Baccarat Sputnik's Notes on Baccarat

If you read the whole topic you will understand this message, if not, you don't have what it takes ...
My opinion ...

More selections using Sputnik's March Concept ...

Holloway talks about charting results in cycles and makes great discoveries.
But not revealing any secrets or winning ways opposite to what you find in this topic.

You can see 4D or four signatures having 25% likelihood each and bet against for one to repeat.
But if you bet against one EVENT it will cost you two loses LL and its too expensive and will not give you a positive return long term.

You have to think of attacking sequences as cycles and algorithms that catch winnings and losing events.
Where you have 25% versus 75% in your favour.

So after each fictive win, you attack twice to break even or make a direct win.
This way you skip and avoid long losing sequences and only bet on estimations that indicate a winning strike.
The likelihood that 75% will continue to strike is larger than the opposite.

The algorithm or march using Sputnik's concept.
Betting Against.

Fictive betting - Charting ...
You see a series of two you bet (fictive) that next event will not be a series of two (two attempts)
You see a series of three or higher you bet (fictive) that the next event will not be a series of three or higher (two attempts)
You see two singles B P you bet (fictive) that the next two events (swings) will not be singles (two attempts)

That is the tracking and charting part of the Sputnik's March (betting against) algorithm.
300 TRNG from today's file from random org

WLWLL
WLWWLL
LL
LL
WLWWWLL
LWLL
WWLWWWLL
LWWLL
LL
WWLWWLWWLWLL
WWLWWWLL
LL
LWWWWLL
LWLWWWLL
WWLWWWLWLL
LL
WWWWWLL
WWWWWWLWLWLL
LL
WWWLL
LWLWWWWWWWLL
WWLL

The following is actual bets made after fictive tracking and charting above:

LW
LW
LW
LL
W
W
W
W
W
LW
W
W
W
W
LW
W

Flat betting +10 units versus -2 units = +8 units

5 break even
10 wins
1 loss

Would nicely work winning two bets using FIBO variants besides flat betting.

Cheers

 

It is not always we get a walk in the park, so here is yesterday's TRNG file from random org ...

Tracking and charting sequences:

LWLWWWWWLL
LWLL
LWWLWWWWWWWWWLL
LWLWLWWWLL
LWWWLWWLWLWWLWLWWWWLL
WLWWWWLL
WLWLL
LWWLWWWLL
WLL
WLWWWWLWLWWLL
WLL
LL
WWWWLWWWLWWWWWWLWWWWWLWWWWWWWLWWWLL
LWLL
WWLWLWLL
WWLWLWLW

FINALS:

W
LL
W
LW
W
LW
LW
W
LL
W
LL
W
LL
W
W

+8 wins -8 loses = +0 flat betting

8 wins
3 break even
4 loss

Cheers

 

Visual dexterity matters:

LwLwwwwwLL
LwLL
LwwLwwwwwwwwwLL
LwLwLwwwLL
LwwwLwwLwLwwLwLwwwwLL
wLwwwwLL
wLwLL
LwwLwwwLL
wLL
wLwwwwLwLwwLL
wLL
LL
wwwwLwwwLwwwwwwLwwwwwLwwwwwwwLwwwLL
LwLL
wwLwLwLL
wwLwLwLw

 

I mix two different concepts, the first one I wanted to show later is using 25% versus 75% and has nothing to do with the example above.
The current example above is 33 versus 66%

Typo and error during writing moment, I apologies.
And thanks for the advice Gizmo ...

Cheers

 

Hi Sputnik,

BeatTheCasino has a approach named 5D.
Humans have 3D mind. We don't have the capacity to fully grasp 4D, let alone 5D.
So I think that approach has the wrong name.

What are your thoughts?

 

Zhang Wei - I don't care about the sequences at the moment and the sample of winning two in a row matches the punter in Barstow's book making a living based upon that way to tackle roulette and baccarat.
I assume Barstow no mention the selection process and only talk about the staking plan.

I just wait for the real casino open up after this Corona period and will literally be taking money from them on a regular basis.
At the moment I only use my funds for sports betting but will as time pass build up a decent bankroll for roulette and baccarat.

I don't worry so much mention it in public, some of the 4K viewers will realize the value within the selection process similar towards Markow Chains.
So look back in the topic and solve the staking issue, the selection process i solid.

Cheers

 

You should pay attention to the video TG post about basic probability.
Measuring frequencies from Plutonium can be done in the same way with random bits.
I have no time to teach basics, do you have the mental skill for gambling you will grasp the following.

First, I measuring the length of the strikes with each sequence.
For example two singles and one series of two before a series of three or higher show.
Or the other way around.

There can be zero singles between a series of two and a series of three or higher.
Same the other way around.
Or you can have several singles between the two events.

This is not statistically significant values and I just made a short sample to show you the estimation and likelihood of what to expect playing two in a row.

The median value becomes the trigger.

0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
1111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111(1)11
2222222222222222222222222222222222
333333333333333333333333333333333
4444444
5555555
66666
7777
88
10,
13,
15,
24,

74 versus 22
With other words 74 frequencies favouring and 22 sequences against
The optimal gap is 2 but the short sample indicate (1) at the very end and I adjust to two rather than one.

The value is within the striking frequencies and the staking plans that make this a long term strategy.
My opinion.

Profit level:

First level
Second level
Third level

First Recovery:

First level
Second level
Third level

Second Recovery:

First level
Second level
Third level

Embrace the TRNG from Random org see attach files

 

Share some notes ...

I will start to play around with frequencies where you can start after one new series and minimum 3+ singles.
Notice that the next frequencies come in a periodic manner.
So a series and 3+ singles or higher will have a different periodic level where none or one or two and we will have two wins in a row.

I compare this with the strength and behaviour with two dozen on a roulette wheel.
Sputnik's March is 1 in 3 odds plus and minus some variance and fluctuation.
The raw odds or estimation or likelihood is around the 33% figure for each event.

So two dozen that strike several times in a row with one sleeping event is the common distribution.
They come as frequencies where the most common behaviour is that two out of three dominate.
There is no difference with Sputnik's March and even money bet.

But the advantage is that one event among the two against us to win two in a row make each win a TIE.
So we have one sleeping event that creates two wins in a row and one event that create a TIE and one event that create a loss.
That is the magic 3 Factor Formula behind Sputnik's March when you aim to win two in a row.

Getting different frequencies to achieve the same amount of one event (33%) to hit at same previous frequencies or higher is possible but more uncommon than common thing to happen.
Is just that cycles and periodic events are not the same things as chasing patterns and trends, my opinion.

I play around with the following staking plan ...

Level 1

1 +2
1 +1
1 +0
2 +1
2 -1
4 +1 +11 units

4 +8
4 +4
4 +0
8 +4
8 -4
16 +4 +44 units

Level 2 Recovery phase

2 +4
2 +2
2 +0
4 +2
4 -2
8 +2 +22 units

8 +16
8 +8
8 +0
16 +8
16 -8
32 +8 +88 units


Level 3 Recovery phase

6
6
6
12
12
24

24
24
24
48
48
96

I use them in chunks of three so one level is four-session attacks ...
Depending on what kind of gaps frequencis you aim at.

 

Now I have not made up my mind yet.
One way is to use the classical and bet after seven with five-step against 3.0 STDV
For example

1
1
2
2
4

and

4
8
8
16
16

I a slow phase targeting and I assume a pretty safe bet because it should be very rare to stumble on two 3.0 STDV after each other.
No matter Hit & Run or continues play.
Sure it happens.
But with four more staking levels for recovery is should hold up during one-lifetime playing, my opinion.

One other is to divide into three and use one trigger that makes you lose against a chunk of four passing your benchmark.

I will update this next week with a spreadsheet so you can see the win-loss ratio.

Cheers

 

Now I will not code this because all system fails long term without human judgment and skills to tackle different situations.
One famous football trader don't care about Return On Investment Spreadsheets to prove what kind of EDGE he has.
Is the current and overall feeling about each way to tackle different situations and targets that will show your truly EDGE after pressure and relax situations as time pass by as gambler.
No matter what trading method he uses at the current match.
He suggests ten or more strategies that can tackle different situations better than other methods, like a portfolio to tackle different scenarios.

So this is one strategy out of several and I assume - my opinion - a 30.000 Euro target on a yearly basis can be done.
I base this upon that Ching A Ling method where he reaches that amount even if he busts once and gave a great chunk of money back to the casino.
Make your research and google and learn, tweak, develop and move forward.
I will just hint and not serve on a silver plate.

This might be one of my Core Methods or money makers on a daily basis.
I know variance and fluctuation will catch up and I know there will be losing days and recovery days with no daily income at the casino.
And I know that once or twice will be a total bust.
Opposite to that, I will have a year of income intact overall if I stick to the consistency and let the random bits universe tackle my approach.
It has been done using Ching A Ling and I assume and can feel that my staking solutions and selection process is better, my opinion.

Six levels and not four.
Several days of winning amounts without being in recovery territory every second day.

+5 units 83 spins 2 hours
+4 units 55 spins 1 hour
+4 units 113 spins 2 hours
+4 units 50 spins 1 hour
+4 units 107 spins 2 hours
+4 units 33 spins 1 hour

If the 40/50 Euro amount for one or two hours on good days come true for several days.
Then I will be more than happy to Digg my way back after some lose and not be bothered with recovery days to get back into the money-making territory.

Disclaimer

I don't take any responsibility for how you tackle this information above and in this topic.
You are by your self and responsible for your own actions.

Cheers

 

Here is some notes and how you can get the feeling, the skill, the awareness.

Pick Black or Red.
Pick Banker or Player.

Then just bet on a continues basis to get the feel for the count system and how you recover from chunks of imbalance.
I just have to say this is not working using two outcomes simultaneously, it should but I don't achieve the same positive results.
There is a more direct and easy to view when one side goes HOT CRAZY and you embrace the recovery modes.

I was once at 15 and drop back to 7 units, made a note and start using the second recovery level.
Then I reach 14/15 and stop and get back to level one.
Once more from 12 drops to 4,5 and I apply second recovery mode and reach 12,5 and back to level one.

Is not how you play with real money - this is just you to get experience and the skills and have your mental strength.
So pick any simulation software 1:1 odds and pick one side and play continuously.

There will be one point where you reach 6+ and 6+ and 6+
3.57 STDV

Now estimate how many times you will end and stop at +4 units before you see the day and experience 3.57 STDV

RRRRRR B RRRRRR B RRRRRR

Each level of the progression has 1.5% to fail
And 98,5% chance to succeed.
In chunks of six

Four levels have 4.04 STDV (my core method)
And for times with 1.5% each for each level to fail.
And 98.5% chance to succeed in chunks of six.

RRRRRR B RRRRRR B RRRRRR B RRRRRR

When test series versus singles I can not get around the fact that is not striking as well using one side and not both.
In theory, it should be the same.
Just want you to be aware.

Cheers

 

I going to say something and I feel danger and to show parts in public.
Is there a way to send or only private invite people to see YouTube videos on my channel.

I would like to show Asum, Mako, Shaft among others.

Suggestions.
Here is a hint, how many times do you experience a whole shoe with only series and the following shoes with the only series with no singles present.

Cheers

 

I fully agree that all systems fail long term if you code.

Can you code human judgment and skills to tackle different situations? If the answer is no, no system can overcome house advantage. Unicorns are not real, but house advantage is.

 

Yes, I agree and understand ...
How long will it take for the hose edge 1.35 La Partage Rule to eat up and make 30.000 Euro vanish?
All methods bust, but some recover and don't give all the candy back.

Is the same old story and argument with ten punters.
Some will have success and others will bust and give it all back.

This conversation is a waste of my time.
Real punters and real experience is something I value and has nothing to do with Unicorn.

Will not argue against you because there is nothing to gain or learn.
You know what I will say and I know what you will say.
Is like going around and around in circles.

Have a great day,,, Cheers

 

Add some Notes what I consider clever gambling and why is everything else than a Unicorn.
I have mentioned this so many time and do it again.
83% of all session that starts out with a negative result will have at least one REVERSAL.
It's significant statistical proven with 60.000 placed bets with 1.7% House Edge.

You know you are -1 or -2 units left to achieve break-even in the second recovery level.
And you have been betting up and downs and never reach your target.
Now you get in deeper into the negative territory and you might end up with a third recovery level and have to fight more than one day to get back to even money and start over.

Now you have probably had multiplies situations where you were at +0 units during that session.
And several times at +1 +2 +3 units, but you never reach +4 units.

This would never be a place in my life at the table.
If I get a bad start and get even money I know the DING DONG BELL and the 83% Likelihood.
I take that and start from scratch.
Is a mental gambling healthy thing to do.

I don't know how the win ratio is and I am experimenting.
But I like the idea to take a TIE and look for new opportunities if it was not meant to happen.
Digging and get back to zero using recovery levels is hard for mental health.

Here is a secret I will share.
Assume I play singles versus series.

Then Singles has the value of 1 or 50%
And Series of three has the value of 1 50%
Between them, you have a series of two with value 0

Now if I W or LW I start over.
So chunks of series create winning strikes.

Now look at this:
If you get for example three singles B R B and get RR then the expectation is to get three or more in a row RRR or beyond.
Then you win two in a row.
So every bet after two loses that win you reduce and move one step back into progression ladder.

For example 1 1 2 3 now you move down to 2 after 3 won.
If you get a win you end and start from scratch.

But assume you did not get RRR or beyond.
You still win if you get another series no matter length.
And you still get six singles with one series of two if you lose the whole progression (first level).

That is pretty amazing gambling stuff.
I created a loop whole into the selection combine the best-known probability and equilibrium solutions into a solid selection.
Thanks to Marigny De Grilleau.

Code:

B
P L 1 -1
B L 1 -2
P L 2 -4
P W 3 -1
B L 2 -3
P L 3 -6
P W 5 -1
B

- - -

B
P L 1 -1
B L 1 -2
P L 2 -4
P W 3 -1
P W 2 +1

Progression Level 1

1 1 2 3 5 8

Now you have to grasp that any two events among six have a much higher likelihood than depending on strikes by themself.
With my selection, you get both.

- - -

READ & GRASP THIS

Singles make the STDV grow stronger.
Singles and series of two make the STDV grow stronger.

EXPECTATION

Several series of two and series of three and higher.

Cheers

 

Update ...

I test around 50 sessions (by hand)

And I had a couple of second recovery levels and made many profits at first level.
But the selection is not working as expected.

Reach both Third and Fourth level once during the 50 sessions.
I have to get back to read the Ching A Ling method and see if I tackle the STDV in the wrong way.

There are two different ways.

One is to stay at the table and solve the session and then the random bits can get ahead with 4.04 STDV.
Get in front of the series so a 200/300 sample can end with 24 singles ahead of the amount of series.
That is hard to crack as they slowly increase and you slowly get deeper and deeper into the whole of random bits universe.

Will test Hit & Run with my lottery theory.
Assume I get to the casino at different times and different tables and start over for each session.
Then is like the lottery to win six in a row each time that happens with 1,5% probability.
And win the lottery four times in a row at the different tables and days and time with 1.5% probability is like getting the jackpot.

I know that sections or chunks of random bits sequences using Hit & Run to create the same whole universe as standing at the same table with no break.
Both will create and make me stand in front of the same distribution.
But there is something that I like to add against this argument.
(((PART CORRECTED))) that means that if you have two even teams playing a football match you will have one part of the public to bet the winning team and the other part will be betting the losing team.
Everyone will not fail or guess wrong and there will always be some that are part corrected.

I feel that if I have a 1.5% likelihood to be wrong and 98,5% likelihood to win some I will the majority of the time be partly corrected.
Even if I sometimes will hit one or two and maybe three 1.5% random bit sequences.

Cheers

 

Now I will only post (online sessions) using Betfair Live Casino.
Is testing with money so I keep low stake.

The reason is that (play real and with real money change the game opposite to paper testing for obvious reasons)
Will show some results.

Now things you can not do with coding and human skills and adjustment on feelings and mood.
Start the day with a +2 unit target and not +3/4 units, make a more simple session and get some more easy wins.
Expose less towards the random bits.
This gives strength and confidence to tackle the recovery phase when it comes, not if it comes.
Mental strength and mood is good.
And that is important if you are going to spend a half-day in front of a computer screen or on the floor in a real casino.

Versus the bad mood after targeting +3/4 units and after the first or second session get into the recovery phase.
In a strange or bad mood and feeling and start to tackle recovery in the beginning.
Not good for confidence and mental strength.

Now wish option would you choose.
I would pick the first one all days during the week.
Even if you can get a bad start, but then you did everything in your power to get the best out of the possibilities.

Computer code that gambling skills into a computer.
Human pressure.

Now I will make this morning session, middle day sessions and evening sessions.
And have the freedom to skip any but make at least one each day.

Will update the results and compare them with my paper testing.

Day 1

+3,5
+3,5
+3
+3
-0,5
+2,5

- - -

-12 loss first level, next recovery levels

- - -

+3
+3
+3
+4

Use Hit & Run for Second Recovery Level - Should target +4/6 units but took smaller wins - correct mistake next time.

Day 2

+2,5
+2,5
+3,5

- - -

-12,5 loss first level, next recovery levels

+5
+5
-2,5 Accept small loss, Second Recovery Level Hit & Run targeting +4/6 units

- - -

+2
+2,5
+2
+3
+3
+3

END

 

I start to play against frequencies and periodic cycles, live and online, Betfair.
Notice that they don't disconnect and ask if you want to stay online after one hour.
That makes things much easier and make me relax and being in my comfort zone.

With LeoVegas I got disconnector because of inactivity.
And feel the pressure to click on different options or place bets.
Not good, maybe I am wrong and will test again as they never argue when you want to withdraw winnings.

Start small and will end my day with one late evening session or start fresh tomorrow.

Today's sessions:

Morning Session one 16/7-20 KL 8:28
+2,5 Units

First half-day session two 16/7-20 KL 10:35
+3,5 Units

second day time before evening session three 16/7-20 KL 17:39
+3.5 Units

Total 9,5 Units

Hit & Run
Jump from table to table that shows me the frequency trigger.
Don't play continuously.

Never end up with Recovery Level but I know that sooner or later I have to be ready to fight.
Will see if I can achieve 100 units and then slightly increase the unit value/size.
I learn from sports trading that is easy to make mistakes before learning and feeling comfortable with a particular method.

I am not trying to prove anything, the only thing that matters for me is to copy the Ching A Ling method and make the same results.
Making 100 Euro a week is a decent amount and would make me happy and satisfied.
That would be a nice Core Method to add to the gambling Portfolio.

 

Update:

It is not easy to win money so I made an easy win +2,5 units this morning, just to accept a small win and get into a good mood.
Yes, I play low stakes because I am still testing.

Now I will show my poker hand and it has worthless cards.
I just wanted to get started so I bet against frequencies or periodic cycles of three.
We have three events same as dozen on a roulette wheel.
To make this clear you can imagine two dozen to strike four times with one a third dozen to show and repeat that periodicity three times after each other.
Yes is working but have some close ones and I feel not secure and stable with the selection.

I know another selection that uses six versus six and you can win 300 up to 1000 placed bets without busting.
And it also uses the periodic cycles frequencies, in the same manner, I describe above.
The twist is that it aims to the recent and present dozen/event to repeat once more within six attempts/cyle.
And if you bust the first periodicity you have a second show with another six.
This creates two frequencies with two periodicity cycles with five with no repeat.
That is the same as having two cycles with five with a no-repeat present.
I will test this one and should be the same for a sleeping event in a reverse way.

Cheers

 

One more note ...

This can be a pretty interesting Algorithm.
One Tie and One Loss and One Win

Process: Random Walk

Option One

If a series of three or higher to repeat.
No repeat = five singles with unknown amounts of series of two/TIEs
Wait for a series of three or higher and repeat process.

If a series of two to repeat.
No repeat = five singles with unknown amounts of series of three or higher/TIEs
Wait for a series of two and repeat process.

Have not tested this.
This make the random walk against two sequences with five singles/loss and unknown amounts of TIEs.

Chunks of three give three frequencies of periodicity.
The first level amounts to nine with a total three levels.
Or six levels using the Ching A Ling but then only two attacks for each level.

Here are the options, not tested.

Staking Ching A Ling
Up to one on a loss and down one on a win, target two in a row.
This can also be split into three and three cycles attacks.

1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5

Total 13,5 target +2/3 units each attack.

Recovery second level

2
3
4
5
6
7

+27 and +4/6 units each attack

- - -

4
6
8
10
12
14

+54 and +8/12 units each attack

- - -

8
12
16
20
24
28

+108 and +16/24 units each attack

Carch progression (Star varaint)
Split to 3 each attack or 5 each attack.

Base level:

1
1
2
2
4
4
8
8
16
16

Recovery 1

2
2
4
4
8
8
16
16
32
32

Recovery 2

6
6
12
12
24
24
48
48
96
96