1. Welcome to the #1 Gambling Community with the best minds across the entire gambling spectrum. REGISTER NOW!
  2. Have a gambling question?

    Post it here and our gambling experts will answer it!
    Dismiss Notice
  3. Discussions in this section are assumed to be EV- as they are outside of the Advantage Play section. For EV+ discussions, please visit the Advantage Play section.
    Dismiss Notice

Sports Betting One-A-Day: MLB pick

Discussion in 'Sports Betting Forum | Sportsbook Forum' started by OneArmedBandit, Apr 29, 2016.

  1. LarryS

    LarryS Compulsive Liar Compulsive Liar

    Joined:
    May 8, 2015
    Likes:
    1,830
    When you bet, how do we know you are getting the odds and the over/under numbers that you claim, unless you post proof of your 6 thousand dollar bets.
    Its one thing to just give your picks. But you give picks along with your monopoly money bets that started at 300 a bet in your first post, and now have ballooned up to up to 14 thousand a bet.

    Its one thing to increase your bets if you are a winner.....but come on....who goes from 300 per bet to 14k as u did with the texas series.

    since payouts and over/under numbers vary....just post your tickets after the fact to prove what you claim.

    meanwhile your picks are just as good as a money throwing darts. Maybe its time to do some real analysis and let the monkey go.

    you came on other threads asking for my attention. I will accommodate
     
    Last edited: Jul 29, 2016
  2. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    These picks posted at 8:36 PM EST both games start after 10 PM EST


    -$12,750
    157-149-19


    Series Bets:
    Dodgers -$350 $7,000/$2,000
    Reds -$115 $6,900/$6,000

    Dodgers 1st 5 innings -$260 $5,200/$2,000
    Dodgers game -$260 $5,200/$2,000
    Reds 1st 5 innings +$100 $6,500/$6,500
    Reds game -$105 $6,300/$6,000
     
    Last edited: Jul 30, 2016
  3. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    Recap:

    WIN Dodgers 1st 5 innings +$2,000
    WIN Dodgers game +$2,000
    WIN Reds 1st 5 innings +$6,500
    WIN Reds game +$6,000

    4-0
    +$16,500

    +$16,500 -$12,750 = +$3,750


    161-149-19

    Pending series bets:

    Reds 1-0
    Dodgers 1-0








     
  4. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    +$3,750
    161-149-19

    Didn't like many of the Matchups today

    Pending Series Bets:
    Reds 1-0
    Dodgers 1-0

    Pirates game -$145 $5,800/$4,000
    Reds game -$125 $5,000/$4,000
     
    Last edited: Jul 30, 2016
  5. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    Recap:

    LOST Pirates game -$5,800
    LOST Reds game -$5,000

    0-2
    -$10,800

    Pending Series Bets
    Reds 1-1
    Dodgers 1-1

    -$10,800 +$3,750 = -$7,050

    161-151-19






     
  6. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    -$7,050
    161-151-19

    Reds game $115 $4,600/$4,000
    Astros game -$165 $6,600/$4,000
    Rangers game -$140 $11,200/$8,000
    Red Sox game -$125 $7,500/$6,000
     
  7. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    Recap:

    Nice day today 3-1 on games and won both series bets

    WIN Reds game +$4,000
    LOST Astros game -$6,600
    WIN Ramgers game +$8,000
    WIN Red Sox game +$6,000

    WIN Reds series 2-1 +$6,000
    WIN Dodgers series 2-1 +$2,000

    5-1
    +$26,000 -$6,600 = +$19,400

    +$19,400 -$7,050 = +$12,350

    166-152-19






     

  8. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    +$12,350
    166-152-19
     
  9. LarryS

    LarryS Compulsive Liar Compulsive Liar

    Joined:
    May 8, 2015
    Likes:
    1,830
    I noticed you spent over 11k on a the texas game today. That is quite a bit of money compared to the 300 dollars your were spending 2-3 months ago.
    the monopoly money must be buying monopoly tickets. Do you happen to have the 11k monopoly ticket to show us

    if you bet 40 k a day on baseball as you easily do in the bets you list(sometimes more and sometimes less)......in a 162 game season, thats 6.48 million dollars in bets for the season.

    If you come out 100,000 ahead at the end of the year, thats a 1.5 percent return on investment

    If a 100 dollar a day bettor gets the same 1.5 percent return, they would get 243 dollars for the baseball season.

    But it hasnt been established that you will end at 100k. We are 2/3 through the season and you have only 12k.

    we will revisit this in days to come.
     
  10. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    +$12,350
    166-152-19


    Series Plays:

    Blue Jays -$105 $8,400/$8,000

    1st 5 innings Yankees -$120 $6,000/$5,000
    Yankees game -$115 $4,600/$4,000
    Yankees team total over 4 -$110 $7,700/$7,000
    1st 5 innings Marlins +$165 $4,000/$6,600
    Marlins game +$160 $4,000/$6,400
     
    Last edited: Aug 1, 2016
  11. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    Adding this play

    1st 5 innings Yankees -$120 $7,200/$6,000
     
  12. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    Recap:

    WIN Yankees 1st 5 innings +$5,000
    WIN Yankees game +$4,000
    WIN Yankees team total over 4 +$7,000
    LOST Marlins 1st 5 innings -$4,000
    LOST Marlins game -$4,000

    3-2
    +16,000 -$8,000 = +$8,000

    +$8,000 +$12,350 = +$20,350

    169-154-19

    Pending Series Bets
    Blue Jays 0-1







     
  13. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    Recap

    WIN Yankees 1st 5 innings +$6,000

    1-0
    +$6,000 +$20,350 = +$26,350

    170-154-19




     
  14. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    +$26,350
    170-154-19
     

  15. LarryS

    LarryS Compulsive Liar Compulsive Liar

    Joined:
    May 8, 2015
    Likes:
    1,830
    why dont you instead of betting once, for 6k, why dont you make 3...2k bets everyday and call it 3 bet.,...youcan pad your win total with that creative accounting
     
  16. redietz

    redietz Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    May 2, 2016
    Likes:
    335
    Location:
    Tennessee
    The win/loss record for moneyline sports is irrelevant. All that matters is the bottom line. Having said that, there should be some rationale for "spreading" bets as much as a 30 times ratio. I'm not sure what that rationale would be.
     
  17. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    +$26,350
    170-154-19




    Pending series play:
    Blue Jays 0-1


    Series bet
    Cards -$160 $9,600/$6,000
    Rangers -$110 $13,200/$12,000

    Cards game -$150 $6,000/$4,000
    Rangers game -$120 $9,600/$8,000
    Rangers team total over 4 -$130 $6,500/$5,000
    Blue Jays game +$150 $4,000/$6,000
    Blue Jays team total over 3.5 -$120 $6,000/$5,000
     
  18. LarryS

    LarryS Compulsive Liar Compulsive Liar

    Joined:
    May 8, 2015
    Likes:
    1,830
    when you are playing with monopoly money like he is...then win /loss is more helpfull. He goes from 300 dollar bets to 10k bets. Not realistic. So he could bet a game for a million dollars and be in the positive for the rest of the season. I agree winning 10 games at -200 is less impressive financially than winning 10 games at +120. Agreed.
     
  19. OneArmedBandit

    OneArmedBandit Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 19, 2016
    Likes:
    38
    Location:
    Planet Earth
    You are totally correct win/loss record means nada,zilch,nothing. The bottom line means everything.

    My bets are made daily, I've offered the Habitual Liar MANY wagers then I'd post my entire season of bets.
    I'm sure you've heard of Alan aka Dink, he and I are best of friends as is Todd F the old Caesars line maker.
    Both of them will verify the bettor that I am. I only play baseball, an occasional college football game. NO NFL,NHL,College or Pro BBall




     
    Last edited: Aug 2, 2016
  20. LarryS

    LarryS Compulsive Liar Compulsive Liar

    Joined:
    May 8, 2015
    Likes:
    1,830
    I dont need to have proof of "the bettor that you are"......but peoplewho read your thread for recommendations for their personal betting arsenal would be interested that you 60k betting days are not fairy tales.
     

Share This Page