Sports Betting Redietz, sports handicapper

Hey Puck City. Kickin back today. Great weather. I will probably eat too many nachos.

Enjoy the game and your day. Protect your eyes.

 

Nice.
Here is the to my surprise , zero market movement post at 10:00 ambeer o’clock hic. Some ware on this page cheers

 

Nice game, spoke to the boys, next year we get staff and staff and some more staff, at a neutral venue, lol, seeing how you mentioned eye protection protocols got me thinking. We realised what was missing, lol. Cheers

 

Gotta have your priorities in line.

 

Lol.

 

Well we are coming into our league season here, not as glam as your nfl but we are a big fish in a small pond so it will suffice.

For a number of years now I have been picking a bunny to make me money for the season. Yes I know my last take on the super Bowl was a 0 and 2 , just missed the Bengals in the last minute but secured the unders and picked Odell to not mesh with the team ( hey injury counts in my book , lol) but generally I’m ok in the % lol.

My main take has been either player disruptive influence on a team or a coach that supposedly walks on water being an epic fail.

I made huge money on Ricky for a number of years first at the ells then at the raiders, this was of course after the miracle roosters grand final year.

This year I’m continuing my bet against the bulldogs run , this is a unique combination that the player disruptive influence I made money on in the past is now a coach, I bet against him when he was the eagle coach and last year at bulldogs, easy money. I will look to bet against him / his team until at least round 13 of 26 rounds. The club has a new general manager starting as of last round last year but I think the coach will be a dud well into the season, then he will take much needed advice from the club admin. I will re evaluate at round 14.
My next bunny is the Tigers, new coach but old coach having another crack. The coach saw some glory back when methuselah was a boy but was ousted in a ugly power play by staff and players, the scar is still fresh me thinks so the Tigers are bunnies also. Thank god for that loser Robbie casting a putrid shadow over tiger town still.

Sadly Sam Stosur has retired from tennis that woman was a one person atm for me, you could bet against her with impunity especially if she for some unknown reason was a favourite to win the match , especially if playing in skipptophia. The lgbt brigade backed her to win relentlessly, stick to fish licking I say they know nothing about sports betting lol.

Speaking of tennis how good was it Novak chocked on his own cock. A Nadal or Federer he will never be. Sure he may win more slams eventually but as a person, no , will always be a lowlife.
How funny is that.

Rugby , gods game , I’m still bullish on Queensland coach being the eventual coach of skipptophia say by 2024 ish, I called him locally here to steer qld to the final ( last year) and he did. ( not much of a competition due to Covid, but a winner is a winner) unfortunately no market is framed for coaching.
AFL I’m taking saint kilda to top 4 and take the grand final, I take them nearly every year lol. Not yet for some time. Lol. Cheers

 

Enjoy your time with grandson. I’m sure you will pass on the most pertinent fun knowledge that all young men need to succeed in life. Eye protection, eye protection, eye protection cannot be emphasised enough. Lol.

 

1. Having a ball. The little guy is growing so fast. Definately lots eye of protection needed.

 

Just reiterate nrl starting today, manly never wins first game of season ( 3 wins out of last 15 season starts) easy money, storm win every start game of season ( (12 ish ? Wins of 15 start seasons) easy money, lol.
Dogs to lose every game until round 13. Minimum. Cheers

 

We have a national campaign here of “slip slop slap” ( sunscreen of course!!) in summer when beach wear compels “eye protection” LOL.

 

Are you ready for some Ruuugbbyyy?

A buddy played halfback for Idaho.

They were playing at Arizona St. At the time they were #2 in the nation. He was stretching in the end zone before the game. He could feel something hitting his helmet. Then he sees these little brown things on the turf around him.

Fans were throwing russet potatoes at him. His team was a 30 point dog. It was 102 degrees on the field at 7.30pm. It was going to be a long night.

But he said that is nothing compared to playing Rugby.

 

Just to back track
Manly lost opening game ( easy money)
Storm won opening game ( not against manly, easier money)
Tigers are going great guns and have lost every game so far 5th round. I’m raking it in , lol
Dogs won first game as you recall I say they should lose to round 13 min, they have since tanked and lost every game since I’m back in the money on them also.
Also have picked the 8 team winning multiple leg for round 5.

I aim to win just 1 full 8 leg multi a season as posted previously as that is more than a reimbursement for wagers outlay per nrl season.

Will continue to back against tigers and dogs until they get at least 2 wins in a row at any stage of the season. Note they get to play each other this season and I will not bet on either team on that game

Im looking forward to baseball USA this year as per usual, and am just waiting for the warm up games to finish ( my opinion only) and will look to bet towards the end of April.

As a non professional and non American, being I have no cultural or historical biases or baseball education at all , my selection approach is amateur to say the least.
I will take the money line only 99% of the time, rarely ats if ever, on occasions I will have a 1,2,3 or 4 leg multi

My preferred criteria is any team on a streak be it loser or winner streak, the home and away streak are considered, win streak vs win streak teams are omitted for that day as so is the loser vs loser. My preference is the underdog in the streak phases as the only historical data I refer to is the huge number of games won by dogs over the last 2 decades per season. I view this in a blanket format of numbers only and a teams previous standing last season, vs whoever at anytime in its history are not considered by me . Hence the amateur reference and non historical, cultural statement.

In the baseball season bankroll is completely different to the nrl bankroll I run. As you will note I apply history to nrl as per the quote this thread post. This is because I have a cultural and historical background in this sport.

Baseball and NFL ( apart from the packers lol) I view as a similar approach to the asx ( Australian stock market) no emotion biases just numbers. Cheers

 

Please don't bet parlays, and don't advertise that one should bet parlays. There are few good reasons to ever bet parlays, so if that's what you mean by "1, 2, 3 or 4 leg multi," just don't do that. If you want to make charitable contributions, that's your business, but parlays rarely belong in serious sports betting discussions.

 

Don’t start tiger, you are suspect at the best of time. I didn’t advise anyone to bet as I do . Re read the post there’s enough information there to show that I’m not donating money to your casinoverse that you frequently get your free meal and drinks from. You obviously still haven’t informed the patrons of your place of hypocrisy to stop spending their money there. So you just enjoy the fat off their backs and let me get on with making money my way.
Re read the post you reply to.
I have been successfully doing this for years, it is self funded , it is a proportion of my income stream not my sole income derivative. You have no idea, your one size fits all sizes is wrong, outdated. Go back to your comp kickbacks from your high volume loser bet turnovers. I prefer cash , real cash to spend wherever and when ever I want and not being dictated to by a casinoverse to use their facilities for “free” comp money.
Full disclosure we don’t have that facility here anyway, you could not survive HERE doing what you are doing THERE.

You have found an AP niche that gives you food stamps good for you, well in the real world alar not vegastopia we make real money. Cheers

 

I have no idea what you're talking about, Punkcity. Honestly, you make very little sense.

But for those who might think you have some credibility, I will explain why parlays are a bad idea in general.

Parlays are a lazy man's wager, unless you use Open parlays where you can plug teams in days or weeks or months after the initial team has won. The primary reason for this is that if you wager on multiple teams in one parlay at one place at one point in time, you are NOT getting the optimal, most-favorable spread or odds for all of the teams in that parlay at that single shop at that point in time. You are betting non-optimally the vast majority of the time, since numbers vary from shop to shop and over the course of time, even the same day, in any given shop. Therefore betting off the board with parlays, in general, is a bad idea. And a lazy one. If, however, you are able to place an optimal bet on a team and leave the parlay open, then when another optimal number shows up at that shop, you can plug it in days or weeks down the road.

I think that's a pretty clear statement, and would love to hear what's incorrect about it.

 

Your parlay being an open format is correct but not available here in skipptophia.
True spread of odds on an individual team in a one by one basis YES you are correct, and I’m not, never suggest that it’s not.
Did you re read the post ?
No you did not .
The post suggested to bet against the dogs ( individual team bet) bet against the tigers ( individual team bet) I mentioned I won on the storm opening game ( individual team bet) I won against manly ( another individual team bet)
I mentioned I take a 8 leg multiple bet each week that comes from a seasonal bankroll that’s dedicated to that type of betting it won on week 5 (and I look to have it this weekend also I’m waiting for today’s Monday game results) it HAS ALREADY repaid my outlay for the ENTIRE season allocated bankroll nomination for that bet criteria.

I suggest I will take the streak of baseball this season and will not bet a win streak vs another win streak team on game day , etc etc plain as daylight

YOU did not re read the post obviously

At no point did I say all allocated funds are solely invested in the 8 leg rugby or potential 4 leg baseball.

My reasoning is this.

I’m betting on all 8 or 6 league team to win in any particular round , I stand to win all selections for that weekend, I have the historical database of MY OWN past record of betting in the NRL for over 20 years and I ABSOLUTELY win all 6,7,8 teams bet on At the min ONCE a year, it’s not fuckng hard or impossible, sometimes I get it 2 or more times, especially around state of origin time ( June July)

So with that information at my disposal

WHY

JUST

WHY

Would I not capture the extra profit that’s available at a minimum outlay?

I win 4 of 6 bets on an individual team per weekend, 6 of 8 , 5 of 8 and yes sometimes 2 of 8

MOSTLY I’m in the money and if I throw x amount of $ on the same bet weekend as a multi to increase my return

YES I AGREE with YOU it’s an insidious, fool, lazy man bet . There are millions out there doing that . DOING it the WAY you describe

Im NOT DOING THAT

Re read the post , comprehension is key. Get off your high horse in your assessment of myself you are incorrect. You have taken a pig headed condescending offensive attitude towards me since the ats post. You sir cannot admit you are wrong. You sir are not the be all and end all in sports betting. You may be adequate to a certain extent in what you do where you are but it not the definitive all inclusive way , if it was the bookies would have worked it out and shut you amd similar down years ago.

Stay in your small pond .
Re read the post or don’t bother reply, the post is , was for the amusement of tater, I had asked for permission from tater if he minded that I post sports bet topics on his thread he said OK.

You don’t like it don’t post here , if other fools go off half cocked and bet stupid at risk multiple legs , nothing will stop them period. you are not going to stop them , nothing and no one , you and your hypocrite ways have not helped a single person, you just pontificate . Cheers

 

Well tigers won the first game of the season today against the eels, all other 7 teams selected won , the 8 leg multi did not win, my weekend is a net profit and I obviously don’t know what im doing. They won by 1 point which to me is irrelevant as I don’t do ats, to my record keeping it’s just a loss of a single money line bet and a minimal outlay on a 8 leg multi plus 7 other individual money line WIN results.

I obviously don’t know what I’m doing .

My lock 2 must have bets this coming week will be tigers to lose , dogs to lose. I will access the other 12 teams this week, it should be obvious that I don’t always bet on all 8 games as I assume most can read and ALSO comprehend, if I can’t find a clear winner in my opinion I don’t bet on that game, hence the reference, previously posted 6 team wins or 7 etec this dietz mean I could not confidently bet on all 8 games scheduled that round, just FYI dietz as everyone else seems to comprehend it.

This condescending attitude feels good, now I should mix in some blind pigheadedness, a dash of self righteous, sexist, maybe some closet joi , or / and to cap it off with some crybaby complaining about some irrelevant smoke screen and broken mirrors posting , if only I was in vagastophia sucking on the teats of problem degenerate gamblers that fund an array of non momentary food stamp comping casinoverse then I would truly be a PLAYER of note, well at least that’s what one scratched into the wall at your local gay bar. I hope the phone numbers is etched on rather than pencil on.

Well here I am in skipptophia, I guess I’ll just have to do with real money as opposed to food stamps from local casinoverse.

Rember if tiger or dog win 2 in a row they no longer are on the must bet against loser list. The raiders may very well supplant the dog or tiger as they have history on my must lose list. I post previous that the coach was a consistent money maker for me over a number of seasons as a loser. We will see. Cheers

 

Just a note to you Tater, if this posting of mine this thread is bothering YOU, or you feel I am HIJACKING your thread from your intended purpose in ANY WAY please let me know via this thread. If that’s the case I will address admin to remove the applicable posts as off topic or hijack post and get them to create a new thread.

Hopefully you are aware that I completely detest hypocrisy in any shape or form ( especially when I, myself am the culprit) and I have been on record on a number of previous occasions of asking administration to remove any or all of MY posts from other threads as soon as I believe or became aware that I was hijacking or instigating a hijacking of another member thread.

Im sure admin will verify that if required/ requested.

Let me know thanks and we will make any adjustments that are potentially required. Cheers

 

Not at all Punkcity. I don't bet parlays myself. But my 90 year old friend seems to do well with them. Just one question. Who is "they"?

So there is a group out there that waits for him to win 5 out of 6 teamer and then screws him by a 1/2 point. It seems to happen quite often. And Joe says "they" boinked me again.

 

Ok cheers, if these posts become problematic for you down the track tater let me know .
How are you going with your mlb this season so far? Letting it be for the first few weeks or diving straight in ? Cheers