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TurboGenius Gambler's Fallacy (absurd ?) Proof.

Discussion in 'TurboGenius's Forum' started by TurboGenius, Oct 29, 2021.

  1. SPIKE

    SPIKE Well-Known Member

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    You cannot predict when you're going to win, but there are ways to predict when you will probably lose. If you study the current outcomes and they are not playing your game why would you bet. You would wait until the outcomes are favorable for the method you are playing. Why would you bet into outcomes when you don't know if they are favorable to your method or not. That seems like suicide to me. Here is a ridiculously simple example. Let's say your method is every time you see two Reds in a row you bet black. Every time you see two blacks in a row you bet red. If you don't see two blacks or two reds in a row why would you bet. You can easily see all the times when this method would lose and all the times when this method has a chance of winning. Yes it's stupid, yes it's simplistic, nobody would play this, but it makes the point.
    I never understand why people play roulette systems that do not tell them when it's time to bet.
     
    beachedwhale likes this.
  2. Benas

    Benas Active Member

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    Sir. Anyone talks not about such "when". He not know that this spin is more favorable, but next less..usually. But as every AP he knows this - if all will be the same as was some time before - he will gues right with probability P. And till nothing changes, that probability P stays quite stable.
    So if P=+5% and variance is +/-10% is one , but other is when P=+30% and variance is +/- 25%.
    As you see in second case, no matter , that variance is significiant bigger - to play is much secure and chance to win is much higher.

    If P=-2.7% any variance not will do game posittive...
     
    beachedwhale likes this.
  3. SPIKE

    SPIKE Well-Known Member

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    Sorry, I don't speak math.
     
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  4. Bombus

    Bombus Well-Known Member

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    Sorry, I don't speak the planet Zeblon native tongue. Benas, you have been on planet Earth communicating with us Earthlings for many years now, and you seem to have vast intelligence, as would be expected from a Zeblonian. When do you think your English writing skills might improve even slightly enough, whereby we don't have to gouge our eyes out in effort to comprehend what you're trying to convey?
     
    Last edited: Nov 14, 2021
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  5. SPIKE

    SPIKE Well-Known Member

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    LOLOLOL!
     
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  6. Benas

    Benas Active Member

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    I see that you live on clouds :)...
    Bombus , if you not understand English - is google or say some Deepl, which can easy help you :)...

    They also do corections of spelling mistakes - for your knowledge ;).

    But if you not know math - here is other, then better stay away from roulette :)...
     
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  7. TurboGenius

    TurboGenius Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Occupation:
    Self proclaimed Theoretical Philosopher
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    I always see Yoda in my mind when reading his posts. They are informative but as I read along
    I can't get Yoda out of my mind. Maybe I'm wrong, but it helps me understand what he says.

    index.png
     
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  8. TurboGenius

    TurboGenius Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Yes I certainly would say that. Too bad I can only give it one like.
     
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  9. gizmotron

    gizmotron Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Here is what a lot of people don't understand. ( 1 ) Ken came up with a slick way to pick the hottest numbers and to come off them before they do any deep damage to his bankroll. I congratulate him for that. He shared it. It went right over most people's heads and just went away to be forgotten. ( 2 ) If you stay on a selected hot number for 18 spins, flat betting all the time, then if it does not win by the 18th spin you consider it a lost bet in the other more fun game of Even Chance betting and getting lucky. Now all you do is combine Ken's tricks with 18 spins for each number bet, and looking for lucky streaks. Guess what happens in an EC game when you get paid more than an EC return? This happens every time your bet selection hits before reaching the 18th spin.

    Now create a system using that, have a pity party for mathBoyz, and polish your Spandex.
     
    Last edited: Nov 14, 2021
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  10. Boz

    Boz Well-Known Member

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    5.26%
     
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  11. gizmotron

    gizmotron Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Yes, I see that. You are 5.26 points below average and like WOV. That of course takes off 2 more points.
     
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  12. SPIKE

    SPIKE Well-Known Member

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    Why. I have no idea how the math works that's involved in the car I drive, yet I drive it just fine. You don't need to know any math to win at roulette, why would you. The only people that think the math is important are the math people.
     
    Last edited: Nov 14, 2021
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  13. Luckyfella

    Luckyfella Well-Known Member

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    That's under the belt.
    Lolololol
     
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  14. Benas

    Benas Active Member

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    Yes hard you to understand, but this is understandable for you 2+2= ? :happy:
    Looks that also no...:D
     
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  15. Boz

    Boz Well-Known Member

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    So how much are we betting you can be up after 100,500 or 1000 spins even betting? I’ll go up to $10,000.

    Didn’t think so dreamer. Just another clown that can’t show 1 casino you are up for the year with even $100,000 bet.

    You guys are all the same arguing for years on who has the better system that makes zero logical sense.
     
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  16. SPIKE

    SPIKE Well-Known Member

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    In what way did I get 'owned',
    that's ridiculous. They have new moderators there who are suspension happy so I quit. I didn't feel like going over every post to make sure somebody was not offended. I explained it all in my final post.
     
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  17. SPIKE

    SPIKE Well-Known Member

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    Name some of the negative things
    I said about him. You cannot because there aren't any. At one point I said he reminded me of Dustin Hoffman in Tootsie but I meant that as a compliment. That was hardly a negative thing.
     
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  18. Ka2

    Ka2 Active Member

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    You know @TurboGenius just an honest question. Over at rf forum. You said over and over again never to track passed or use passed spins. According to you it is one of the most stupid things to do. Here you are saying the exact opposite, why???
     
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  19. GaryG

    GaryG Active Member

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    Passed spins from before you sat down.
     
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  20. Ka2

    Ka2 Active Member

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    Yes indeed.

    A. So we sit down watch the first 2 cycles and note the numbers who are behind and start playing them.

    B. So we sit down and note down the numbers from the last 74 spins who are behind and start playing them directly.

    Please explain to me what the difference is? Because I really dont understand?
     
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