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Baccarat Sputnik's Notes on Baccarat

Discussion in 'Baccarat Forum' started by Sputnik, Mar 10, 2020.

  1. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Dec 28, 2014
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    Now I will show you have to test the GAPs - WITH & AGAINST - Random Walk - Algorithm.
    For me is about Frequencies with a periodicity that comes in cycles - random bits ...

    Code:
    
        WITH 158250523121233142400211012001101022420051
    AGAINST 101417702362604004020420210220,10,1601
    
     
    Now you collect a larger sample and then put them in number order.
    Then you calculate how many and mark the middle value.
    That is the median GAP or median value of the frequencies periodicity cycles.

    Attach the file for the model to get the median using random bits - see attachment.
    Works with any equilibrium or variance check or chaos disorder to become predictable.

    When you have the golden GAP you can open up the chaos into predictable indications signs using minus - and plus + and equal = letters

    For example, the short sample above is chaotic and random and you can not grasp the variance and fluctuation behaviour.
    Then you need a key-value as indication towards where and when things take the direction against or with your strategy.

    AGAINST 101417702362604004020420210220,10,1601

    Number Order

    000000000011111122222223444466677,10,

    Amount 34 numbers and middle value 17

    0000000000111111 ((( 2 ))) 2222223444466677,10,

    Now the magic and look at the chaos true behaviour with VALUE Indicator.

    + For any value above 2
    - For any value below 2
    = For the value 2

    AGAINST 101417702362604004020420210220,10,1601

    - - - + - + + - = + + = + - + - - + - = - + = - + - - + + - + - + - -

    Now you can use ENTERING POINT based upon VALUE
    The value is the GAP MIDDLE INDICATION
    Meaning the Frequencies Peridocity Cycle.
    Exit point depending on where and when to enter and what event to catch.

    This is the lesson for those who don't believe charting and tracking has meaning and are worthless Gamblers Fallacy.
    This is what HOLLOWAY talks about, but this is my version and understanding.
    You need to find some kind of value to base you selection upon.
    No value then is worthless to bet and play.

    Cheers
     

    Attached Files:

  2. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    This is a little scary, but what happens if you - Scalping the Universe Of Random Bits - when - & + would profit and = become a loss and we talk about events as singles versus series of events or series versus single events - this is deep water - and I will look into this and see how well it will perform - you can google Scalping if you don't grasp the HowTo ...
     
  3. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Just want to mention this and I will stick with the Ching A Ling
    This could or i assume this could apply to bitcoin trading and forex, not sure.

    WITH 158250523121233142400211012001101022420051

    - + + = + - + = + - = - = + + - + = + - - = - - - - = - - - - - - - = = + = - - + -

    Quick note

    The tendency of bias frequencies of periodicity cycles where one event rather repeat than sleeping have two attempt versus three attempts when Scalping and make the first option optimal, my opinion.

    LW-Registry - Scalping - Just showing the flow with no entering or exit points

    - W
    + LW
    + LW
    = LL
    + LW
    - W
    + LW
    = LL
    + LW
    - W
    = LL
    - W
    = LL
    + LW
    + LW
    - W
    + LW
    = LL
    + LW
    - W
    - W
    = LL
    - W
    - W
    - W
    - W
    = LL
    - W
    - W
    - W
    - W
    - W
    - W
    - W
    = LL
    = LL
    + LW
    = LL
    - W
    - W
    + LW
    - W

    Not sure if this I correct I will allow my mental grasp this and get back with more information.
     
    Last edited: Jul 17, 2020
  4. Jimske

    Jimske Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Okay, I guess I don't because I have followed this from the beginning and thought I had a handle on it but then I couldn't figure out why he wagered what he did on some of his files. I did ask him to give one or two explanations but never got an answer. That's fine.

    My opinion is that the concept of identifying cycles in the game should be pretty easy for an experienced player. The cycles either continue and profit or discontinue and no profit. These cycles appear in groups or "series" as Sputnik points out. The key is always in the recovery and staking plan.

    I'm not clear as to his selection process. No matter. My worst session recently Win 59 wagers; lose 74 wagers for a measly 44% strike rate (4 shoes) Still got 16 units due to recovery wagers. Sometimes the "cycles" just don't hold up. When they do. . . boom!

    Cheers
     
  5. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Jimske I apologies but I don't have the patience or mental strength as a couple of mounts back.
    As you point out, I am a bad teacher.

    Now when you watch the video you see the Plutonium giving the measuring device different values.
    They are frequencies and truly random with no value or any way to predict.
    Jump from zero to twenty and to three.

    Now when we convert the frequencies into different amounts of events as isolated sequences of occurrence.
    It is not just random bits as each frequency and sequence occurrences has certain qualities.
    Like a state or a mindset in a certain mood.

    So series of two and four singles, no more or less, is one isolated frequency with certain qualities.
    They are the two different events, singles and series of two with a certain occurrence, four singles.

    Assume I put the indication or value in the singles and the series of two creates TIES when betting to catch a series of three.
    Then the sections of each frequency with its own quality become interesting because they come in cycles or has periodicity with each and own length.

    With other words - when regular punter sees Red & Black and make the decision to play on one of the colours.
    I do the same thing, but for me is about frequencies with periodic cycles with different qualities.

    Now you ask if that makes a difference and I answer when the average punter place bets to catch one single event.
    I do the same thing with the same amount of placed bets but catch two events and not one as the average punter.

    Cheers
     
  6. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Update ...

    I don't know the tendency, but we can implement the Law Of Series into the estimation process of periodicity.
    For example a series of three and higher and singles versus series of two.
    Now the occurrence is twice as much as a series of three but equal with series of three and higher.
    The estimation and likelihood is favouring us, or at least that is the tendency and feeling a get after running 300 RNG sample.
    1243111201311l110005302

    - = + + - - - = - - + - - - - - - - - + + - -

    The tendency is more common and the majority is minus and equal signs.
    I know 300 RNG sample is to short, but if you run and test with 10 samples of 300 RNG/TRNG you will get a clear perspective.

    Cheers
     
  7. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Now I will tell you something and you will only crack and understand it if you follow me and read my post about Marigny-
    When I reply above to Jimske I realize the power behind winning two in a row when others win once placing the same amount of bets.
    That is the EDGE sorting function.

    Then I think about the 60.000 simulated test where the average loss is 8
    So I have these two things in my mind and then thinking about increments and regression towards the mean.
    And come to the conclusion that I can use Turbo Genius method where there will be a hot number within cycles targeting 37 numbers and two repeats as triggers.
    Reverse with Marignys match calculations for singles versus series of three and series of two versus series of four and series of three versus series of five.

    I just play some session and understood the value and deposit money into LeoVegas and made +5 units with less than one hour play.
    Just feel that I should mention this because I feel that I will never see the Law Of Series hit in perfect order with no regression towards the mean at least once within eight events windows increases for several levels to make a four or six-level staking plan to bust.

    Google vls, roulette cc, roulette life and this forum and you will find the answer.
    Now I will only post-session results playing with real money online, no simulations.

    Middle day session 18/7-20 +5 Units - LeoVegas

    L
    W
    W

    - - -

    L
    L
    L

    W
    L
    W
    W

    - - -

    W
    L
    W
    W

    - - -

    L
    W
    W

    - - -

    L
    W
    L
    W
    W

    - - -

    W
    W

    - - -

    L
    L
    L

    W
    W
     
    Last edited: Jul 18, 2020

  8. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    No secrets and welcome to my mental equilibrium.

    A roulette wheel has 37 pockets and 37 degrees of freedom.
    But all number will not hit once each with no repeat.

    Now let's convert this to Baccarat.
    And we have the Law Of Series - the universe with singles and series with different length.
    I can not make this statement but will mention it so you grasp the conclusion.
    What is the probability or math behind that there will be no regression toward the mean if every single event follow by next value with no imbalance toward the other side from stronger to weaker STDV (ECART)

    Here are the math and probability model.

    Singles versus larger series

    Singles has the value of 1
    Series of two has the value of 0
    Series of three has the value of 1

    Series of two versus larger series

    Series of two has the value of 1
    Series of three has the value of 0
    Series of four has the value of 1

    Series of three versus larger series

    Series of three has the value of 1
    Series of four has the value of 0
    Series of five has the value of 1

    You get the point.
    Marigny De Grilleau

    There is two ways, each event for itself or the model above.
    For example, playing BBB PPP BBB would be the same thing using the model above, the difference is that if you play against BBB PPP BBB as regular punter you win once and if you use the playing model above you win two in a row.

    Not exactly you wold play against three events not to TILT to the other side of the coin flip.
    Where the event between the opposite values is a TIE and you get the coin flip distribuion winning two and not once.

    Cheers
     
  9. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Rap your mind around that GAMBLER

    Cheers
     
  10. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Reality-Check

    RNG Hit & Run

    Test - open up Roulette Extreme - no zero - and make a new clean session with no past results - betting after the first outcome.
    If the coinflip win two in a row after three attempts you have regression toward the mean.
    If a clean result with no wins and three loses you have the STDV growing stronger with an imbalance in one direction.
    The same show that same strike ratio as betting against three Bankers or Players, but then you win once.
    With the playing model above you win twice.

    This is Sputnik's Edge sorting.

    ONE-COINFLIP

    L
    WL
    WL
    L
    WL
    WW

    ONE-COINFLIP

    L
    WW

    NO-COINFLIP

    L
    L
    L

    ONE-COINFLIP

    WW

    NO-COINFLIP

    L
    L
    L

    ONE-COINFLIP

    WW

    ONE-COINFLIP

    WL
    WW

    ONE-COINFLIP

    WW

    ONE-COINFLIP

    WW

    ONE-COINFLIP

    WL
    WW

    ONE-COINFLIP

    WL
    L
    L
    WW

    Cheers
     
  11. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Test small session +2 units LeoVegas 19/7-20 Morning.
    And exactly the same as RNG simulation.
    If feels like magic, it feels that I know the Regression will come and it does.

    L
    W
    L
    L
    W
    W

    - - -

    L
    L
    W
    L
    L
    W
    W

    - - -
     
  12. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Theory & Reality

    Betting against the clean sheet.
    Testing one baccarat shoe and I try to imagine one shoe with only singles and series of two and a series of three.
    In that order, periodicity cycles random bits frequencies that repeat as periodicity cycles nine times.
    Clean Sheet meaning that there was no coin flip towards the regression toward the mean, once during nine events.

    A show with no TILT towards the other side of the coin flip.
    And the shuffle before playing, the card should fall like raindrops with no strikes and create a clean shoe, a clean sheet.
    Meaning no coinflip and no regression to the other side, no TILT.

    There are many ways to look at this and different perspectives.
    Average punter has a window of events that is a minimum of nine bankers and win once if player show at least once during those nine events.
    But using Sputnik's clean sheet the regression towards the mean should result in three or four of five in a row during nine attempts and winning twice, not once.
    I regard the same window of events has the same likelihood.

    Visit Snabbare online casino and won 2 units on the baccarat table.
    I like the idea of having a clean start with a new shuffle shoe in front of me.
    Then it has to make the STDV (ECART) grow stronger for singles, series of two and series of three with no TILT, clean sheet.
    Testing using the 31 strategies 111224488 and give three cycles of periodicity.
    If using Ching A Ling progression I would start wagering after one fictive cycle loss.
    But has not made up my mind yet, but you might notice I like this way tackle even money.

    Cheers
     
  13. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    I bust nine in a row - so the math and probability do not add up.
    Maybe unlucky got several ties bets so I was close four times during the nine attempts.

    CHeers
     
  14. soxfan

    soxfan Well-Known Member

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    Did you think that you would never buck up against a progressions busts, hey hey?
     
    Nathan Detroit likes this.

  15. Jimske

    Jimske Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Yeah well regression gonna happen. . .eventually but anybody can stay "still waiting" for a long time before it happens. May as well just play the series as you see them. The various "series" you identify can sometimes dominate. When they do make an attempt to exploit them by jumping ahead with the Ching a Ling. Not waiting or a loss.

    Also you might consider changing the bet selection to match the particular series. So for example if you looking for singles and 2's just play OLD. If getting 2 and 3 bet FLD. Like that. MM always going to rule.
     
    Last edited: Jul 20, 2020
  16. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Yes Soxfan, it always happen, but I just testing with real money and not computer simulation and are not confident to use four or six levels staking plan.
    Reason Is that I am not satisfied and feeling comfort with the selections.

    Play all six events with one selection with four levels - still develop that option.
    Same with one 10 step Star and six levels - still develop
    Among many other options.

    Cheers
     
  17. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Well, assume a trend or sequence with certain qualities.
    Same as Markow Chains a sequence with a mindset.

    Thin singles and series of two that has the values 1 and 0 versus series of three or higher +1 and above.
    Then we face a window of appearance with 2,10 STDV.
    If we play 3 and 3 and 3 to catch a series of three or higher.

    Now, what is the periodicity of such waves?
    All we know is that the average losing sequence during 60.000 placed bets is eight.
    But no data or stats of the frequencies of periodicity.

    Same if we would stretch thing to 4 and 4 and 4 that would be 2.5 STDV
     
  18. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Jimske, do you understand the property, state of mind or chain reaction of each seuqence and the advantage winning two in a row when other punters win once.

    I will illustrate this with a 2 single trigger and we know what will happen in the future.
    We will get 5 singles and lose three attempts, not catching a series of three.
    Each series of two is a tie and give us a free bet.

    The average punter would use a series of two players to catch a banker in the next three coming events.
    No free bets or ties, three straight loses.

    I do the same but winning twice, can you see the Sputnik's Edge Sorting.

    trigger 2 singles - 6 singles 2 series of two/tie
    trigger 2 singles - 4 singles 1 series of two/tie and one series of three
    trigger 2 singles - 2 singles 1 series of two/tie and one series of three
    trigger 2 singles - 5 singles
    trigger 2 singles - 5 singles
    trigger 2 singles - 3 singles 0 series of two/tie and one series of three

    We look at the cycles of periodicity and each quality or state of each sequence where we base the math and probability into chain reactions.
    When we know the frequency of the periodicity of the cycle we know how many attempts staking of each occurrence.

    This is why my selections apply to Markow Chains rather then Gamblers Fallacy.
    These algorithms apply to price movements, my assumptions that we could trade Bitcoin in the same manner.
     
  19. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Here is a short sample - the average punter playing against two and Sputnik's Edge Sorting

    Average Punter

    W
    W
    LLW
    W
    W
    W
    W

    Sputnik

    WLWL L WW
    WL L WW
    L WL WL WL WL WW
    L L WW
    WW
    L WW
    L WL WW

    Now I getting deep and advance about the method above using coinflip to the other side TILT
    How about only using the TIE bets as indications to catch larger series.
    Pretty amazing stuff.

    Marigny De Grilleau, when +1 attack, is a famous march after 3.0 STDV window of certain state/events.
    I get scared for my knowledge and ability to tackle this.
     
  20. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    ScreenHunter_01 Jul. 20 10.58.jpg

    WOW no comment ;-)
    Flat betting strikes LOL
     
    Last edited: Jul 20, 2020

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