment remained at 3.5% in August, while the number of jobs in the country's economy grew by only 300 thousand (after an increase of 528 thousand a month earlier), according to Trading Economics.

The price of bitcoin, which previously fell below the psychologically important mark of $20,000, has again risen above this threshold, which contributes to the increase in stock prices of companies associated with cryptocurrencies. Thus, Coinbase Global papers rise in price by 2.8%, Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. - by 7.3%, Riot Blockchain Inc. - by 4.7%, MicroStrategy Inc. - by 1.9%.

Chinese trading platform Pinduoduo posted a 3.7-fold increase in net income in the second quarter, with adjusted per-share and revenue well above forecasts. The price of the company's American depository shares (ADS) jumped more than 18% on the Nasdaq stock exchange on this news.

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US stocks closed lower, Dow Jones down 0.96%



At the close of the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones fell 0.96% to a one-month low, the S&P 500 fell 1.10% and the NASDAQ Composite index shed 1.12%.

The leading performer among the Dow Jones index components in today's trading was American Express Company, which gained 0.12 points (0.08%) to close at 154.66. Quotes JPMorgan Chase & Co rose by 0.02 points (0.02%), ending trading at 114.41. Nike Inc lost 0.02 points (0.02%) to close at 107.86.

The biggest losers were Dow Inc, which shed 1.49 points or 2.82% to end the session at 51.38. Caterpillar Inc was up 2.52% or 4.84 points to close at 186.94, while Chevron Corp was down 2.44% or 4.01 points to close at 160.62. .

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were EPAM Systems Inc, which rose 2.09% to 424.71, Gap Inc, which gained 2.00% to close at 9.67, and Paycom Soft, which rose 1.74% to end the session at 357.29.

The biggest losers were CF Industries Holdings Inc, which shed 6.48% to close at 106.00. Shares of Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc shed 5.52% to end the session at 29.76. Quotes of The Mosaic Company decreased in price by 4.97% to 57.34.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Mobile Global Esports Inc, which rose 103.85% to hit 5.30, Newage Inc, which gained 74.20% to close at 0.36, and also shares of In8bio Inc, which rose 39.39% to end the session at 2.76.

The biggest losers were Amesite Operating Co, which shed 51.45% to close at 0.40. Shares of Baudax Bio Inc lost 43.07% and ended the session at 0.31. Quotes Clarus Therapeutics Holdings Inc fell in price by 36.94% to 0.10.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that fell in price (2481) exceeded the number of those that closed in positive territory (647), while quotes of 124 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2,587 companies fell in price, 1,138 rose, and 248 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, was flat at 0.00% at 26.21, hitting a new monthly high.

Gold futures for December delivery lost 0.81%, or 14.25, to hit $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI October futures fell 4.93%, or 4.78, to $92.23 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery fell 4.36%, or 4.49, to $98.44 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the Forex market, the EUR/USD pair was unchanged 0.25% to 1.00, while USD/JPY was up 0.08% to hit 138.80.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.03% to 108.75.

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Hard-working" dollar: strengthening on the euro downturn and in anticipation of positive data on employment in the US



The US currency is in tension before the release of the US labor market report, despite the advantage over the European one. At the same time, EUR does not leave attempts to rise and catch up.

Currently, the downward trend prevails on the markets, plunging the American and European currencies into pessimism. According to economists at Commerzbank, a long-term strengthening of the US labor market provides significant support to the greenback. Experts put an equal sign between a strong labor market and a growing dollar.

According to preliminary estimates, the positive trend in the USD will continue as long as the Federal Reserve adheres to a tight monetary policy. This situation is favorable for the US currency, but undermines the position of the European one. The EUR/USD pair was trading at 1.0012 on the morning of Thursday, September 1, trying to get out of the current range. At the same time, analysts pay attention to the high probability of the pair moving towards parity.



The greenback plunged a bit on Wednesday evening, August 31, after the release of macro statistics on the US labor market, but later won back short-term losses. U.S. private-sector jobs increased by 132,000 last month, according to Automatic Data Processing (ADP), an analyst firm. Initial jobless claims in the U.S. surged to 248,000 on Friday, according to preliminary forecasts. Data on unemployment in the country will be released on September 2. Experts expect this indicator to remain at the level of July (3.5%) and to increase the number of jobs in the non-agricultural sector of the country.

Many currency strategists rely on strong US employment data and falling unemployment. They consider these indicators the most important for the Fed and its future monetary policy. However, some experts argue that the key indicator for the central bank is the level of salaries. Recall that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and other members of the FOMC are counting on the "cooling" of the national labor market. Representatives of the Fed are trying to avoid a situation in which wage growth provokes another round of inflation. In such a situation, the increase in the number of vacancies recorded in August is a negative signal for the central bank.

Against this background, the European currency seeks to maintain balance and get out of the price hole. However, its efforts are rewarded with rare bursts of recovery, and then a decline. Adding fuel to the fire is uncertainty about the European Central Bank's next steps on the rate. According to Nordea economists, next week the central bank will raise the rate by 75 basis points. The bank believes that even negative forecasts for economic growth in the region will not interfere with this.

At present, the inflation rate in the eurozone remains stably high. According to current reports, inflation in EU countries reached an impressive 9.1% in August. Previously, this figure was 8.9%. The current situation undermines the euro's position, which is hardly kept afloat. According to analysts, the weakening of the euro against the dollar is due to the active tightening of monetary policy by the Fed. At the same time, the current parity between currencies may disappear when a compromise is reached in the EU on tightening the monetary policy or when inflation in the United States returns to the target of 2%. However, both situations are unlikely, experts say.

According to experts, the 1:1 ratio between the dollar and the euro will remain until the EU countries begin to tighten monetary policy following the example of the United States. However, there are many pitfalls here, as the ECB needs to find a compromise between all the countries of the euro bloc.

Many experts believe that by the end of 2022 the balance of power in the EUR/USD pair will change, due to which the topic of parity will be removed. Experts allow changes in the ECB's actions regarding monetary policy. The same is possible with regard to the Fed, which is worried about labor market problems and galloping inflation. According to analysts, the pair will tend to the usual ratio of 1.0500-1.1000. "In the event of a sharp turnaround, the EU economy will receive a solid bonus for the growth of exports and the economy at the expense of the US and China," the experts emphasize.

Market participants are concerned about the questions: will the Fed take a decisive approach to monetary policy? Will the ECB follow suit? Many traders and investors are skeptical about the immediate prospects for the dollar and the euro. At the same time, analysts expect a reduction in key rates in the second half of 2023. The implementation of such a scenario will weaken the greenback and limit the potential for its strengthening.

In the current situation, some experts believe that the markets are wishful thinking, expecting less rigidity from the Fed in the process of forming monetary policy. In this matter, much depends on the level of unemployment in the country. Excessive strengthening of the labor market in the US is pushing the central bank to tighten monetary policy as soon as possible.

Fed officials are stepping up the pace of this tightening, emphasizing that they are ready to temporarily sacrifice the economy for the sake of curbing inflation. However, a few months ago they said they would try to avoid a recession. However, despite the economic upheavals, the US currency remains strong and remains competitive in the global market.

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EUR/USD. Something is wrong in the Forex kingdom, although the euro's problems are still countless, it, as if distraught, craves revenge, and the dollar, not wanting to give up the crown, weaves its insidious network



The dollar starts September with a combative mood, trading near 20-year highs and benefiting from flows to safe havens.

Fears for the fate of the global economy and the drumbeat of leading central banks are rattling traders' nerves.

The greenback is also popular with investors, as they need to buy USD to maintain their margin positions in the face of declining stock indices.

Players' nervousness is compounded by the fact that stocks are entering a historically weak period for the market.

Since 1950, the S&P 500 has fallen by an average of 0.5% in September.

This year, everything speaks in favor of repeating historical trends.

Over the past two months, the volume of a net short position against S&P 500 futures has grown significantly and reached its highest value in two years.

The index just ended the month with its fourth consecutive daily decline on Wednesday.

Investors are still under the impression after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's statement last Friday that the central bank's key rate should be raised to a level that will allow inflation to be controlled, despite the risks of recession. The S&P 500 index since last Thursday, the last day before Powell's speech in Jackson Hole, lost more than 5%.

"The market has received a message that the Federal Reserve is going to fight inflation at any cost. We don't think we've seen a bottom this year," strategists at Optimal Capital Advisors said.

On Wednesday, the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Loretta Mester, continued this topic. She said that the US central bank needs to raise the base rate from the current target range of 2.25%-2.5% above 4% by the beginning of next year and leave it at this level for some time to reduce inflation.

Against this background, the yield of two-year US Treasury bonds, which changes in accordance with expectations regarding interest rates, reached the highest level since the end of 2007 yesterday, rising above 3.5%.

The higher yield of treasuries pushes up the dollar as investors sell debt denominated in other currencies to get a higher premium on US treasuries.

"It doesn't look like they can actually offer decent resistance to the dollar, given such a gloomy global outlook," Rabobank strategists said, referring to other major currencies. "If you sell the dollar, what will you buy?" – they said.

The greenback has been growing for three consecutive months, while the euro fell by 6.5% over the same period.

The greenback's growth against the single currency reflects concerns that a sharp jump in energy prices in the eurozone, caused by the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, will lead to higher inflation and push the European economy into recession.



"High inflation and gas supplies are still serious problems in the euro area. We think this will continue to put downward pressure on the single currency," Commonwealth Bank of Australia analysts said.

As data released on Wednesday showed, inflation in the eurozone rose to a record high of 9.1% in August. This strengthened the case for further significant rate hikes by the ECB to tame it.

"Before the start of the Jackson Hole symposium, the market expected the ECB to raise the rate by 1 bps by the October meeting, and since then these expectations have only increased. However, a rate hike is unlikely to strongly support the euro against the greenback, given that investors are likely to remain focused on the risks of stagflation in the eurozone and given the safe haven function for the dollar," Rabobank analysts said.

"We maintain our EUR/USD target at 0.9500 for one month and still expect the widespread strengthening of the US dollar to persist over the next six months or so," they added.

Another unexpected rise in inflation increases speculation about a 75 bps ECB rate hike at next week's meeting. However, MUFG Bank economists do not believe that the euro will benefit from this sharp tightening.

"Market participants currently estimate a 71 bps rate hike by the ECB policy meeting on September 8, as well as the fact that it will continue to raise rates to 1.50% by the end of the year. Market expectations of a sharper tightening of policy were supported by the hawkish comments of ECB policy makers after Jackson Hole and the recent announcement of another unexpected increase in inflation in the eurozone. However, we are not convinced that a sharp tightening of the ECB's policy will support the steady growth of the euro, as the risks of recession in the eurozone remain elevated," they said.

The eurozone, in case of termination of pipeline gas supplies from Russia, may face a recession in the second half of 2022, analysts at Fitch Ratings believe.

"The onset of recession in the eurozone is likely in the second half of 2022, and in 2023, Germany and Italy will experience an annual decline in GDP. Economic vulnerability in the event of termination of pipeline gas supplies remains high, despite recent active efforts to diversify import sources, in particular LNG," Fitch said.

With the passing of the summer heat, as well as news that European countries are filling their storage facilities at a faster pace than expected, energy prices in the eurozone have decreased from peak values.

However, the European economy, and especially Germany, remain vulnerable to the onset of winter if Russia stops supplying gas, given that storage facilities cover only 25-30% of winter consumption.

"It is very difficult to predict how the situation with gas will develop in the European Union in winter, since much will depend, among other things, on the weather and the volume of gas coming from alternative sources to Russia," said the deputy head of the Directorate of the European Commission for Energy in the relevant committee of the European Parliament.

The European Commission expects gas prices in Europe to remain at an elevated level in the coming winter and fall in 2024-2025.

"We expect that prices will remain at an elevated level in the coming winter, they will fall again in 2024-2025. But they are subject to some fluctuations," EC spokesman Tim McPhie said.

Gas prices and sentiment in Europe are now undergoing a serious stress test, as the Nord Stream-1 gas pipeline closed on August 31 for maintenance. All this warns against excessive enthusiasm for the recovery of the European currency at this stage, ING strategists note.

The EUR/USD pair ended Wednesday's session with an increase of 0.3%, near 1.0057, having reached a weekly high at 1.0080 during yesterday's trading. At the same time, the USD index fell by 0.1% to 108.65 points.



The euro was supported by expectations that the ECB will raise the interest rate by 75 basis points next week.Meanwhile, dollar shorts were mainly caused by the rebalancing of portfolios at the end of the month, turning into consolidation.

The EUR/USD pair lost its bullish momentum on Thursday and plunged by almost 150 points from Wednesday's closing levels. At the same time, the USD index rose to the highest levels since June 2002, coming close to 110.

The Fed's tough stance is still working in favor of the greenback, and the energy crisis in Europe is against the euro, which has not gone away with the correction of gas prices over the past three days.

"Even after reaching new records, the dollar has room for further growth, which is facilitated by the prospects of a global recession and, in particular, the energy crisis in Europe," Generali analysts said.

Fears related to the global recession were exacerbated by China, which announced that Chengdu, a city with a population of about 21 million people, was put on lockdown due to coronavirus.

Reflecting investors' unwillingness to take risks, key Wall Street indexes mostly declined on Thursday.

Friday's US employment report for August carries risks for stocks, because if it is strong, it will increase the prospects for further Fed rate hikes.

The Fed's determination is beyond doubt, since it once led the movement among major central banks to aggressively tighten monetary policy.

As for the ECB, it has yet to prove that it is really ready to act, and not just talk.

"The ECB has yet to convince the markets with its comments to prove that it is willing to endure economic pain in order to effectively combat price risks. Only at this point will the euro be able to really benefit from the ECB's monetary policy on a more sustainable basis," noted the strategists of Commerzbank.

"In a crisis, the market is likely to sell the euro as an initial reaction due to fears of a recession. The ECB's determination to fight inflation is likely to have a positive impact on the single currency only at a later stage – if at that time the ECB really sticks to its approach. This means that euro bulls will probably have to be patient for some time," they added.

"The markets are now putting in quotes an increase in the ECB rate by 167 bps in total by the end of the year.

However, the recent narrowing of spreads on two-year swaps between the euro and the dollar may have already ended, and a reversal – if the ECB does not meet the new hawkish expectations embedded in prices – could send EUR/USD to new lows next week," ING analysts said.

They predict that the EUR/USD pair will remain under pressure in the range of 0.9900-1.0100.

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US stock market closed lower, Dow Jones down 1.07%



At the close on the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones fell 1.07% to a one-month low, the S&P 500 fell 1.07%, and the NASDAQ Composite fell 1.31%.

Chevron Corp was the top performer among the components of the Dow Jones index today, up 2.31 points or 1.49% to close at 157.85. Salesforce.com Inc rose 0.16 points or 0.10% to close at 153.69. Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc rose 0.01 points or 0.03% to close at 35.27.

The losers were 3M Company shares, which lost 3.98 points or 3.17% to end the session at 121.65. Honeywell International Inc. shares rose 2.01% or 3.84 points to close at 186.89, while Procter & Gamble Company shed 1.78% or 2.48 points to close at 137.16.

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were CF Industries Holdings Inc, which rose 4.34% to hit 106.86, Hess Corporation, which gained 3.83% to close at 120.91, and also shares of The Mosaic Company, which rose 3.79% to end the session at 54.84.

The biggest losers were DISH Network Corporation, which shed 4.49% to close at 17.01. Shares of Generac Holdings Inc shed 4.13% to end the session at 223.39. Quotes of Zebra Technologies Corporation decreased in price by 3.92% to 297.60.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Venus Concept Inc, which rose 54.87% to hit 0.54, Sunrise New Energy Co Ltd, which gained 31.46% to close at 2.80. , as well as shares of Advanced Human Imaging Ltd ADR, which rose 29.90% to close the session at 1.26.

The drop leaders were PolyPid, which fell 73.47% to close at 1.43. Shares of Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Inc lost 71.56% to end the session at 14.90. Quotes of ShiftPixy Inc decreased in price by 33.92% to 13.60.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that fell in price (1,797) exceeded the number of those that closed in positive territory (1,297), while quotes of 136 shares remained virtually unchanged.

On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2,338 companies fell in price, 1,371 rose, and 257 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, fell 0.35% to 25.47.

Gold futures for December delivery added 0.70%, or 12.05, to $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI October futures rose 0.59%, or 0.51, to $87.12 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery rose 1.02%, or 0.94, to $93.30 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the forex market, the EUR/USD pair remained unchanged 0.17% to 1.00, while USD/JPY fell 0.02% to hit 140.18.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.12% to 109.55.

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Euro, move forward: the dollar has slowed down! EUR/USD ineptly puts pressure on gas



The euro seeks to wrap itself in favor of the gas problems faced by the countries of the eurozone. Most often, the EUR loses, but now there is a small chance for its short-term recovery amid a slowing USD rally.

The greenback took a breather on the morning of Tuesday, September 6, to recover from a heady rally. This strategy has led to some decline from all-time highs against the euro, but it is still too early to draw conclusions. The threat of a recession looms over both currencies. Adding fuel to the fire is the high likelihood of a sharp rise in US interest rates.

A short-term slowdown in the growth of the USD against key currencies and a slight subsidence against the European one was caused by expectations of statistical data on the index of business activity in the US services sector (ISM). According to preliminary estimates, this figure fell to 55.1% in August from 56.7% in July. Significant support for the US currency is provided by expectations about the rate hike by the Federal Reserve. According to analysts, the central bank is "at a low start" in this matter. At the same time, 62% of specialists include in prices its increase by an additional 0.75 percentage points, up to 3-3.25% per annum.

In such a situation, the dynamics of the euro, which has to withstand the gas crisis in the eurozone, is in distress. At the beginning of this week, the euro fell by 0.7% to 0.9880. According to experts, this is the lowest figure in the last 20 years. The current energy crisis has seriously shaken the euro's position. The driver of this fall was the actions of the Russian authorities, who announced a complete suspension of the supply of natural gas through the Nord Stream pipeline. According to analysts, this will increase the economic problems of European businesses and households.

Against this background, mass short positions on the European and British currencies were recorded. Experts fear that this trend will strengthen. According to currency strategists at ING Bank, "gas pressures sent the EUR/USD pair to new lows this year." Recall that earlier this week, the pair fell below 0.9900 for the first time since October 2002.

According to ING economists, in the near future the EUR/USD pair will continue to fall to a new support level in the range of 0.9600-0.9650. However, this is an extremely low level for a pair, which threatens the existence of the single currency. The EUR/USD pair cruised near 0.9963 on the morning of Tuesday, September 6, winning back previous losses. However, experts warn against euphoria, as the dollar is ready to brace itself and continue its rally, displacing the euro.



In such a situation, many analysts see a way out in a further increase in the key rate by the European Central Bank. However, ING economists do not agree with this, who consider it excessive to raise the rate by the central bank by 75 bps at once. According to experts, this will not solve the current problems of the eurozone. ING bank believes that the rate hike by 75 bps at the next meeting, scheduled for Thursday, September 8, is "too big a step for the ECB, which will not help the euro." You should expect it to increase by 50 bps, analysts conclude.

Expectations about a sharp rate hike by the ECB (by 75 bps) are fueled by growing inflation in the euro area, the threat of a recession and disappointing macroeconomic data for the region. The icing on the cake was the deepening of the energy crisis in Europe. This undermines the demand for a single currency, experts emphasize. According to current reports, in July, retail sales in the euro area fell by 0.9% in annual terms. At the same time, markets expected a decline of 0.7%. In addition, the Sentix investor confidence index fell to -31.8 points in September from -25.2 points in August. Against this backdrop, Sentix analysts noted a "clear deterioration" in the economic situation in the eurozone, stressing that this is the lowest rate since May 2020.

The US currency continues to benefit from the current situation, despite a short-term subsidence. Many experts agree on the long-term upward trend of the dollar, which has been observed since mid-2021. Experts believe that a significant divergence in the monetary strategies of central banks is a significant driver of the growth of the USD against the euro. It is noted that the ECB is still "two steps behind the Fed" in terms of raising rates. The situation was not saved even by its increase by 50 points in July. However, the ECB may revise its strategy and raise the rate at the next meeting by 50-75 bps.



Another important factor in the greenback's growth is the stability of the US economy. According to analysts, the US is relatively easy to survive the gas crisis, while selling energy to Europe. In the long term, this state of affairs plays against the ECB and the countries of the European bloc, but it plays into the hands of the Federal Reserve. In such a situation, it is difficult for the ECB not only to raise, but also to keep rates at a high level, unlike the Fed. Under such a scenario, a deep economic downturn in the eurozone is possible, experts warn.

The current market environment creates a bullish outlook for the dollar index (USDX). Currently, the bulls on the dollar are in a strong position, pushing the bears. However, the situation may change at any time. In the short and medium term, analysts allow it to rise to an impressive 120 points, that is, an increase of 9%. In a favorable scenario, USDX will head towards the peaks of 2001-2002. However, experts consider this option extreme, although they allow its implementation until the end of 2022.

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US stocks closed lower, Dow Jones down 0.55%



At the close on the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones fell 0.55% to a one-month low, the S&P 500 fell 0.41%, and the NASDAQ Composite fell 0.74%.

The leading performer among the components of the Dow Jones index today was Visa Inc Class A, which gained 0.88 points (0.45%) to close at 198.64. Boeing Co rose 0.57 points (0.38%) to close at 152.39. Johnson & Johnson rose 0.44 points or 0.27% to close at 163.18.

The losers were 3M Company, which shed 5.05 points or 4.15% to end the session at 116.60. Intel Corporation was up 2.75% or 0.86 points to close at 30.36, while Goldman Sachs Group Inc was down 1.51% or 4.99 points to close at 326. .49.

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were Rollins Inc, which rose 6.05% to 35.78, Enphase Energy Inc, which gained 4.93% to close at 292.82, and SolarEdge Technologies Inc, which rose 4.22% to end the session at 278.38.

The biggest losers were Moderna Inc, which shed 6.13% to close at 130.08. Shares of Church & Dwight Company Inc shed 4.69% to end the session at 80.23.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Inc, which rose 91.28% to hit 28.50, IVERIC bio Inc, which gained 66.31% to close at 15.70, and also shares of HyreCar Inc, which rose 58.12% to end the session at 1.27. Shares of Creatd Inc were the biggest losers, losing 48.11% to close at 0.19.

Shares of Addentax Group Corp lost 39.52% and ended the session at 5.80. Quotes of Rigetti Computing Inc decreased in price by 37.09% to 2.29.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that fell in price (2121) exceeded the number of those that closed in positive territory (1009), while quotes of 117 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2,468 companies fell in price, 1,299 rose, and 194 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, rose 3.54% to 26.91, hitting a new monthly high.

Gold futures for December delivery lost 0.62%, or 10.75, to hit $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI October futures fell 0.14%, or 0.12, to $86.75 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery fell 3.19%, or 3.05, to $92.69 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the Forex market, the EUR/USD pair remained unchanged 0.24% to 0.99, while USD/JPY edged up 1.58% to hit 142.80.

Futures on the USD index rose 0.66% to 110.24.

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US stock market closes higher, Dow Jones gains 1.40%



At the close in the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones rose 1.40%, the S&P 500 index rose 1.83%, the NASDAQ Composite index rose 2.14%.

The leading performer among the components of the Dow Jones index today was 3M Company, which gained 3.95 points or 3.39% to close at 120.55. Nike Inc rose 3.33 points or 3.17% to close at 108.48. Home Depot Inc rose 2.74% or 7.93 points to close at 297.47.

The biggest losers were Chevron Corp, which shed 2.01 points or 1.28% to end the session at 155.11. Verizon Communications Inc was up 0.02 points (0.05%) to close at 41.08, while Caterpillar Inc was up 0.20 points (0.11%) to close at 180. 86.

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were SolarEdge Technologies Inc, which rose 11.85% to 311.36, Enphase Energy Inc, which gained 8.02% to close at 316.31, and also shares of DexCom Inc, which rose 7.73% to end the session at 88.37.

The biggest losers were APA Corporation, which shed 3.04% to close at 36.67. Shares of Old Dominion Freight Line Inc shed 2.95% to end the session at 263.98. Quotes of Halliburton Company decreased in price by 2.85% to 28.68.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Imara Inc, which rose 71.79% to hit 2.01, Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Inc, which gained 27.72% to close at 36.40, and shares of Spero Therapeutics Inc, which rose 26.55% to end the session at 1.43.

The biggest losers were Cleantech Acquisition Corp, which shed 28.36% to close at 6.77. Shares of Newage Inc lost 25.20% and ended the session at 0.09. First Wave BioPharma Inc (NASDAQ:FWBI) was down 23.22% to 3.24.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that rose in price (2,400) exceeded the number of those that closed in the red (723), while quotes of 131 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2715 companies rose in price, 1027 fell, and 217 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, fell 8.44% to 24.64.

Gold futures for December delivery added 0.92%, or 15.70, to $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI October futures fell 5.96%, or 5.18, to $81.70 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery fell 5.70%, or 5.29, to $87.54 a barrel.

Meanwhile, on the Forex market, EUR/USD rose 1.08% to hit 1.00, while USD/JPY edged up 0.72% to hit 143.82.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.62% to 109.52.

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US stocks close higher, Dow Jones gains 0.61%



At the close of the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones rose 0.61%, the S&P 500 rose 0.66% and the NASDAQ Composite rose 0.60%.

Salesforce.com Inc was the leading gainer among the components of the Dow Jones index today, up 3.62 points or 2.36% to close at 156.90. JPMorgan Chase & Co rose 2.70 points or 2.33% to close at 118.60. Goldman Sachs Group Inc rose 4.82 points or 1.46% to close at 335.38.

The losers were 3M Company shares, which lost 1.28 points or 1.06% to end the session at 119.27. Apple Inc was up 1.51 points (0.97%) to close at 154.45, while Honeywell International Inc was down 1.27 points (0.67%) to close at 187. 82.

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc, which rose 18.85% to 708.85, Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc, which gained 7.89% to close at 30 .62, as well as shares of Invesco Plc, which rose 4.77% to close the session at 17.36.

The biggest losers were McCormick & Company Incorporated, which shed 6.71% to close at 79.30. Shares of Kraft Heinz Co lost 3.38% to end the session at 36.06. Quotes Campbell Soup Company fell in price by 2.98% to 47.84.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were ShiftPixy Inc, which rose 176.54% to 31.00, Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc, which gained 51.01% to close at 27.03, and shares of Rubius Therapeutics Inc, which rose 48.58% to close the session at 1.29.

The drop leaders were Troika Media Group Inc, which shed 26.83% to close at 0.48. Shares of Ensysce Biosciences Inc shed 17.71% to end the session at 0.33. Quotes of Biophytis fell in price by 17.67% to 0.91.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that rose in price (1,743) exceeded the number of those that closed in the red (1,342), and quotes of 154 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2274 companies rose in price, 1485 fell, and 268 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, fell 4.18% to 23.61.

Gold Futures for December delivery lost 0.47%, or 8.20, to hit $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI October futures rose 0.99%, or 0.81, to $82.75 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery rose 0.59%, or 0.52, to $88.52 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the Forex market, the EUR/USD pair remained unchanged, 0.01% to 1.00, while USD/JPY was up 0.25% to hit 144.05.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.17% to 109.65.

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EUR/USD: price tug of war continues



The US and European currencies remain in the stage of confrontation, intensely competing with each other. However, the euro often loses in this race, periodically losing to the stronger dollar. Against this background, analysts expect parity in the EUR/USD pair to be maintained in the short and medium term planning horizons.

The euro jumped at the beginning of the new week, rising slightly thanks to the European Central Bank's hawkish signals. The euro reached a three-week high against the US currency, as representatives of the ECB decided to stick to an aggressive tightening of monetary policy.

Recall that following the results of the next meeting, the ECB raised its key rate to a record 75 bps. These are quite decisive actions taken after the July rate hike by 50 bps, etc. Such a move was included in the debt market quotes, so it did not come as a surprise. According to analysts, the hawkish tone of the central bank provided significant support to the single currency, although this did not save it from another fall below the parity level. The EUR/USD pair was trading at 1.0088 on Monday morning, September 12, partly recouping previous losses.



According to ECB President Christine Lagarde, "a weak euro spurs inflation." Against this background, more drastic steps in the process of raising the rate are acceptable in the near future. Representatives of the central bank also noted that its next rises are possible at the next five meetings. In addition, the next two official events will end with an increase in rates, according to the department.

Against this background, the US currency plunged slightly against the European one in anticipation of reports on the US inflation rate (CPI). On Tuesday, September 13, markets will focus on data on annual US inflation. According to preliminary forecasts, in August, the growth of consumer prices in the United States will show a slowdown for the second consecutive month (from the current 8.5% to 8.1%). At the same time, investors and traders expect that in September the Federal Reserve will raise the discount rate by another 75 bps. This opinion is held by 90% of analysts, and the remaining 10% expect a rate increase to 50 bps.

Some experts consider the deterioration of the August CPI indicators in the United States to be one of the potential risks of a decline in the greenback. According to analysts, another weak macroeconomic report casts doubt on market expectations for a third consecutive rate hike of 75 bps. However, some experts are optimistic. Wells Fargo currency strategists believe that despite the aggressive pace of tightening of the monetary policy by a number of central banks, the Fed will remain the leader in this matter. Against this background, it is quite possible to strengthen the USD until the end of 2022, analysts say.

A similar position is held by Larry Summers, a former US Treasury Secretary and current professor at Harvard University. He believes that the greenback has excellent chances for further strengthening. At the same time, the specialist takes into account a number of fundamental factors contributing to the growth of the latter. According to Summers, America has a "huge advantage": it does not depend on "extremely expensive foreign energy carriers." An additional advantage is the fact that the Fed is moving towards tightening monetary policy faster than other central banks. "This allows the dollar to remain a safe haven currency, and the United States - a Mecca for capital. As a result, all the financial resources of the world flow into USD," Summers sums up. In such a situation, many experts expect the greenback to strengthen in the medium and long term.

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US stocks closed higher, Dow Jones up 0.71%



At the close in the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones rose 0.71%, the S&P 500 index rose 1.06%, the NASDAQ Composite index rose 1.27%.

The leading performer among the components of the Dow Jones index today was Apple Inc, which gained 6.06 points or 3.85% to close at 163.43. Quotes of American Express Company rose by 4.01 points (2.53%), closing the session at 162.45. Salesforce Inc rose 3.04 points or 1.87% to close at 165.63.

The biggest losers were Amgen Inc, which shed 10.07 points or 4.07% to end the session at 237.62. Home Depot Inc was up 2.23 points (0.74%) to close at 297.54, while Johnson & Johnson was down 0.07 points (0.04%) to end at 165. .64.

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were DXC Technology Co, which rose 5.98% to hit 28.36, APA Corporation, which gained 5.01% to close at 40.00, and shares of Fortinet Inc, which rose 4.20% to end the session at 55.84.

The biggest losers were The Mosaic Company, which shed 6.76% to close at 52.44. Shares of Amgen Inc lost 4.07% to end the session at 237.62. Quotes of CF Industries Holdings Inc decreased in price by 4.05% to 99.48.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Neurobo Pharmaceuticals Inc, which rose 101.30% to hit 0.56, InMed Pharmaceuticals Inc, which gained 70.42% to close at 18.78, and also shares of Ventyx Biosciences Inc, which rose 64.98% to end the session at 38.11.

The biggest losers were Tuesday Morning Corp, which shed 31.19% to close at 0.19. Shares of WeTrade Group Inc lost 30.19% and ended the session at 1.11. Akari Therapeutics PLC was down 27.88% to 0.75.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that rose in price (2,360) exceeded the number of those that closed in the red (764), while quotes of 160 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2431 companies rose in price, 1384 fell, and 259 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, rose 4.74% to 23.87.

Gold futures for December delivery added 0.43%, or 7.45, to $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI crude for October delivery rose 1.36%, or 1.18, to $87.97 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery rose 1.44%, or 1.34, to $94.18 a barrel.

Meanwhile, on the Forex market, EUR/USD rose 0.81% to hit 1.01, while USD/JPY edged up 0.21% to hit 142.82.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.60% to 108.08.

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US stocks closed lower, Dow Jones down 3.94%



At the close on the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones fell 3.94% to a one-month low, the S&P 500 fell 4.32%, and the NASDAQ Composite fell 5.16%.

Chevron Corp was the top gainer among the components of the Dow Jones index today, losing 3.09 points or 1.90% to close at 159.41. Quotes of The Travelers Companies Inc fell by 3.11 points (1.88%) to end trading at 162.22. Walmart Inc lost 2.85 points or 2.06% to close at 135.22.

The losers were Boeing Co shares, which lost 11.41 points or 7.19% to end the session at 147.31. Intel Corporation was up 2.27 points (7.19%) to close at 29.29, while Home Depot Inc was down 19.61 points (6.59%) to close at 277. 93.

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were Corteva Inc, which rose 0.87% to hit 62.65, Twitter Inc, which gained 0.70% to close at 41.70, and shares CF Industries Holdings Inc, which rose 0.67% to end the session at 100.15.

The biggest losers were Eastman Chemical Company, which shed 11.34% to close at 84.11. Shares of NVIDIA Corporation lost 9.47% and ended the session at 131.31. Quotes of Meta Platforms Inc decreased in price by 9.37% to 153.13.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Akero Therapeutics Inc, which rose 136.76% to hit 29.05, Aditx Therapeutics Inc, which gained 113.75% to close at 0.37, and also shares of Comera Life Sciences Holdings Inc, which rose 100.00% to end the session at 3.86.

The biggest losers were Cardiff Oncology Inc, which shed 41.12% to close at 1.89. Shares of Rent the Runway Inc shed 38.74% to end the session at 3.02. Quotes of InMed Pharmaceuticals Inc decreased in price by 35.73% to 12.07.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that fell in price (2827) exceeded the number of those that closed in positive territory (354), while quotes of 82 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 3,015 stocks fell, 811 rose, and 188 remained at the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, rose 14.24% to 27.27, hitting a new monthly high.

Gold futures for December delivery lost 1.64%, or 28.50, to hit $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI October futures fell 0.26%, or 0.23, to $87.55 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery fell 0.67%, or 0.63, to $93.37 a barrel.

Meanwhile, on the Forex market, EUR/USD fell 1.44% to hit 1.00, while USD/JPY edged up 1.23% to hit 144.59.

Futures on the USD index rose 1.37% to 109.58.

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US stock market closes higher, Dow Jones gains 0.10%



At the close in the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones rose 0.10%, the S&P 500 rose 0.34%, and the NASDAQ Composite rose 0.74%.

Chevron Corp was the top gainer among the components of the Dow Jones index today, up 3.86 points or 2.42% to close at 163.27. Quotes Johnson & Johnson rose by 3.33 points (2.06%), ending trading at 164.66. Merck & Company Inc rose 1.36 points or 1.59% to close at 86.95.

The losers were shares of Honeywell International Inc, which lost 5.01 points or 2.71% to end the session at 179.97. 3M Company was up 2.44% or 2.94 points to close at 117.53, while Dow Inc was down 1.67% or 0.80 points to close at 47.07. .

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 components in today's trading were Coterra Energy Inc, which rose 7.22% to hit 32.23, APA Corporation, which gained 6.72% to close at 41.74, and shares of Moderna Inc, which rose 6.17% to end the session at 139.40.

The biggest losers were Nucor Corp, which shed 11.31% to close at 120.71. Shares of Centene Corp lost 6.79% to end the session at 83.92. Quotes of DISH Network Corporation decreased in price by 6.27% to 17.18.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Avenue Therapeutics Inc, which rose 53.87% to hit 0.36, Aileron Therapeutics Inc, which gained 38.49% to close at 0.27, and also shares of Dawson Geophysical Company, which rose 41.44% to close the session at 1.57.

The biggest losers were Neurobo Pharmaceuticals Inc, which shed 43.61% to close at 16.86. Shares of Vintage Wine Estates Inc shed 40.33% to end the session at 3.30. Quotes of Aditx Therapeutics Inc decreased in price by 38.22% to 11.43.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that rose in price (1,578) exceeded the number of those that closed in the red (1,506), while quotes of 124 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 1,956 stocks fell, 1,770 rose, and 254 remained at the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, fell 4.07% to 26.16.

Gold futures for December delivery lost 0.63%, or 10.90, to hit $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI October futures rose 1.68%, or 1.47, to $88.78 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery rose 1.23%, or 1.15, to $94.32 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the forex market, the EUR/USD pair was unchanged 0.08% to 1.00, while USD/JPY fell 0.97% to hit 143.15.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.15% to 109.36.

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US stocks closed lower, Dow Jones down 0.56%



At the close of the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones fell 0.56% to a one-month low, the S&P 500 fell 1.13% and the NASDAQ Composite fell 1.43%.

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated was the top performer in the Dow Jones Index today, up 13.14 points or 2.58% to close at 522.91. JPMorgan Chase & Co rose 1.75 points or 1.51% to close at 117.87. Goldman Sachs Group Inc rose 4.36 points or 1.33% to close at 331.62.

The losers were Salesforce Inc, which shed 5.50 points or 3.43% to end the session at 154.78. Microsoft Corporation was up 2.71% or 6.84 points to close at 245.38, while Visa Inc Class A was down 2.03% or 4.04 points to close at 195. .37.

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were Humana Inc, which rose 8.37% to 497.24, Wynn Resorts Limited, which gained 7.48% to close at 65.23, and shares of Paramount Global Class B, which rose 5.16% to close the session at 23.05.

The losers were Adobe Systems Incorporated, which shed 16.79% to close at 309.13. Shares of Albemarle Corp shed 6.49% to end the session at 286.75. West Pharmaceutical Services Inc lost 5.91% to 273.63.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Heartbeam Inc, which rose 85.60% to hit 2.32, Neurobo Pharmaceuticals Inc, which gained 47.21% to close at 24.82, and shares of Nabriva Therapeutics AG, which rose 40.65% to end the session at 0.27.

The drop leaders were Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Inc, which shed 55.65% to close at 16.63. Shares of Eloxx Pharmaceuticals Inc lost 40.97% to end the session at 0.22. Quotes Color Star Technology Co Ltd fell in price by 39.54% to 0.07.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that fell in price (2188) exceeded the number of those that closed in positive territory (909), and quotes of 125 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 1991 stocks fell, 1759 rose, and 265 remained at the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, rose 0.42% to 26.27.

Gold futures for December delivery lost 2.08%, or 35.55, to hit $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI October futures fell 3.84%, or 3.40, to $85.08 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery fell 3.56%, or 3.35, to $90.75 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the Forex market, the EUR/USD pair was unchanged 0.20% to 1.00, while USD/JPY was up 0.23% to hit 143.48.

Futures on the USD index rose by 0.06% to 109.44.

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US stocks closed lower, Dow Jones down 0.45%



At the close on the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones fell 0.45% to hit a monthly low, the S&P 500 index fell 0.72%, and the NASDAQ Composite index fell 0.90%.

The leading performer among the components of the Dow Jones index today was Home Depot Inc, which gained 4.43 points (1.63%) to close at 275.97. Amgen Inc rose 3.48 points or 1.53% to close at 231.14. Johnson & Johnson rose 2.52 points or 1.53% to close at 167.60.

The losers were Boeing Co shares, which fell 5.49 points or 3.67% to end the session at 144.29. Chevron Corp was up 2.60% or 4.17 points to close at 156.45, while Walt Disney Company was down 2.28% or 2.52 points to close at 108. 25.

Leading gainers among the S&P 500 index components in today's trading were Iron Mountain Incorporated, which rose 3.35% to hit 55.29, Newmont Goldcorp Corp, which gained 3.09% to close at 43.71, and also Dollar Tree Inc, which rose 2.89% to end the session at 141.92.

The biggest losers were FedEx Corporation, which shed 21.40% to close at 161.02. Shares of WestRock Co lost 11.48% to end the session at 34.15. Quotes of International Paper fell in price by 11.21% to 35.23.

Leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Panbela Therapeutics Inc, which rose 53.06% to hit 0.58, Applied Opt, which gained 50.40% to close at 3.76, and shares of Axcella Health Inc, which rose 29.57% to end the session at 2.41.

The biggest losers were Aditx Therapeutics Inc, which shed 58.52% to close at 4.31. Shares of Esports Entertainment Group Inc lost 46.15% and ended the session at 0.18. Shuttle Pharmaceuticals Inc lost 45.94% to 8.99.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that fell in price (2294) exceeded the number of those that closed in positive territory (816), and quotes of 121 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2,586 stocks fell, 1,158 rose, and 233 remained at the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, rose 0.11% to 26.30.

Gold Futures for December delivery added 0.38%, or 6.35, to hit $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI October futures rose 0.29%, or 0.25, to $85.35 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery rose 0.81%, or 0.74, to $91.58 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the forex market, the EUR/USD pair remained unchanged 0.10% to 1.00, while USD/JPY fell 0.40% to hit 142.95.

Futures on the USD index fell 0.02% to 109.43.

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Wave your hand to the yen: the dollar is preparing to take off



This week, traders' nerves are stretched to the limit. Everyone is waiting for the Fed's verdict on interest rates and the next jump in the dollar. According to forecasts, it will grow the most against the yen. The divergence in the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan was the main reason for the weakening of the yen this year.

Due to the large difference in interest rates, the JPY has fallen by more than 20% against the dollar since January. This is the strongest annual decline in the Japanese currency in the entire history of observations.



Nevertheless, many analysts believe that the yen has not yet reached the bottom. Since everything now points to a further increase in monetary divergence, new anti-records are predicted for the yen.

According to experts, the JPY may test another 24-year low against the dollar in the coming days. Two factors will contribute to the sharp fall of the yen.

Firstly, this is the fifth increase in interest rates in America this year. And secondly, the BOJ's confirmation of its depth of strategy.

The degree of nervousness is increased by the fact that the Fed and the BOJ will announce their decisions on interest rates with a difference of only a few hours.

In light of the latest US inflation data, which turned out to be worse than forecasts, the market expects the Fed to raise the indicator by 75 or 100 bps.

Such a hawkish scenario can provide a powerful momentum for the dollar and a strong tailwind for the USD/JPY pair. And the speech of the head of the BOJ will disperse the asset even more.

Goldman Sachs analysts are confident that this week BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will again leave all the parameters of the monetary policy unchanged: yield curve control, asset purchase program and interest rate recommendations.

According to experts, the BOJ is unlikely to get off its dovish route, even despite signs of increased price pressure.

Statistics on inflation in Japan for August were released this morning. As the report showed, the core consumer price index exceeded the growth forecast on an annualized basis and reached 2.8%.

Thus, inflation in the country exceeded the BOJ's target, which is at the level of 2%, for the past five consecutive months.

This significantly increases concerns that the price pressure may last much longer than the BOJ expects. But it is not worth speculating about the possible capitulation of the BOJ yet.

The news about the acceleration of inflation on the eve of the next meeting of the Japanese central bank really puts Kuroda in a difficult position.

He will have to try hard to give a logical explanation for the need to continue monetary incentives when price growth has significantly overtaken the 2% target.

However, it is unlikely that the current inflation, which remains relatively low compared to other countries, will force the head of the BOJ to change shoes abruptly.

Earlier, Kuroda has repeatedly stated that the central bank will keep interest rates at extremely low levels until solid wage growth makes inflation more stable.

The firm determination of Japanese politicians to adhere to the dovish strategy is also evidenced by today's decision of the government.

On Tuesday, Japan's finance ministry said it would spend 3.48 trillion yen ($24 billion) from budget reserves to cope with the continued price increases.

The decision was made at a meeting of the cabinet of Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, whose approval rating has recently dropped significantly.

In order to regain the favor of the Japanese suffering from the rising cost of living, the official is ready to provide a new package of financial assistance, i.e. to eliminate the symptom, not the cause of the disease.

As you can see, Japan is not going to deploy an anti-inflationary company yet, as other countries do. However, the status of an outsider does not bode well for its national currency.

The US Fed is not the only one who is going to raise interest rates this week, but also the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. This will further aggravate the situation of the yen, analysts believe.

But the main beneficiary of the isolated BOJ position will still be the USD/JPY pair. According to forecasts, it will break through the key threshold of 145 if the Fed's actions turn out to be even more hawkish this time.

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US stock market closed lower, Dow Jones down 1.01%



At the close of the New York Stock Exchange, the Dow Jones fell 1.01% to a one-month low, the S&P 500 index fell 1.13%, and the NASDAQ Composite fell 0.95%. The leading performer among the components of the Dow Jones index today was Apple Inc, which gained 2.42 points (1.57%) to close at 156.90. Quotes Boeing Co rose by 1.06 points (0.73%), ending trading at 145.94. 3M Company lost 0.12 points or 0.10% to close at 116.52.

The biggest losers were Nike Inc, which shed 4.79 points or 4.47% to end the session at 102.42. Caterpillar Inc was up 2.26% or 4.12 points to close at 177.99, while Home Depot Inc was down 2.23% or 6.25 points to close at 274. 17.

Leading gainers among the components of the S&P 500 in today's trading were Wynn Resorts Limited, which rose 2.90% to hit 67.80, Valero Energy Corporation, which gained 2.63% to close at 107.42, and also shares of Expedia Inc, which rose 2.09% to end the session at 104.63.

The fallers were shares of Ford Motor Company, which fell 12.32% to close at 13.09. Shares of Iron Mountain Incorporated shed 9.84% to end the session at 50.65. Quotes of Generac Holdings Inc decreased in price by 6.99% to 183.49.

The leading gainers among the components of the NASDAQ Composite in today's trading were Sobr Safe Inc, which rose 234.98% to 3.05, Powerbridge Technologies Co Ltd, which gained 60.62% to close at 2.20. as well as Neurobo Pharmaceuticals Inc, which rose 42.40% to end the session at 20.79.

The biggest losers were Virios Therapeutics Llc, which shed 75.50% to close at 0.49. Pagaya shares shed 67.24% to end the session at 2.29. Quotes of Integrated Media Technology Ltd decreased in price by 46.07% to 1.03.

On the New York Stock Exchange, the number of securities that fell in price (2599) exceeded the number of those that closed in positive territory (546), while quotes of 129 shares remained virtually unchanged. On the NASDAQ stock exchange, 2,705 companies fell in price, 1,091 rose, and 227 remained at the level of the previous close.

The CBOE Volatility Index, which is based on S&P 500 options trading, rose 5.43% to 27.16.

Gold futures for December delivery shed 0.29% or 4.80 to hit $1.00 a troy ounce. In other commodities, WTI crude for November delivery fell 1.19%, or 1.02, to $84.34 a barrel. Brent oil futures for November delivery fell 1.14%, or 1.05, to $90.95 a barrel.

Meanwhile, in the Forex market, EUR/USD was flat at 0.49% at 1.00, while USD/JPY edged up 0.35% to hit 143.71.

Futures on the USD index rose 0.39% to 109.89.

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BTC quotes unexpectedly turned to growth

Bitcoin began to rise on Wednesday morning, when this article was written, its price had reached $19,123.

According to virtual asset price tracking website CoinMarketCap, over the past 24 hours, the highest value of bitcoin reached $19,548, and the lowest was $18,813.

As a result of the past 24 hours, the price of bitcoin rose by 2.8% and closed the session at about $19,000.



Over the past seven days, bitcoin has fallen in price by 16%. The main reason for the confident decline of the first cryptocurrency in recent days, experts call a protracted fall in key US stock indices, as well as fresh data from the US Department of Labor, according to which the August inflation rate in the country decreased to only 8.3% from 8.5% in July.

The results of the September meeting of the US Federal Reserve on the next increase in the key interest rate will be made public on Wednesday. During this meeting, the central bank carefully assessed the final inflation rate. Analysts are sure that amid a slight decrease in the consumer price index, the US central bank will not refuse another rate hike by 75 basis points. So, last week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced the central bank's readiness to "act decisively" in order to combat record levels of consumer prices in the country.

To date, approximately 82% of the market is confident that the Fed will increase the base interest rate by 75 basis points. At the same time, 18% is set aside for a possible rate increase of 100 basis points. As a result, the central bank's interest rate could rise to 300-325 bps or 325-350 bps, respectively.

Recall that in March 2022, the US central bank already raised its key rate by 25 basis points, in May - by 50, and in June - by 75.

By the way, recently experts from the analytical company Kaiko reported that the volatility of BTC significantly depends on the results of the meetings of the Fed.

According to analysts from Kaiko, a high correlation of bitcoin with the decisions of the Fed was recorded in the summer of 2021, which indicates that the cryptocurrency market has long been influenced by key macroeconomic indicators.

So, when in May 2022 the Fed increased the rate range to 0.75-1% per annum, the cost of the first cryptocurrency sharply overcame the level of $40,000, but on the same day it fell below $36,000, starting the process of a protracted correction.

In June this year, when the US central bank raised its key rate to 1.5-1.75%, bitcoin immediately reacted with spectacular growth.

Experts are confident that in the coming months, the digital asset market will respond even more strongly to the speeches of world central banks, because often, an increase in the interest rate dramatically reduces the ability of investors to invest in risky assets such as virtual currency.

The weak results of the last trading session on the US stock market also became an important factor in pressure on the BTC on Wednesday. So, on Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.01%, the S&P 500 plunged 1.13%, and the NASDAQ Composite fell 0.95%.

Since the beginning of 2022, analysts have increasingly begun to emphasize the high level of correlation between the US securities market and virtual assets amid intense anticipation by both of the consequences of the geopolitical conflict in Eastern Europe and further steps by the Fed.

Earlier, experts from the investment company Arcane Research have already stated that the correlation of BTC and technology securities has reached its peak since July 2020.

The current situation looks rather ironic, because since the advent of cryptocurrency, it has been positioned as the main tool for protecting against inflation and price volatility in traditional markets. However, in recent months, digital assets have been increasingly correlated with stock markets, which casts doubt on the success of virtual coins.

Altcoin Market

Ethereum, the main competitor of bitcoin, also started the trading session on Wednesday with a rise and by the time of this writing it has reached $1,343.

Over the past seven days, the value of the altcoin has fallen by 17%. At the same time, the key reason for such a sharp drop in ETH was the most long-awaited event of the current year for cryptocurrency fans.

So, on the morning of September 15, the Ethereum network successfully migrated from the Proof-of-Work (PoW) algorithm to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), which does not require mining. The migration happened as part of a major update to The Merge.

At first, the quotes of bitcoin's main competitor reacted to positive news with growth, but later fell sharply by 8.2%.

As for cryptocurrencies from the top 10 by capitalization, within the past 24 hours, the best results were recorded by XRP (+8.05%), and the worst by BTC (-2.8%).

According to the results of the past week, in the top ten of the strongest digital assets, the fall list was headed by the Ethereum cryptocurrency (-15.60%), and the highest results were recorded by XRP (+22.06%).

According to CoinGecko, the world's largest virtual asset data aggregator, Cosmos (-9.87%) took the first place in the drop list among the top 100 most capitalized digital assets over the past 24 hours (-9.87%).

According to the results of the past week, the digital asset Ravencoin (-39.14%) showed the worst results among the top hundred strongest digital assets.

In the past 24 hours, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has dropped to $920 billion, according to CoinGecko.

Since last November, when this figure exceeded the $3 trillion mark, it has more than tripled.

Crypto Expert Predictions

The unpredictable behavior of the digital coin market forces analysts to make the most unexpected predictions about its future. The CEO of Dogifox Nicholas Merten said that BTC is waiting for a collapse to $14,000.

The crypto expert came to this conclusion due to technical and macroeconomic factors. So, Merten is sure, the recent exchange rate movement of digital gold may signal the end of a 10-year bullish cycle, after which the coin will cease to be a key asset compared to other commodities and stocks.

An important macroeconomic incentive to reduce the cost of the first cryptocurrency, the crypto expert believes, may also be the Fed's decision. Despite the potential dangers for the global economy, the US central bank is likely to continue raising interest rates until the record inflation is completely defeated.

The combination of all the above technical and macroeconomic factors, the Dogifox CEO believes, will soon push bitcoin to the price bottom at $14,000. If the coin collapses to these values, its correction will be 80% of the historical record of $69,000.

As for the near future of bitcoin's main competitor, the altcoin Ethereum, Merten suggests that the cryptocurrency will retest the $800-$1,000 range, and in the worst case, quotes will fall even lower.

However, there are those who hold more positive views regarding the future of key players in the cryptocurrency market. So, recently the former top manager of the financial conglomerate Goldman Sachs, and now the CEO of Real Vision, Raoul Pal, said that digital assets will grow steadily in the coming year.

The analyst explains his optimism about the cryptocurrency market in the long term by the global economic crisis and the merger of Ethereum.

So, Pal is sure that against the background of ETH migration to the Proof-of-Stake algorithm, miners who sell altcoins every day will leave the market. As a result, there will be a decrease in the volume of offers and $6 billion in Ethereum will disappear from monthly sales. In this case, the main competitor of bitcoin will be less prone to inflation.

In addition, the CEO of Real Vision believes that, thanks to the constantly growing demand, the decrease in the supply of ETH and the environmental problems of BTC, 2023 can be very successful for Ethereum.

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