Baccarat Sputnik's Notes on Baccarat

Anyone is free to have opinions and here comes some more, Beat'The'Casino is a SCAM where you pay 50$ a month for old junk methods.
And not to mention the silly videos with players (ten years experience) talk about how to tackle shoes and winning flat betting.
Those videos are a joke and teach you nothing and make no one win playing Baccarat.
That is 600$ a year for nothing.

I assume Roubacc forget referring to that part of the coin flip.
And I share my ideas and experience and how I tackle the game.
I don't brag or claim to make a living playing Baccarat or using a big bankroll.

I don't know who Roubacc is and can not put him into a category.
But I assume he is another one who claims and argues that you can win flat betting and make a living on Baccarat without showing how, why and where and when to make those placed bets based upon IN-PLAY stats.
And we all know that is pure nonsense.

ND thanks for your concern.

Cheers

 

Disclaimer

I regard my way tackle baccarat superior then Beat'The'Casinos NOR-Method & S40-Method among many other known public methods.
Now I don't claim or argue that you will win or start playing baccarat for a living.

The reason I post and write how I tackle baccarat is that I have never seen any publicly known method that performs better than the principals based upon Spunik's March Concept.
And that is based upon my opinion, experience.

You are the gambling judge and are more than welcome to show any public method that holds a better concept.
The reason and value behind my argument are that punters never show where, when and why they make there placed bets.
That also describes the decision making and reason to make a bet in one particular situation based upon in-play stats.

This is not serving anything on a silver plate, this is hardcore facts about how to tackle the flip of a coin in the best way.

And I save most of my samples and can replay them step by step and introduce and show where and when and why the bets where made.
That is the visual part, the written part is already within this topic.

Here you can see where and when you hit several shoes where two sequences strike several times in a row.
It can be any of the three sequences in any combination.
The Triplets (no bias) create a small drawdown and each RIDE end with the third sequences showing wish results in two losses.

Did not continue riding the sequences, just want to show the ENTERING POINT where the majority (as stated before) catch a dominance where two sequences continue to strike more often than hitting once each with no present bias.
One Entering Point was with no present bias with the example below.

Flat betting ...
Next time someone claims there is a 50/50 chance to jump on board a trend/sequence/pattern you can regard that as nonsense.

Sputnik The Gambler 2020-04-05

 

Sputnik, I never said Beatthecasino.com was a place to learn anything. On the contrary.
You have fallen into the same category as 99% of the players, meaning because YOU yourself cannot win by flatbetting only, you assume no one else can. It is not in my best interest to teach you or anyone anything about how to win. I’m just saying, don’t knock it because there are already 3 players that I know that have already made over 2 million, and all 3 are flat bettors. I will mention one, Norm Allen, because he’s dead. The other 2 would like to remain annonymous.
All these graphs and math computations you present on here have absolutely nothing to do with how to win flatbetting.

 

This single statement that you made simply demonstrates your true knowledge of Baccarat. Martingale and Flat betting or any other progressions are the same because they are dealing with the same ODDS. The difference is the probability of winning a bet between them. Flat betting has a 50% of winning and the win is regarded as a TRUE win. Martingale has a high probability of winning BUT the win is regarded as a fractional win because the whole Bankroll is at risk. It's a choice no matter which one you used. Remember ODDS and PROBABILITY are 2 separate things.
What you are preaching so far is EXACTLY what most Baccarat players are doing i.e follow the shoe. How are they doing so far? To be fair, everything works when it is working. If we armed ourselves with an arsenal of approaches and do a lot of charting to deduce which approach is best at that moment and go in to Hit & Run would be the ideal thing to do. Be able to do this successfully is SKILL and it can be acquired. Not with some 'SITTING DUCK" and 'MONEY PRINTING"( win as much as possible ) strategy.

 

The title reads " Sputnik`s notes on Baccarat " . No word on winning methods.


Bog winners are fabrications.

 

correction: Big winners are a fabrication.

 

I have never seen anyone show a working example using Regression Up & Pull - that I regard superior to any other existing staking plan - included flat betting.
Some members probably misunderstand some intentions and charts that have been posted.

The latest example above tries to show the importance of Entering Point - do we risk two, three or even four attempts to catch a trend/sequence/pattern/wave - that is the question
Here is another one - we all know there will be loses and the question is how to overcome them

My March allow you to bet twice to either ride and strike or skip and move on
And you either let the strikes overcome the loses or you reduce loses or use both

This is a short sample and I am convinced (based upon experience) that anyone can win 8 to 9 out 10 shoes.
And I never listen to punters who believe there only is one way to win when tackling a coin flip.

Regression Up & Pull

Won +31
Loss -6

+1
+18
+2
+2
-2
-4
+1
+4
+2
+1

Even if we remove the +18 unit strike we have +13 versus -6
And I just bet that the dominance would continue (the bias) ...

Cheers

 

I have made a new discovery and I call it 4D that stands for 4 Dimension upon Sputnik's March.

Update topic soon.

Cheers

 

As I suspected - I CRACK THE SHOE - now everyone can use 4D with small amount of attempts to ride several sequences with very high strike ratio.
Personally I am exploring Brett Morton (Fund Managements Targets) and Parlay.

Happy Hunting or should i say sniping the signature of the shoe is like a open book - just jump in and out

1, 2 = singles & series of two
1, 3+ = singles & series of three or higher
2, 3+ = series of two and series of three or higher
123+ = triplets

Summary 4D = 4 dimention's

The short sample so you know what can happen, either they alternate (very rare) or they strike (very common & the majority of the time).

Sample 1:

12
23
13+
123+

Sample 2:

12
13
123+
12
13+
12
13+
123+
12
13+
123+
12
123+
12
123+
123+
23+

Either you get it or not.

Cheers Patrik

 

4D
So easy to win and flat betting when you are on a trend (bias).

This sample:

12
13+
123+
13+
12
13+
12
13+
12
13+
12
13+
12
23+

I challenge anyone to show anything better in a public forum where you explain why, where and when to place bets.
Flat betting.

Cheers Patrik

 

Anyone can flat-betting, my opinion

Attach two files so you can backtrack and understand howto bet three sequences and avoid the sleeping one.
I enter after the second sequence and if it loses then you are down -2 units and now you will have the winning sequences in front of you because three out of four has a hit (show) and you know wish one to avoid wish determine how to bet into the future to win.
It does not matter what combination of sequences you get, they cancel each other out and force you to place your bets in one way only to avoid the sleeping or missing sequence, simple as that.

See attach files "Bias 1" & "Bias 2" (txt)
You can see each placed bets and each outcome step by step.

Happy Hunting
This is superior NOR and S40 and maybe 5D ...

 

One detail and clarification about the dominant event during the bias.

Above you can see over ten sequences including singles in each one, that is the dominant event within all three bias sequences.
But it can also be a series that is part of each and every hitting sequence, for example, 13+ & 23+ & 123+
Mention this because some might want to develop this further with the deeper understanding behind each hitting sequence and how to explore each event in groups or by themself.

Now I am currently studying a sports trading strategy for soccer and considering using that particular method as my main core method.
Hope that there will be some soccer after summer and things get back to normal.

For me, sports comes first and casino games second, just so you know.

Cheers Patrik

 

The txt files above are hard to follow as there are no colours, fix that with these PDF files, now you can see Red/Black and each placed bet.
So now you can see where I enter and when the swings go up.

See attached PDF files "Bias 1" & "Bias 2"

Cheers

 

Thanks. That's a little better!

 

I can explain and show a winning system and that is one that accepts loses during the journey towards more winning sessions overall.
No Red Ferrari or Holy Grail - just a decent method that controls your educated guess based upon in-play stats of the shoes resent signature.

I now made 10 quick sessions, both mechanical and some hint guessing.
But you can get the same results just playing mechanically.

-6
+2
+6
-1,5
+2
+5
+2
-7
+6,5
+4

10 Session Parlay
Brett Morton Fund Management Targets

+28,5
-14,5

Summary +14 Units

Cheers

 

Here are some more stats - after 100 sessions using positive progression (Parlay) I win 8 to 9 out of 10 overall.
For me is a moneymaker, but I don't play baccarat full time, I only play for fun occasionally.
But sure is more fun playing for fun with a winning method then a losing method.

This statement is based on my experience and opinion.

Some notes about Brett Morton.
I don't know how he makes hes decision making based upon hes selections.
But I can confirm and fully understand that he can win two out of three sessions and stay ahead using hes Fund Management Targets approach.
I can do the same with higher and better strike ratio.

Cheers Patrik

 

Craps made some statement above to the effect of that it doesn't matter whether you flat bet or vary your bet the odds will remain the same. Yes, the house edge will remain the same but both empirically and statistically I have observed that my chances of winning have increased by varying the bet.

First off empirically - we are not talking about a few weekends of Baccarat play. My Baccarat play goes back over two decades. So, that I have won consistently since that time speaks for something more than just "everything works until it doesn't."

Secondly - statistically. Anyone who doesn't believe that there are certain shoes or hands where betting more is called for, should not play Baccarat. Even if one does not believe this, variance will vary the odds sufficiently at certain times such that varying the bet will change the outcome even if one assumes that it is not possible to know when to bet more - in other words, even just plain dumb luck is of no use if you don't take advantage of it.

Flat betting ensures a loss. Varying the bet doesn't guarantee a win, but at least allows for a win.

 

Hi Sputnik, thank you very much for your work.

This is my personal opinion:
1. Beginner players use negative progression
2. Intermediate players use flat betting
3. Advance players use positive progression

I am currently at the beginner level, using trailing stop of 4 consecutive losses.
I am seeking to improve my BS and MM with advice from advance players.

Unfortunately, I do not understand Sputnik's March.
Hope to hear from you soon.

Be safe.

 

IMO this is a rather simplistic view. One should have all three tools in their toolbox have the ability to use all three in the same shoe or session if need be.

 

Good post, well said .
Cheers