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Baccarat Sputnik's Notes on Baccarat

Discussion in 'Baccarat Forum' started by Sputnik, Mar 10, 2020.

  1. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Additional Information

    Everything can be used with one side only - playing Banker side only - playing Player side only ...

    - And you can play isolated singles and a series of two singles.
    - You can play isolated singles and a series of three singles or more.
    - You can play series of two singles and a series of three singles or more.

    ... and the same principle with only a single series and series of series.

    ... and both can be used with one side only or both.

    Only you limiting your self from what angle you prefer taking advantage of the bias within each shoe.

    Now you see why anyone can read the random distribution like an open book and understand the nature of each and every shoe tendency towards bias (repeats) based upon Sputnik's March Concept.
    Some might know similar things in the past, but no one has clear intention to describe why and when and where you can win using Trends (Sequences) and why they have a slight favouring estimation and likelihood to hit versus betting randomly.

    - Define the bias - CHECK
    - Define the decision making - CHECK
    - Define the reason to bet - CHECK
    - Define what a trend is - CHECK
    - Describe non-mechanical estimation - CHECK

    Cheers
     
  2. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Here is the second video to illustrate one among many variants using Sputnik's March Concept - Edge-Sorting (Ride Strikes)
    This time I did not catch five in a row, but I catch two series, one series of three and one series of four.
    The session end up even, no profit and no loss.

    The first video had a sequence with singles and a series of two and end with a larger series.
    I bet that the shoe would continue to distribute bias sequences and after the next series of two, I place a bet and strike five times in a row.

    The second video had one Triplet at the start (no bias) and then one bias sequence with singles and series of two that end with a larger series.
    I bet that the shoe would continue to distribute bias sequences from this moment and after the next series of two, I place a bet and won once with a series of three.
    Then I wait for a new series of two and strike twice, a series of four.
    And that was the end when the bias sequence ended with a series of two.

     
  3. stephen

    stephen Active Member

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    Thanks for the posts. Half the events are singles. Normally in Sputnik's march you will be taking full use of singles. In this video, you did not bet on the singles, when they were occurring continuously! Perhaps this video is just to illustrate the concept of Edge-Sorting.
     
    Sputnik likes this.
  4. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Yes, that was Edge-Sorting and the estimation to ride the bias of strikes ...

    Now I run some simulations today and discover one amazing solution.
    We can capitalize on two sequences and more important, we can catch two different sequences that are connected with only two attempts.
    Test this with a series of two and a series of three and higher sequence ... and with singles and series of three and higher ...
    Flat betting and getting a positive return on investment on the majority of shoes.

    The same should apply to what you are referring to ...
    Catching two sequences where the singles connect both.
    Singles and series of two with singles and series of three and higher.

    It is hard mental work to solve the estimation of equlibirum solutions to reduce the number of attempts to catch both sequences.

    Sometimes I consider this to be the best of the best and considering only share some details with Asymbac, Jimske, Soxfan, Mako among a couple more punters.
    But at the same time ... I challenge anyone in public to contribute to something better where the punter describes, why, where and when to place bets and the estimation reason why such decision making exist.
    I am getting sick of punters who give away advice without showing any evidence that they know what they talk about.
    Fools make empty claims about winning flat betting without showing how, they can't in my book, they just talk nonsense.

    Cheers
     
  5. soxfan

    soxfan Well-Known Member

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    In my experience flat betting at baccarats don't work but I have been testing a flat bets style at dice and performing well so far, hey hey.
     
    Nathan Detroit likes this.
  6. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Yes, I agree, is very difficult ...
    Today, this evening I will show the dominance for each sequence and how to explore two of them with only two attempts.

    Cheers
     
  7. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Jimske, can you contribute with 10 more shoes, so no one can argue that I curve fitting results ...

    Cheers
     

  8. MDawg

    MDawg Well-Known Member

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    Occupation:
    Lawyer, Businessman
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    Varying your bet doesn't guarantee a win, but flat betting guarantees a loss.

    Martingale is stupid too. I played that once when I was barely old enough to be in a casino. Never again.
     
    Last edited: Mar 26, 2020
    Nathan Detroit likes this.
  9. Jimske

    Jimske Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Sure. Pick Mohegan Sun or Foxwood (they will be the newest) and give me 10 numbers between 1-1000 and I'll post them tomorrow. Mix them up or not - no matter.

    In the meantime I sure hope nobody here getting hurt by the virus. My son lives in NYC and he's stuck there and knows a lot of peeps just hanging in. Must suck being in an urban area or in an apartment or condo. I'm fortunate it doesn't effect me much but I think the shit will still hit the fan for many.

    J
     
    Sputnik likes this.
  10. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Hello Jimske, hope your son has good health and the same for you.
    For me is not a question about getting the Corona Virus and maybe be lucky not getting infected - the question is when - and then hope for the best - getting fibre and koff and then recover - what worries me and should worry anyone who has been or are a smoker and the Corona infect our lungs - then there will be an emergency hospital visit - I hope that will not happen and what i consider very dangerous and we talking about keeping living or die in that situation - that is how encounter the situation.

    Cheers
     
  11. Chip Magnet

    Chip Magnet Active Member

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    I believe it can, but you will not win much, unless you bet large. I don't.

    Flat betting those 24 shoes would have net me 38 units after commissions using my bet every hand strategy, and 35 after commissions, using my Banker only strategy.

    Ahead, but hardly enough to ‘feed the bulldog’ as you would say.
     
  12. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Now I will email certain members and describe the last part of the Sputnik's March based upon my development.
    I feel is too sensitive and to value to give away to punters that never contribute.

    Cheers
     
    Mako likes this.
  13. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Now I will try something that I discover - using Edge-Sorting using two sequences - flat betting.
    I will only post the image of each 80 trail session with the following rules.

    This is for the public and does who I email the instructions to.

    Rules:

    - if the session starts with the negative result I aim to break even or take a loss.
    - if the session starts positive I will continue to play until I reach 80 trails or end up at break-even.

    Simple rules and should show when and where someone should stop and take a win and when to break-even and when to take a loss.
    And will make 10 session samples with 80 trails for each public post.

    Cheers
     
    asymbacguy likes this.
  14. asymbacguy

    asymbacguy Active Member

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    Sputnik you are the best. Period.

    as.
     
    Mako likes this.

  15. Mako

    Mako Well-Known Member

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    Agree. As Nathan says, don’t feed the system junkies.

    I only learned to win once I was forced to go into the cave and figure it all out, and I recommend everyone else do the same, just as you have Sputnik.
     
    Nathan Detroit likes this.
  16. ehtelgaeb

    ehtelgaeb Active Member

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    Hey Jim. How about Foxwood and

    6
    13
    67
    49
    345
    465
    678
    711
    897
    984
     
  17. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Read this and you will understand that the following sessions are based upon same quality as real casino shuffle baccarat shoes.

    I do this so no one can argue RNG or Curve Fitting.
    I quote Dennis from Baccarat Buster Two:

    Part 1

    Hi Patrik,
    You are correct, there is no Random Number Generator that selects the cards to be dealt.

    The card numbers are kept in a text file just as though they were stacked on the table. When the game starts
    The program reads the values of the cards into memory. Now the deck is in memory. I have created code that will
    physically shuffle those cards per the user’s definition (any casino shuffle definition). Two default shuffles
    come with the software. You can define and save as many shuffles as you wish and play against any of them.
    As long as the program has been on the market no one has been able to duplicate this process, it took me over
    A year to develop the code.

    To help you understand a little more about how the system works I’ve copied a section from the onboard help system.
    I hope this helps you understand how it works.

    Part 2

    Understanding the playing deck

    There is a file on your hard disk that contains all of the numbers of the cards. There are eight files, 1 has 52 cards another has 104 (for 2 decks) another has 3 decks etc. up to 8 decks.

    When you start a new game the program opens one of these files and reads the contents into memory. For as long as you play the current session, they are kept in memory. When they are shuffled, they are shuffled in memory. The cards in the file on your hard disk are still in their original order. This is important to understand. This is how you use this feature. .

    For example: you set your players to play a certain logic and after viewing the Analysis screen you want to tweak it up a little and play again using the same sequence of cards to test your modifications. Or maybe you want to use the same deck of cards at a different casino to see what effect the shuffle has on the outcome..

    This is where the Scramble feature comes in. Maybe you don't want to continue where you left off. By selecting to Scramble the deck, the program will do a wash on the cards after they are read into memory and start you off with a completely fresh sequence..

    This is helpful when you modify your player logic and test it against the exact same sequence to see if it produced a greater profit. And it did. So, do it again but, Scramble the cards to see if it produces a profit against a different sequence of cards. Scrambling the cards does not affect the cards stored on the disk, just the cards in memory.

    Cheers Patrik
     
  18. Jimske

    Jimske Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    check your mail
     
  19. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Blank Sheet

    Now, this is how I solve things and some will understand and others will have questions.
    When I use the words Edge-Sorting - I have a reason - not empty words and claims ...

    Now you have a new shoe and no results - a blank sheet - and with only two bets you can catch two out of three possibilities.
    This is not true with all combinations playing two sequences out of three using Sputnik's March or with any other known public method.

    There are two ways to catch strikes or two sequences that will have strikes within them.

    Singles and series of three and higher.
    Series of two and series of three and higher.

    Estimation Part 1

    Let's say you have one result, Player and we want to catch either series of two or series of three and higher versus singles.
    The reason is there are two options to cover with one single bet, either series of two or series of three and higher.
    If we get a single and lose our first bet.
    Then we only have to wait until we get the first series of two and bet once more that it will become a series of three or higher.

    (( Also an option to catch singles in this situation, but increase attempts on an event that is not based upon catching series and strikes ))

    Two bets and we catch both series of two and series of three and higher with singles and series of three or higher.
    Simple, Yes, but find the solution was not that easy as it might sound.

    Only tested with Riding the Strikes and not Scalping.

    Estimation Part 2

    Now try to do the same with singles and series of three and higher with singles and series of two.
    It is not possible without a trigger before placing two bets to catch both sequences.

    That is one of many other reasons some ways are superior to others.
    The question is more about what kind of style or gambling personality someone has when it comes to exploring bias shoes.

    Either you want an entering point (trend/sequence) some kind of IN-PLAY Stats to base your estimation upon.
    Here singles can be the dominant event among series as break-even events using triggers.
    If not, someone might prefer strikes (Scalping or Ride Strikes) capitalizing on small, medium and large series.

    Development Notes

    I look at Edge-Sorting using a series of two - by themself - among other solutions.
    Won 9 of 10 Shoes using estimation part 1 - but are not wiser and still explore different ways to tackle things.

    Cheers
     
    Last edited: Mar 30, 2020
  20. Sputnik

    Sputnik Well-Known Member Founding Member

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    Flat Betting Results - Estimation Part 1

    Now I was not happy winning 9 of 10 shoes - flat betting - because the losing session dives deep into hell ...
    Then I come up with the idea that when we are +2 units ahead we can press and push for more.
    And when we are -2 units - I first consider break-even - but then I thought why not just accept small loses.
    The reason is that the strikes will overcome them with profits.

    So my additional rule is - if we are at -2 units we aim to end at -1 unit.
    Are we -4 units we aim to end at -2 units and so on.

    This show to be a winning concept and make me think about John Patrick.
    He always says keep loses short and quit when ahead.

    Now if I push and press being +1 or -1 unit I continue until +2 or -2 units.
    If I reach +2 units I can quite or push and press for more until reaching +0 and quit or continue until -1 and accept losses if reaching -2 units or more.

    Results: 10 Shoes Flat Betting

    Shoe 1 = +1 Units
    Shoe 2 = -1 Units
    Shoe 3 = +5 Units
    Shoe 4 = -1 Units
    Shoe 5 = -1 Units
    Shoe 6 = +16 Units
    Shoe 7 = +7 Units
    Shoe 8 = +6 Units
    Shoe 9 = +0 Units
    Shoe 10 = -2 Units

    Summary:

    Won +37 Units
    Loss -5 Units

     
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