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Baccarat Stadium play 2019 February to August

Discussion in 'Baccarat Forum' started by Punkcity, Apr 2, 2020.

  1. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover bank H+106 units

    A=11/06/2019_______H+106

    B20,C31,D29,E+18,F-11,G+6,H+112
    B18,C32,D28,E+15,F-13,G+2,H+114

    K=38 minutes

    end of day profit = +8 units
    End of day running bank H+114

    Cheers
     
  2. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover bank H+114 units

    A=12/06/2019_______H+114

    B8,C33,D10,E+7,F-3,G+4,H+118
    B62,C34,D120,E+63,F-37,G+6,H+124

    K= 70 minutes

    End of day profit = +10 units
    End of day running bank H+124

    For so many hands played in that last game I m very surprised not one 1/2 price bank win, although they are in the shoe as a lost hand.

    cheers
     
  3. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover running bank H+124 units

    A=14/06/2019_______H+124

    B16,C35,D25,E+14,F-11,G+2,H+126
    B36,C36,D43,E+22,F-21,G+1,H+127
    B47,C38,D73,E+37,F-36,G=,H+127

    K= 99 minutes

    End of day profit = +3 units
    End of day running bank H +127

    No notes so no idea, running on auto ?
    Cheers
     
  4. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    So since the 04/06 until 14/06 ,about 6 days, play we have had 3x = unit games and zero - unit games as compared to the first four days -61 units. We have also made 61 units profit since then. As you can see the -61 units was a challenge but it is by no means a crushing event, have your rules ,dont gamble ,take a break, dont lose focus, they have to keep dealing you dont have to keep playing, groundhog day groundhog day did I mention groundhog day ?
    Cheers
     
  5. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    The stadium RNG here in Sydney that I play is a half price win on banker total six, player is anything 5 and under format software. Many people don’t like
    A) RNG— they believe it’s rigged.
    B) 1/2 price payout they prefer commissions banker pay table.

    Some years ago I did in fact believe in A ) Rng is rigged .

    Two things happened to change my mind. First I needed a quick way of getting hands dealt as I was forming the basics of what I do now. The live dealer stadium initially was ok but the screen time was 30seconds but you could wait up to ten minutes for a result as the dealer has made a mistake and need the pit boss from another section to clear the mistakes and unfreeze the screen for the hand to be played out and a result given. Yes 4 different games available but still the dominoe effect came into play often. The frequency of the novice dealer making mistakes, even clearing the screen half way through a shoe was a too regular occurrence for me.

    So I gravitate to RNG at 20 seconds decision time, no mistake and dealing infinitely. It’s a $10 minimum on main floor stadium. At that stage I’m only paper betting working on my theory. After awhile (quite awhile actually ) I decided to play real money at $10 bets at a negative progression of 1 up, 1 down in $5 increments etc. and basically as the Range got higher around the $50-$80 I seem to lose more bets . So I start to blame the RNG aspect as others I know in the past had said, also others playing at the same time as me would get up leave and mention that it’s rigged etc. But I still need the time to crunch what I’m doing so I stayed with the RNG for many months. Yes I would still bet but in the flat betting mode (that I post about now ) and in a targeted form as some say waiting for triggers. I’m semi successful and having skin in the game keeps you honest imho yet I still believe at that time RNG stadium is rigged and had the opinion that it was just a baccarat type slot machine or at the very least as it seems I’m the only one playing this section( mostly) it allows you to win x but after awhile it needs to balance the books etc. In my mind this RNG was just a training experience because of the rigging aspect and I would be on the live dealer stadium when I felt I understand enough to go live with a dedicated bankroll etc.

    At that stage my usual time to go to the casino was 2pm because initially before then only 2 screen of live dealer stadium baccarat would be in operation . To get 4 screen the 2 Nd dealers start after 2pm. So I would start at 2pm on the RNG ( insert above paragraphs here ) instead of the live stadiums, I mean I get up at 9am do my lifestyle then go at a start up of 2pm etc. So I decided (after a few months) to go in early around 10:30 am start ,after the peak hour traffic across the bridge do my 4 hours and be on the beach by 3 pm and skip the midday heat of summer etc my lifestyle etc . At the usual section of RNG I play and apart from a few random players that usually bet the last of their money before leaving I’m usually the only one there, same seat at the end of the row. But today the first day I’m there at 10:30am is a Chinese lady playing 2screens at the same time a couple of screen down from my end seat. Initially I thought she was playing one screen against the other you know p v b, money back unless it’s a 1/2 price bank etc. but she’s not she’s splitting her bet and playing two players cards no problem building tier points etc. Long story short she’s there every day same as me but she started before 10 but always left before I got there at 2:30pm. On occasion I had seen her after 2pm and just thought she was a random. After a few weeks at this new time slot she starts to offer me a coffee that she gets her husband? to bring to her after she texted him , as over that time period we both realise the other is not a random and vice versa and we get to say hi , morning etc no real conversation but more a work colleagues. If I notice a random bother her I start talking to her like we are friends and the random leaves her alone, hence the occasional coffee. Rather than Tito and go to the toilet now we would just ask if the other would mind watching the machine until they got back. No problem as we are sitting semi side by side ish any way.

    On the RNG stadium when you win it makes a noise, if the casino is running a promotion of x $ =x tier points or you get x number of entries to a draw or such the higher the $ value bet the BIGGER the noise. She had some very big noises coming from her screens. This is the reason I actually changed my mind about the RNG stadium being rigged. As I’m sitting closer I can actually see her bet sizing on both screen. Remember I’m $10 flat betting now and she’s big noises betting ranging from $100 to $500 on each screen at the same time on the same outcome example banker and tie both screens and she wins , I’m on player $10 bet one screen and lose. After some days I realised through the repetition of her bets v my bets the simple value of her bets means the RNG is not rigged or it needs to balance the books as such. If we manage to bet the same side or opposite each other the bank or player won irrespective of who or what the bet value was. You make the right selections you win plain and simple at that stage she was betting huge amounts. Some days she won some she lost but come 2:30-3:00 pm she Tito says good bye etc.

    That experience was a very lasting impact on me and one I’m extremely grateful for. That lady eventually moved on to another stadium as a luck thing as they all do, either running low on cash or masking their losses from those that know them etc we on
    occasion say hi , no harm no foul it’s a casino.

    Now I am of the opinion that the RNG I play is not rigged due to the years of play and the above post. I do exercise caution when I first go to a new venue that has RNG stadium as I don’t know if theirs is rigged or not. Some small clubs here are a bit suspicious as their margins are smaller than a casinos , but in saying that I don’t really play at clubs mainly because of the security aspect of carrying to much cash in the suburbs. Etc.

    I would say do your homework/ research as per the RNG stadium you play, bigger the casino ok I guess small biker run joint I wouldn’t play.
    This post is long will continue with part B half price later.
    Cheers
     
  6. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Part B) 1/2 price banker v commish

    Im rather happy Sydney Casino is a one horse town, at the moment as Crown casino sydney is not open yet. Here they treat us with disdain ( crap comps, crap promotions crap teir point value, not a complaint just a fact ) and they have no respect for the asian patron at the moment before lockdown their biggest revenue raking cash cows. Not that it will change contary to what people say here with crown opening sometime next year. Aussie town will always be a one horse town its a fact. If you understand the facts of things you can adapt to the ever changing rules of that one horse town. The complainers and naysayers are the ones that do not adapt and need a reason to complain their failures etc etc blar blar blar insert applicable gamblers urban myth fallacy here. They the casino introduced 1/2 price mini baccarat some years ago, The marty players were running rampant and some played to various degrees of success , put the 1/2 price rule change in the game , exit the hard core marty player.Simple ..

    With the 1/2 price banker comes all the complaints we all have heard no need to spell it out here.

    The problem with commish banker payout is they deduct the %5 straight away and thats the Mathnazi argument in a nut shell very correct and no argument from me it is an - ev game, no more no less, its a fact. If you progression bet or marty bet you are always losing on a banker win and you have to win X number more than 50% to cover the commish.Fact. Flat bet one unit, Lose 2 bets you have to win 3 bets on bank to break even, the extra one bet can and does send most punters down the next losing streak if its not won. You now lost 3 bets you still need min 4 bets to profit/ draw even to cover the 20% accumulated commish you pay if you are betting bank to win 4 times. That also makes the flat bet near impossible also as many have said on this forum and they have MY hundered gizillion % agreement, The progression and marty same problem but at way much higher stakes and on a limited table dealt shoe of 80 hands maxish. What the many have said here re the flat bet are correct re commish baccarat but at the 1/2 price version they have not played due to some bias or some rant about the damage sustained on a marty on a 1/2 price win. Total agreement ,thats why I dont marty or neg progression bet on 1/2 price why continue stupid as stupid does?

    As an example, to date on this thread ,I have posted the results of over 8000 hands played . I have posted the total number of hand won and total number of hands lost .
    They are as follows
    Per post #159 page 8 this thread
    total hands = 8259
    total win =4740
    total lost =3505
    1/2 price = 50 x 1/2 price wins that I HAVE dollar costed down to zero to keep the thread away from decimal point unit wins, example + 3:2 units. I have posted various post stating that was three 1/2 price bank wins in a row (rare ) and the post of how one particular month i seemed to have only maybe 1 or 2 halfprice wins in the whole month of playing 1500 hands plus. Yes there was 1/2 price bank results but not on my wins , yes there was a month posted when i mentioned that there was a lot more 1/2 price this month compared to last month etc. For the thread so far Im at +$300 000

    The point I wish to make is that 1/2 price bank is doable , I can do it flat betting on a RNG stadium , It is harder on a online commish RNG site flat betting but doable you just have to work longer and harder plus dont play so many hands when its not necessary . Yes no one likes to lose but on the commish baccarat you feel automatically that you are losing flat betting. From experience to finish a session down a few % because of commish is not a problem as I know that I have those +4,+5, +2 +1 unit wins that cover that small % drawdown. Hone your selection criteria

    Cheers
     
    Last edited: Jun 7, 2020
  7. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover running bank H+127 units

    A=16/06/2019_______H+127

    B9,C38,D12,E+6,F-6,G=,H+127
    B3,C39,D4,E+3,F-1,G+2,H+129
    B5,C40,D6,E+4,F-2,G+2,H+131
    B12,C41,D16,E+10,F-6,G+4,H+135,
    B7,C42,D9,E+5,F-4,G+1,H+136
    B4,C43,D6,E+4,F-2,G+2,H+138
    B8,C44,D10,E+6,F-4,G+1,H+139
    B1,C45,D2,E+1,F-1,G=,H+139
    B4,C46,D3,E+2,F-1G+1,H+140
    B5,C47,D8,E+3,F-5,G-2,H+138
    B15,C48,D10,E+8,F-2,G+6,H+144

    K= 70 minutes

    End of day profit= +17 units
    End of day running bank H+144

    Went for the short game on most of the above games played, get out on first loss after the initial win etc.
    Cheers
     

  8. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover running bank H +144 units

    A=17/06/2019_______H+144

    B20,C49,D19, E+15,F-4,G+11,H+155
    B45,C50,D70,E+35,F-35,G-1,H+154

    K= 65 minutes

    End of day profit= +10 units
    End of day running bank H+154

    Nice $5k for an hour
    Cheers
     
  9. JacobBlaze

    JacobBlaze Active Member

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    "Went for the short game on most of the above games played, get out on first loss after the initial win etc."

    What a big difference from your prior 30 40 120 game sessions. is this the 1% that you adjust or just temp for this day?

    was this a typo?
    B62,C34,D120,E+63,F-37,G+6,H+124

    also on banker 6 1/2 price right? no other requirements (i couldnt find it on a second quick read but i though u posted something about 5)
     
  10. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover bank H +154 units

    A=18/06/2019_______H+154

    B9,C51,D14,E+9,F-5,G+4,H+158
    B5,C52,D12,E+10,F-2,G+7,H+165
    B5,C53,D8,E+4,F-4,G=,H+165
    B30,C54,D19,E+11,F-7,G+4,H+169,##

    ## Actually sat and tried target betting , sniping a one shot bet, with a -3 unit stop and a 30 minute time stop. Interesting exercise but I decided
    against it as a regular form of play----mainly the time involved to play just 19 actual hands , KPI people ,KPI.

    B7,C55,D13,E+8,F-5,G+2,H+171**

    **Thats better , 13 actual hand in 7 minutes for $1000 plus the half price bank win not included ($1250)

    B7,C56,D12,E+4,F-8,G-4,H+167 ^
    B30,C57,D46,E+20,F-26,G-6,H+161^^

    ^ & ^^C56 and C57 this is an example of being side tracked from normal style of play, Im still thinking about the snipping Game C54 as Im playing C56and C57, Im still thinking some angles etc, so not 100% focused. As much as I advocate the rules , procedures etc IM still human and this stands to remind me I havent had my slutty day of play and Im getting intense. Normally I would slut around any and all variations of selection criteria on the slutty day and not on the actual work day. Lucky I was aware after coming to my senses -10 units ($5000 ) in two games. Thats a big HELLO TIGER. As posted previously Im running a tight 2 day bank stoploss this remainder of the month of June that -20 units and Im down 1 day bank now (-10 units) and NO by being up 17 units then dropping 10 units dosent make it ok. The stop loss rule I set is -20 units, so even if I am , as an example, up 35 units on the day then drop 20 units, yes Im still in 15 units profit but the rule states -20 units get out. The real state of losses is actually -13 units since the 07/06/2019, you may not have noticed but I monitor this always. For the rest of the month I am only able to lose -7 units at the end of any given game(-13+-7=-20 units) This is a very strict stop loss that I dont normally impose, but being down -61 units so early in the month really requires special attention on my part. The normal stop profit loss I use is a floating one and not a collective - unit one Im using this month.

    -61 units... It was a FACT and as posted before be aware of the FACTS.. . I took a longer break than normal had a catch up and a laugh with some hosts a small meal then back at the days work.

    B50,C58,D84,E+52,F-32,G+18,H+179
    B58,C59,D89,E+50,F-39,G+10,H+189

    K= 193 minutes

    End of day profit = +35 units
    End of day running bank H+189

    Maybe some rules are to complex but for myself its needed, for you maybe you dont need them ...

    Cheers

    End of day
     
  11. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Yes good spotting it was a typo game C34 should read as follows

    B62,C34,D120,E+63,F-57,G+6,H+124
    The error was F-37 and should have been F-57.

    The difference between some of the 30,40 120 hand games as compared to the just posted post of short games is that I was noticing something in myself and my personal attitude to my selection criteria,
    {{{ I do normally stop around the +1,+2, +4 units wins as per previous months posts show. I seem to catch the extra units the +6,+8,+10 at various game lengths, example as posted above 19 hands +11 units, so no hard and fast rule but sometimes do play into the 100 hands plus or minus 20 hands for 0, +1, +6, +10 +20 , units as per posts in May. The June 3rd post gave me a -17 units from 57 hands so I cannot say for certain what each and every game played is going to let me harvest or not. I would like to as it would save a lot of time but I surly cannot claim to know what the result will be, but Iam trying to the best of my abilities with my selection criteria and rules to lessen the impact of losses incurred playing an -ev game ,as posted before minimise the loss and the profits will look after themselves }}}
    plus Im on a strict stop loss this month as per post I was writing as you posted your post. Yes its the 1% that i try to keep track of etc not always successful but awareness is key.
    I hadnt looked to refresh my page .

    The reference to 6 1/2 price and 5 total is this
    You have $100 on next bet banker to win
    Banker wins !!!!! excellent....

    But the player total was 5 and the banker total was 6
    bank wins 6 over player 5 (as the example you asked about)
    Banker total 6 win = 1/2 price pay out to you of $50 plus your original $100 bank bet.

    $100+$50 = +$150

    Player total 5 v bank total 6 = 1/2 price payout win on banker
    Player total 4 v bank total 6 = 1/2 price payout win on banker
    Player total 3 v bank total 6 = 1/2 price payout
    Player total 2 v bank total 6 = 1/2 price etc
    Player total 2 v bank total 6 = 1/2 price
    Player total 1 v bank total 6 = 1/2 price
    Player total 0 v bank total 6 = 1/2 price payout

    Player total 6 v bank total 6 = tie money back
    Player total 7 v bank total 6 = Player win full price payout
    ETC.

    Long winded reply
    Cheers
     
  12. JacobBlaze

    JacobBlaze Active Member

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    thanks and sorry for the dumb question I already knew the BANKER 6 1/2 payout but what threw me off was the 5 comment, but its obvious now 6 ties 6 and 7 wins over 6 and 5 and below loose to banker but 1/2 pay, I am very familiar with the format as normally all tables where i play (except high limit) are SUPER 6 (they call it) or Comission Free,
    i have seen other variations so when i saw the 5 comment i thought it was a new variation that i hadnt seen before, just had a brain fart.. I have also seen Super 7, same rules as Super 6 but half pay on banker 7, and another variation 7 / 2 , half pay on 7 but double pay on banker 2 win (commisiion free) ,
     
  13. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    No problem also wrote for others that may be unfamiliar as I can write crazy styles sometimes. So it’s in a understandable format for future reference etc. Good you play 1/2 price already and will see the difference once you play again as opposed to online commission bank. Cheers
     
  14. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    To continue , carryover running bank H+189 units

    A=23/06/2019_______H+189

    B53,C60,D90,E+49,F-41,G+6,H+195
    B38,C61,D59,E+36,F-23,G+10,H+205

    K = 91 minutes

    End of day profit = +16 units
    End of day running bank H+205

    Funny how the last few posts have been about 1/2 price bank wins and how I mentioned they dont often ,yet here we had heaps in two games. Variance , emmmf,
    Cheers
     

  15. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Carryover running bank H +205 units, nice.

    A= 24/06/2019_______H+205

    B10,C62,D13,E+9,F-4,G+5,H+210
    B15,C63,D12,E+6,F-6,G=,H+210
    B47,C64,D78,E+45,F-33,G+12,H+222

    K = 72 minutes

    End of day profit = + 17 units
    End of day running bank H+222

    Nice.
     
  16. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Ok that was the final days play for June 2019. It was an EPIC month for 15 days play and only 64 ish games for the month. The early drawdown of -61 units in 4 days play at only 20 games is worthy of note and should always stand as a reminder to myself and you the reader that this is an -EV game. Yes we are up 222 units at $500 per unit ( $111 000 ) not the best of returns but nothing to be angry about, after all we had dropped -74 units and still managed +222 units by the end of months play.

    This is not a dog ate my homework ....but it could have been a maybe +300 month if I had played the early 4 day games a little differently, perhaps stop at -10 units instead of playing to -17 units on the 3rd or perhaps stopping at -10,-15 units instead of -23 units on the 4th of june, maybe , could have , should have, but in the real word didnt. And thats a fact. As per previous posted some months after a huge previous month , the currant month will have a less return, maybe a hangover effect or as I have said before my balls are bigger than my brain the following month. I do still suffer from the felling of being bulletproof especially after a month like May. But less than years before etc,etc. Work in progress as nothing in life is complete until your dead then it just dosnt matter.

    With just 6 days until the end of the month of June and after the content of above paragraph plus money in the bank this punkstar took an excellent week off.

    Next post is post 300 will see if that P M is unlocked .

    The next post will also be the month of June summary, plus the month averages, then a quick recap of first 4 months play ending with the 5 month average and final account balance.

    I may also do a 1/2 price bank win talley, and a total of all minus unit days and or games. I used to have that information in each months summary years ago but stopped listing it as I felt it was just being anal. I also found that it did start to skewer my selection process by making me focus on something that I really could not control ( 1/2 price ) The minus unit is already listed as per posts and I do see them in my daily account journal but I no longer give them a individual column to themselves. Just a personal procedure to be aware but not be crippled by the information hence the being anal reference.

    Cheers
     
  17. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

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    Shall we continue with the June end of month summary ? Yes lets do that now.

    A=01/06/2019------24/06/2019 === 15 days
    B= total time played=1585 minutes/60= 26.4 hours
    C= total games played= 64
    D= total hands played=2499
    E= total WON hands=1370
    F= total LOST hands=1127
    G,H= total unit profit =222

    Note 1/2 price changes totals etc

    This the months averages

    15 days play
    Average time played per /day=26.4/15=1.8 hrs
    Average games p/d =64/15 = 4.2
    Average hands p/d = 2499/15=166
    Average hands won p/d= 1370/15=91
    Average hands lost p/d = 1127/15=75
    Average unit profit p/d =222/15= 14.8
    Average unit profit per hour =222/26.4=8.5
    Average minutes for 1 unit profit =7.05 minutes

    Once again this flat betting 1 unit , unit value is $500
    RNG stadium play on a 20 second decision.

    Total profit for June = 222 x $500 =$111 000
    ( Average $7400 per day play, not banned from the casino. )

    The 5 month summary is as follows, from post #159, page 8 this thread, is the total of the previous 4 months results. The format will be the single 4 month total entry plus the June total.

    Total 5 month summary
    Total days played = 77+15=92 days
    Total time played= 89.6+26.4=116 hours
    Total games played=300+64=364 games
    Total hands played =8259+2499=10794 hands
    Total hands WON=4740+1370=6110 hands WON
    Total hands LOST=3505+1127=4632 hands LOST
    Total unit profit =1166+222=1388 units profit

    This is the 5 month average per day

    Average time play p/d=116/92=1.26 hours p/d
    Average games p/d=364/92 = 3.95 games p/d
    Average hands p/d=10794/92 = 117 hands p/d
    Average hands WON p/d= 6110/92=66.4 won p/d
    Average hands LOST p/d=4632/92=50.3 lost p/d
    Average number of unit profit p/d =1388/92 = 15.1 units p/d
    Average units profit per hour =15.1/1.26= 11.98 units per hour

    4 Month holding profit $311600


    Holding profit ( $25000 betting bankroll inclusive) $311600
    June monthly profit $111000
    Total nett profit= $311600+$111000= $422600

    Average 5 Month unit profit value= $422600/1388 units=$304.46c per unit
    Average 5 month day profit =$422600/92=$4593.47c per day.
    Average 5 month PROFIT PER MINUTE = $422600/ 6960 minutes = $60.71c per minute

    Flat betting
    20 second stadium R N G
    1/2 PRICE BANKER WINS
    1 unit wins a GRIND

    Starting bankroll $5000 using a $100 flat bet in February to be betting $500 flat bet in June to earn $422600 plus the 1/2 price bank wins NOT included .

    Once again starting with a $10 flat bet with a $500 initial bankroll you would be betting $50 flat bet in June with a fully funded bankroll of $42 260
    earning $459.34c per day at $6.70c per minute

    The average working week in Australia is 40 hours, here we have yet to work 120 hours in 5 months for $422 600.

    Flat betting
    Cheers
     
  18. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    Occupation:
    CEO, manager of sublease my account name.inc
    Location:
    Troll tag team one accounts head , Skipptophia.
    Here is the 5 month totals for games finished with a zero total (even) and any negative unit return ( -1,-2 etc ) per game.

    February
    Total games played =84
    Zero return = 2 games
    Negative unit return=14 games
    Total - units = -43 units
    Total +units = +234 units

    March
    Total games played= 74
    Zero return= 5 games
    Negative unit return=10 games
    Total - units= -43 units
    Total +units = +335 units

    April
    Total games played= 50
    Zero return = 4 games
    Negative unit return=6 games
    Total - units = -29 units
    Total + units = +176 units

    May
    Total games played=92
    Zero return = 2 games
    Negative unit return= 6 games
    Total - unit = - 20 units
    Total + unit = +421 units

    June
    Total games played =64
    Zero return = 8 games
    Negative unit return = 9 games
    Total - units = -74 units
    Total + units = +222 units

    Yes June was an EPIC month

    Total - units = -209 units
    Average 5 month unit value = $304.46c
    Average Total - unit value lost = -209 x $304.46c=$63 632.14 cents

    June loss was $37,000 in real terms , see what I mean about To many number and it gets anal. Im really not going to bother with the 1/2 price breakdown nor the actual 5 month real turnover, the numbers are there if anyone is inclined to sort through the applicable posts.

    Cheers
     
    Last edited: Jun 8, 2020
    JacobBlaze likes this.
  19. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    Occupation:
    CEO, manager of sublease my account name.inc
    Location:
    Troll tag team one accounts head , Skipptophia.
    ok July post is next, we will stay to the same format . Its not broken so it has no need to be fixed. We will stay with $500 as the 1 unit bet, as I have mentioned before this is my preferred flat bet size and its the size that I have been using for last couple of years on the Stadium format of play. I know that this thread was started at $100 unit size and has been increased by $100 each month. The reason I didnt start the thread at a $10 unit or at the $500 unit is two fold . One--- too low a bet size and to many posts on how its a waste of time ,that you cant make money off $10 flat bets etc, was my thought and as it was just to mention that its a flat bet thread caused enough push back as it was. I try to pre empt that nonsense. Two--- $500 unit start would have caused too many other nonsense reply posts once again, unrealistic ,etc etc, I was being pre emptive again.

    Now that I have eased you all into this thread you can go and put the $500 unit value on all end of months totals , February - June.
    116 hours flat betting at $500 units over 5 months. Doable huh !! 1/2 price bank , RNG, etc banned ??? etc...

    Yes for shits and giggles you can increase the unit size to whatever tickles your pinkness, for me anything beyond $500 is just not practical as posted before re time etc etc.

    Ok our 5 month holding profit is $422 600.00, we will once again withdraw our 5 x 10 unit daily betting bankroll= 5 x 10 x$500= $25 000.00

    $422 600.00 - $25 000.00 =$397 600.00. We will lock up this holding profit of $397 600.00 and call it the 5 month holding profit.

    This holding profit is being held for a reason. I have posted about 180 plus posts on this thread and NO body has asked why do I keep mentioning the Holding profit at the end of each month summary or at the start of each new months preparation of play . Yes its important to keep a profit and loss activity sheet, but no thats not the answer. No its not about showing off . Yes one should go out and spend spend spend. Believe me I do spend , but thats not the answer either. For this thread I started out at a $5000 initial bankroll to get the ball rolling, = 5 x 10 unit day banks. Then after 1st month play remove initial $5000 bankroll and took the 2nd month betting bank from the 1st month profit etc to June etc.

    The Holding Profit is serving two purposes, firstly it reenforcing to myself and now you the spectator the fact that we are doing just fine with our selection criteria. Secondly and MOST importantly is that each months HOLDING PROFIT is a fully funded BACKUP BETTING BANKROLL. In the above example of the $397 600.00 holding bank at the $500 unit value we are using at the moment in the worst case scenario of the absolute worse BLACK SWAN event that could happen WE have just lost OUR ENTIRE JULY $25000.00 betting bank in the first 5 days play. It didnt happen but Im not a gambler , I like to be cautious and pre emptive. I have past experiences as you all do . Bankroll death is something we all share in common. If this is a past event that has happened therefore it can be a future event that can also happen, as the mathnzis will tell you and yes thats because its an - ev game. That $397 600.00 is 15 more 5 x 10 x $500 day betting banks if I should ever need it , its fully funded, it doesnt come from my personal account anymore. I have posted before about living within your means etc will not repeat the post , re read earlier post if you need to.As a side note I personally dont have the $397 600 .00 as this is for the thread example , In real life I do have a 10 x 5 x 10 x $500 ( $1/4 million ) fully funded reserve bankroll. I do spend or bank each months profit but I do always have that backup betting bankroll.

    So the worst case I lose a Full bankroll , I can take a break, come back next day next week, a bit scared and a bit bruised but I can start again with a full betting bank roll and KNOW that I have another 9 bankrolls if needed. At a starting $500 unit, talk about getting back off the canvas and punching on. . . That is pure pressure release right there. That is the difference between an imaginary bankroll and a real bankroll. The imaginary bankroll is the person that starts with $200 at $10 flat bet = 2 daily bank roll of 10 x $10 = $100 X 2 = $200 INSTEAD OF 5 BANKS. Then thinks he can gamble his /her way through, and I have shown that you can drop 17, 23 , 10 units in a game. Thats the end of your total bankroll right there. Do not be a gambler, it is an - Ev game do the best you can to ensure you have all the tools , rules ,procedures to succeed

    So we good ?

    July next post at $500 unit flat bets ,RNG , 20 second stadium play , 15 backup banks plus change. I feel good.
     
    Last edited: Jun 9, 2020
    JacobBlaze likes this.
  20. Punkcity

    Punkcity Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    Occupation:
    CEO, manager of sublease my account name.inc
    Location:
    Troll tag team one accounts head , Skipptophia.
    This is July, I had a 7 day break up in north Queensland, warm and beautiful, no casino ,just sun and relaxation. A $hundred thousand does that for you.... Nice.

    Our daily betting bankroll is 5 x 10 x $500 = $25000

    A=02/07/2019_______H+0 UNITS

    B9,C01,D17,E+11,F-6,G+5,H+5
    B35,C02,D65,E+37,F-28,G+9,H+14

    K = 44 minutes

    End of day profit = +14 units ($7k nice)
    End of day bankroll H+14

    Carryover running bank H +14 units

    A=03/07/2019_______H+14

    B30,C03,D50,E+25,F-25,G-1,H+13
    B5,C04,D6,E+4,F-2,G=2,H+15
    B15,C05,D25,E+14,F-11,G+3,H+18
    B40,C06,D68,E+43,F-25,G+16,H+34

    K= 90 minutes

    End of day profit = +20 units ( $10 k vry nice )
    End of day running bank H+34

    Carryover running bank H+34 units

    A=04/07/2019_______H+34

    B12,C07,D17,E+12,F-5,G+7,H+41
    B10,C08,D13,E+8,F-5,G+2,H+43
    B12,C09,D17,E+11,F-5,G+4,H+47
    B15,C10,D21,E+15,F-6,G+8,H+55
    B23,C11,D37,E+19,F-18G+1,H+56

    K = 72 minutes

    End of day profit = +22 units
    End of day running bank H+56


    Carryover running bank H +56 units

    A=05/07/2019_______H+56

    B16,C12,D26,E+21,F-5,G+14,H+70
    1/2 PRICE ERRRGH otherwise vry nice
    B6,C13,D9,E+5,F-4,G+1,H+71
    B18,C14,D19,E+11,F-8,G+3,H+74

    K= 40 minutes

    End of day profit = +18 units
    End of day running bank H + 74
    ($37 000 in 4 days, about 4hours)
    So what a difference a month makes, here we are after 4 days play at +74 units at 14 games verses only + 66 units at 21 games for june . The other difference is we are only down -1 unit in 1 game as opposed to -61 units over 5 games. The EPIC thing about first 4 days of june was that we did recover that - 61 units and end at +66 units profit... EPIC.. +

    As per our usual preferred way of play Iam locking up our daily betting bankroll of $25000, our holding profit is now back to $422 600. Thats now 16 fully funded backup bankrolls...We will now use our running bank H +74 units to fund our daily bankroll requirements as per usual. As you can see this appeared to be a nice momentum phase to me and I did in fact play 7 days straight.

    Cheers
     
    Last edited: Jun 9, 2020
    JacobBlaze likes this.

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