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Baccarat Knowledge of the first card.

Discussion in 'Baccarat Forum' started by Bill16632, Aug 9, 2017.

  1. Bill16632

    Bill16632 New Member

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    Hello everyone. I'm wondering if knowing the first card that comes out of each hand that being players first card is a big advantage. Also what would be the best bets to place to ensure I will never lose. Looking forward to the answers!
     
  2. someone

    someone New Member

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    Elliot Jacobson has an article on it at https://www.888casino.com/blog/edge-sorting/baccarat-the-known-card
    If you get the first card regularly it looks quite lucrative.
     
    Last edited: Aug 9, 2017
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  3. Bill16632

    Bill16632 New Member

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    I've seen that before. Even tracked games for over a month and I have seen 7,8,9 lose 6-7 times in a row which to me is still kind of risky. I think I'm looking at it wrong or something. They say if the first card that comes out is a 7,8,9 wager on player and if the card that comes out first are K,Q,J,10,1,2,3,4,5 to wager banker, but than those percentages are even less for the cards that are not 7,8,9. I feel like I'm missing something big. There's gotta be another way to wager if I know the first card to come out on each hand !
     
  4. someone

    someone New Member

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    You're reading the table correctly, but I think you are misunderstanding the nature of the advantage. Just because the first card to the player is a 9 doesn't mean the player bet will win this hand, but over the long run it will win around 6 out of 10 hands (ignoring ties).

    So if you bet $100 on player whenever you know the first card is a 9, you will average making around $21 per bet. Now of course you have to make sure you don't go broke before you get to that long term average. If you go to the casino with $1000 and only bet when you catch the first card, you can probably start betting $100 for an 8 or 9, $50 for 7 and $25 for the banker first cards. If you ever find yourself down $500, half your bets until your bankroll recovers a bit.
     
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  5. Bill16632

    Bill16632 New Member

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    Ya totally understand what your saying. I even seen one time 9s losing 5 times without even one making it out a player win. Just crazy how this game gets sometimes.
     

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