H & S Baccarat System I promised Baccarat Magician that I would post a new system that I had not posted before. I looked at my long list of simulations and after tinkering with this one a bit I present to you the Hand and Shoe Baccarat System or H&S Baccarat. The problem with running baccarat simulations is that nothing really works that well. I consider it a breakthrough if the method merely makes it through the database without busting (using a reasonable table limit). This one does well enough, making it through my 4062 live shoes and even all of my many thousands of virtual shoes without busting on a 1 to 1000 table limit spread. Profits are not huge but acceptable. You earn about one unit per shoe. Why does this system survive? Multiple reasons. 1) It does not bet every hand (bets 50% of the decisions). 2) It mostly flat bets, with a negative progression when required. 3) The simple bet selection only wagers on the Banker side, which normally wins 50.7% of decisions. 4) The profit per shoe goal is very conservative (we flat bet if we are at or above the one unit goal). Now for the system. Bet Selection. The bet selection is a simple one that I came up with. You look at the last two decisions (ignoring ties). Forget about all previous decisions. If the last two decisions are the same, bet Banker. If the last two decisions are not the same, then no bet. So, BB or PP then bet B. If, BP or PB then No Bet. You end up betting against any Player streak (the shortest streaks) and betting with any Banker streak (the longest streaks). Money Management The money management requires you to keep a running notation of the current hand number and the current shoe number. By shoe number I mean the total number of shoes to date played using this system. Hand number is just the B or P decision count in the current shoe only. All profits are carried forward with the bankroll. The minimum bet is one unit. The maximum bet is 1000 units. If we hit the maximum bet of 1000 units we just keep betting 1000 units per wager until we recover and reach or exceed our profit goal for the shoe, at which point we flat bet one unit. The way we calculate our bet size is as follows. If we lose a decision, we add "Hand Number-1" to the bet. If we win a decision and are below our one unit goal for the shoe, we keep the bet the same. If we win a decision and are at or above our one unit goal for the shoe, we flat bet one unit. If we are flat betting one unit and fall back below our one unit profit goal, then we add "Hand Number-1" to the bet. And so on. Now what usually (always?) happens is that you will find yourself way above your goal for the shoe at some point. Let's say you are in Shoe #2 and have a nice win, your total profit for shoes one and two reaching +24 units. Your goal for Shoe #2 is only a running total of two units. You have already reached your goal for Shoe #24. Since your current goal is two units and you are at +24 units, you may end up flat betting several shoes until the profit figure drops below the current shoe number. Continuing on with the example. Let's say we are in Shoe #8 and flat betting has been going horribly. Our goal for Shoe #8 is to have a running 8 unit profit for the betting of Shoes 1 through 8 but we find ourselves at a 7.5 unit profit after a losing bet. Looking at our rules, we now add "Hand Number-1" to our bet and make the next wager. If we win that bet, we might find ourselves above the 8 unit goal and may then resume flat betting. Here are the results of this system on my various databases. 4062 Live Shoes: Profit +4192 .. Bankroll required 4800 units. 10,005 Virtual Shoes: Profit +10,748 .. Bankroll required 4400 units. 2500 Virtual Shoes: Profit +2653 .. Bankroll required 1800 units. 25,000 Virtual Shoes: Profit +25,072 .. Bankroll required 59,000 units. Tough sledding on the 25,000 shoes but it did not bust. Most systems bust with no hope of recovery. Hopefully you can understand the betting from the above explanation. Here is another example of the bet size being calculated. So let's say we are flat betting one unit at Hand #23 and we drop slightly below the profit goal. The formula is (hand number)-1 plus (previous bet). So 23-1=22 plus 1 = 23. We lose again at Hand #24. The new bet is 24-1=23 plus 23 = 46. We win that bet and are back up above our profit goal. We resume flat betting at that point. If we had lost the 46 unit bet at Hand #25, the next calculation would be 25-1=24 plus 46 = 70. I will try to post a hand by hand example later.