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Poker Rivered a set with short stack - Value bet or Showdown?

Discussion in 'Poker Forum' started by TonyTwoCheeks, Mar 9, 2019.

  1. SB stack: 32,000 chips
    HJ stack: 56,000 chips
    CO (Hero) stack: 23,000 chips

    Blinds 400-800

    *** PRE-FLOP ***
    UTG+1: limps
    HJ: limps
    CO (Hero): raises 3,600 with :8h: :8c4:
    BTN: folds
    Small Blind: calls
    Big Blind: folds
    UTG & UTG+1 fold
    HJ: calls
    Pot Size: 12,400 chips

    *** FLOP *** :ad4::10d4::9c4:
    SB: checks
    HJ: checks
    Hero: checks
    Pot Size: 12,400 chips

    *** TURN *** :ad4::10d4::9c4::3s:
    SB: checks
    HJ: checks
    Hero: checks
    Pot Size: 12,400 chips

    *** RIVER *** :ad4: :10d4: :9c4: :3s: :8s:
    SB: checks
    HJ: checks
    Hero: bets 6,000 (I bet to get paid by weak aces, tens, and possible two pairs not wanting to lead into a straight.)
    SB: raises to 18,000
    HJ: folds
    Hero: calls (In my mind, there aren't enough hands he could have to fold to and player is capable of shoving two pair as a bluff even with the short stack sizes. He's been active and has been bluffed out of hands with air balls on the river. He might be fighting back as he just hero-called with bottom pair.)

    Is the pre-flop size too small? Is shoving 28 BBs better?
    When the turn checks through, is shoving, betting, or checking the best play?
    When the river checks through, is taking the showdown or value-betting better? If the :8s: doesn't come then we definitely go to showdown.

    SB: shows
    Spoiler alert!Click to Reveal!


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