Baccarat Update!

magictrick · Jul 8, 2025 at 6:38 AM

Jimske said: ↑

@Ola ; that's right lots of ways to win the game. I profit from nearly every shoe I play believe it or not. It's not that hard. I don't always bet flat and my opinion is keeping the bet delta tight and knowing when to exit is the key to success.

I'm well versed with Stetson Bailey's book on craps. I've read it many many times over the years. He doesn't recommend Foolproof as a serious way to play. And for good reason. I've used a version of Foolproof many years ago to nine steps and after that converted to a progression for recoup. In Baccarat Foolproof requires too many wins in a row in order to recoup a bad run. But it's a very important read. I'll post the book a little later for folks.

Kelly? Sure. But understand that the recommendation is to never bet in a negative expectation situation. But anyway for most purposes it would be just as easy to pick a percentage and always wager the percentage of your bankroll.

I actually agree with your comments about flat betting Banker the way you have described it. It does require a subjective element which, by definition, is antithetical to holy grail. Even though I'm aware of and believe there is a bet selection that has a positive expectation after commission it doesn't show up enough per shoe or per hour to make it practical to play. But when it does show up I play it.

I have collected thousands of live shoes and have them in my database. And others have as well. So one could actually run a fixed selection against tens of thousands of real live hands to determine efficacy. People on this forum do this all the time.

It's a great game to study. I wish you much success with your search for the holy Grail. And as Bailey said in his book if you find something I "hope you share it with me.". LOL

Cheers

P.S. as far as RNG goes it really doesn't matter if you're playing FTS. A bias is a bias. It can happen in any kind of distribution.
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Tie betting is the most advantageous bet when playing online if according to my understanding, there are player shoes that create chop 4-5 then the banker will be completely useless like 131, 141. Follow the game history and bet safely, there are shoes in a stage of optimal betting it runs and betting against optimal betting it runs

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