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Las Vegas GF Chat Room

Discussion in 'Las Vegas Forum' started by RobSinger, May 27, 2022.

This is a Designated Unrestricted Area and is moderated more lightly and may therefore contain more offensive language. Reader beware.
  1. Mickey Crimm

    Mickey Crimm Well-Known Member

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    I love the way you exploit the trends. Others on here will tell you the cards don't have memories. But you and I know better than that. Cards have memories. That's why trends work, don't you think? That's why you are so good at professional guessing. Do you think we could meet up. I just want to watch you play. You know, to pick up some pointers.

    Oh, and my slot AP. Tell your wife to find a stand alone slot machine. Before each spin she is to run three laps around the machine, stomp the floor, say huzzuh, huzzuh three times then make the spin. It works like a champ. Just ask axelwolf.

    I have to go now. I'm on my way to buy some playing cards. I wont forget to ask for the ones with the memory.
     
  2. Lousy Gambler

    Lousy Gambler Active Member

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    Occupation:
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    Have you read Punkcity's "Stadium play 2019 February to August" thread?

    For whatever the reason, I believe everything he said on that thread. Maybe I shouldn't since his success rate is rather astronomical playing baccarat.

    If he can clear nearly 700K in only 6 months without a losing month, then I would love to clear only 10% of that in the same time period.

    Since people on this thread thinks baccarat is voodoo whatever, that's really too bad for those folks.

    Punkcity is providing something that could be very valuable in winning and yet I think he's being ignored by the majority.

    One poster was smart enough to do what he did and I believe he is having a lot of success based on what he said in his posts; although he has disappeared for over a month which makes me wonder. Who the heck knows, maybe he is winning so much money playing baccarat that he no longer has time for this forum. Either that, he ran into a brick wall and it's over but not very likely.
     
  3. KewlJ

    KewlJ Well-Known Member

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    No. It wouldn't matter...at least to me. But it would explain some things. And that is precisely why I asked if you "had money" and didn't really care all that much about winning and losing.
     
  4. KewlJ

    KewlJ Well-Known Member

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    I thank you for that Mickey. At least we are all on the same page. Well except maybe Singer. He still seems confused as to what is going on. :rolleyes:

    And as I was laying in bed, I got to thinking:

    deteriorating blackjack games like 6:5
    continuous shuffle machines
    electronic, video type blackjack replacing real blackjack
    expanding RFD chips to lower limits
    advances in technology that allow for better and faster evaluation of players possibly counting
    advances in technology that allow for better facial recognition
    employees working all the equipment better trained
    better communication and utilization of the databases
    fewer BJ tables replaced by newer games with bigger house advantages

    These things are all a threat to me and what I do. Some immediate, some down the road. But of all these threats for me, my biggest threat right now seems to be people on these forums out to harm and put an end to my career. I am not talking specifically about anyone. It seems to be a general trend of late, with people showing up at my home and doxing me, sending info to casinos, hiring people to investigate me. The whole shabang. And THAT is something for me to think about.
     
    Last edited: Aug 17, 2022
  5. Lousy Gambler

    Lousy Gambler Active Member

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    Occupation:
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    Since I have no clue what that something is that you think I'm leaving out of the story, why not just say what's on your mind?

    Then, I can tell you if it's right or wrong. Or, if it's the case or not.

    Are you not believing anything I said? If so, then point out what you don't believe or cannot believe and I will give you proof to ease your mind.

    One that I can think of is that you cannot see how I could win and not lose big staying in casinos for 2.5 years straight without using any type of advantage plays. Well, if I gave you my bank statements for 2.5 years showing that I never withdrew a penny to gamble with, then would that suffice? That's just one that I know you are thinking is impossible, i.e. no one can win without some sort of advantage in -EV games.

    My father has never gambled in his life until he retired 12 years ago. He has never been to casinos either before he retired. Because I got him free rooms at AC casinos when he retired as I never stopped gambling ever, he came to stay for at least 2 weeks at a time every month. It just happened that he picked baccarat as his main and only game.

    He has a laptop I bought him, but he uses it to read Korean news and to read emails and nothing more.

    He doesn't come to forums like this to read about what people do to play baccarat. No one taught him how to play baccarat. He never asked me since I don't know how to play baccarat either. He just figured it out on his own and he never had a losing year. On the other hand, my mom basically loses everything she brings on every trip, so my dad has to make up the losses with his winnings.

    My parents are millionaires from their business, so they aren't worried about money. But, they don't bring tons of money on each trip. Only like 2K to 3K each at the most. My dad has lost his bankrolls on several occasions as he has asked me to borrow money but only like 4 or 5 times at the most in 12 years they have been coming to AC every month. Lately, they are staying 3 weeks a month as they have nothing better to do where they live in Virginia.

    My point is, he knows nothing about AP. He does what he does playing baccarat and he is extremely disciplined and he is very good at money management. He had a very successful business so I would think he had those skills always. He plays in short spurts and if he is up a little then he quits. He doesn't play everyday nor does he play long hours unless he is down. So, he does pretty much what I do to collect what he can and whenever he can.

    But, he doesn't always win and neither do I as he did have one of the biggest disasters in a recent month where between him and my mon they lost 10K in just 2 days.

    However, he tells me that what he lost were all from the winnings of the previous trips, so he didn't lose any of his own money. So, he only gave back some of what he took from the casinos originally.

    At one point, he was so confident about his baccarat plays that he wanted to make daily trips to MGM National Harbor casino which is near where he lives.

    On their last trip, he was up almost 4K in 2 weeks before he had another bad day losing back $800. Right there, he said he was going home only after 2 weeks stay when he had rooms for 3 weeks. He said he didn't want another mistake of losing big like he did in July and he wanted to come back on another week. So, he went home last Sunday and he's coming right back after the Labor Day holiday.

    The way I see, whether it's possible or not, not everyone has to lose if they aren't using some edge plays to get advantage over the casino edge.

    Apparently, it's possible in baccarat for my dad and for others. There is no known edge you can have with baccarat like card counting for blackjack and yet I know there are pros on here winning consistently and quite big at that and probably more than what could be won playing blackjack. So, as for me, I believe it and that's all there is to it.

    By the way, my dad does not know how to play pretty much all other casino games and he hates blackjack especially because he plays with my free bets here and there and he is sick of the dealers making their hands to beat him. He knows just enough to play blackjack but doesn't know any of the blackjack strategy.

    Sorry for another long post. Hopefully, it's not terribly boring.

    Unless KewlJ responds to my questions, I think I'm done with this thread.
     
  6. MrV

    MrV Well-Known Member

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    Just kindly stop being an ass.

    It is true that I've little to offer as to how to beat a casino, and for that I've no regrets: I am not an AP.

    I already earned a pile of money when I worked; now I am retired and play for the fun of it.

    Sometimes I win (good), sometimes not (bad): I've held my own financially against the tribal casinos for the past three or so years which is a happy thing to see (I track my wins / losses and am near the same spot I was three years ago, and I play quite frequently).

    I tried BJ but prefer other games; besides, BJ players are worthy of no more kudos than are slots players.

    Besides, if you'd open your eyes you'd see the trend is away from traditional table games: they may become a historical curiosity some day.

    But that isn't the point; the point I have as much right to be here and to post here as you do.

    Of course you are free to flame me, in fact "bring it on:" I love a flame fest.
     
    Nathan Detroit likes this.
  7. KewlJ

    KewlJ Well-Known Member

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    Look, I am not looking to get into another long drag out thing about whether I believe you or this or that. I am done with that. They serve me no purpose. And I have tried to be polite and respectful in this discussion so as not to turn it into that.

    But your claim so far is that you play different games, all negative expectation and break even or win a little bit (money you gave your wife) for a period of over 2 years while the casino has comped you rooms for the entirety of that time.

    Now playing a break even for comps is a form of advantage play. I know people that have done that and still do that. But just like someone that claims to win, you have to be able to explain how you are breaking even playing a negative expectation game or games for years. THAT is the part that defies math and I just don't accept "I have been lucky". A player can be "lucky' for a few sessions, days, weeks, not for years defying the gambling math.

    And inevitably during these types of discussions, the player always turns to money management as part of what allows they to defy the math. Money management simply can not overcome negative expectation long term.

    And so far when you have been pressed about a specific game, you have changed tunes and say "Well I am not really winning at blackjack or not really winning at baccarat, I am breaking even or losing some, but I am winning at this other game (tiles or sports betting)".

    And now you tell us your father is also a long-term winning baccarat player, overcoming all your mothers loses which you describe as plentiful. I guess this just being lucky runs in the family. Maybe you are the luckiest family on the face of the earth. I don't know. All I know it doesn't make sense to me, by the gambling math that I know.

    And I am not asking you to prove anything to me. I don't even want you to try to prove anything to me, because every time that occurs it opens up a whole bunch of new issues. And I just don't want to get into another big bru-haha over this stuff. Been there. Done that. It serves me no purpose.

    So I wish you well. Continue being the luckiest family on earth or whatever it is that you are doing to defy the math.

    Not specific to you or anyone else's claims but I can't help but wonder, if there is this whole "army" of baccarat players running around defying the odds and math and consistently winning at baccarat, why does the casino continue to offer the game? And why when the casino records are released is baccarat always one of the top casino money makers? Something doesn't jive?
     

  8. MrV

    MrV Well-Known Member

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    He says he's married, his wife works, he's a programmer and he brags that he has lived in casinos for the past two and a half years.

    Presumably they have a home somewhere, and I'd further assume his wife is there and just comes to see him for "vistitation" when she has to scratch her gamblin' jones.

    Uh-huh, sure.

    Sounds as fishy as douchedawg's claim of being a practicing attorney in California yet he always seems to be gambling in sin city.

    Firesign Theater said it best:

    firesign.jpg
     

    Attached Files:

  9. KewlJ

    KewlJ Well-Known Member

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    Let's talk about comped rooms. I suppose I am a bit out of touch with comped rooms because I don't use them much. Once in a while when some friends are coming to town I will get them comped rooms. I certainly have never tried to live in comped rooms for years or months.

    Now I know that comped rooms are easy to get. Las Vegas now and Atlantic City back in 2004-2009 when I played are very similar. Somewhat busy on weekends but really empty as far as rooms Sunday thru Thursday. It costs the casino almost nothing to give comped rooms. The difference between a room sitting empty and a comped room is housekeeping cost. And from what I hear Atlantic City isn't even THAT busy on weekends like they used to be back when I played there, so I am guessing it just doesn't take THAT much to get comped rooms even on weekends.

    But it has to require some play and if you are doing whatever amount that is EVERY day, you can't just claim to be lucky and break even or win longterm without explaining how you are defying that built in house advantage.

    And despite that it doesn't take much to get these comped rooms, If someone was doing whatever to breakeven, and getting these continuing comped rooms, I would think they wouldn't go broadcasting it on forums, especially posting coupons and such with their name on it. Even if the rooms aren't costing the casino much, do they really want to keep giving rooms to players they aren't making anything off of? THAT really isn't the casino model. ;)

    Now, Lousy Gambler, you stated that these comped rooms cost you $7+ a day in tax, or $200+ a month. Maybe you should move your whole operation to Las Vegas, because I believe comped rooms are completely comped here, no tax or resort fee, except maybe the lowest of rollers.
     
    Last edited: Aug 17, 2022
  10. baccarou

    baccarou Active Member

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    Hello KewlJ,

    I tend not to get involved in these type of threads because (A) I don't have a beef with any of you guys and (B) your arguments and disputes with each other are none of my business but your above part of your previous post got my attention.

    Let's be serious for a minute, there aren't an army of winning baccarat players running around anymore than there are an army of any other type of AP players running around in my opinion and If I am wrong, then so be it, but I seriously doubt it! The saying 'empty vessels make the most noise' springs to mind when I read some of the claims on these sites.

    What do I base that opinion on? Logic and common sense. You read all the time on these forums people saying it's better just to milk the casinos a little every other day. I say nonsense to that! Any AP player worth his salt would be looking for a few big hits and so then the question of getting the boot is a moot point. Who gives a f* what the casino think once you have their money!

    As an example here in the UK, we have several large sportsbooks or bookies who will mark your card very quickly if they suspect that you are any type of advantage player. This ranges from a small winning streak to also happening to get the best odds on a selection (win or lose) on a frequent basis. What happens is that you go to place your £50 bet on whatever you like and you are informed the risk analysts / traders have decided you can now only bet 0.27p on any of your selections! :D Imagine getting told you can have $2.50 on a hand of BJ, LOL. But some of the guys on here expect us to believe they have got away with it under the radar for 10-20 years milking the casinos. :rolleyes:

    We have an army of grinders who are at it for years eking out a living and we are to belief the casinos just roll over and take it. Maybe they are happy to rake it in on the slots or double zero / triple zero roulette instead! So why do the casinos continue to offer BJ if there are all these winning AP players, why not just end the game tomorrow? Because there aren't an army of winning BJ players, the same as they aren't an army of any type of winning table game players.

    Actually, you would think any type of play that was a winner at the baccarat tables would likely have a longer shelf life than a lot of the other games unless the casinos knew what they were specifically looking for.

    On a side note, you would think Winning players would be some of the happiest folk going around and yet reading some of these threads, nothing could be further from the truth.
     
  11. MDawg

    MDawg Well-Known Member

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    UNKewlJ read some books, came up with an online blackjack persona, and followed through with it here. He's never described a single actual hand of blackjack because he doesn't play much and lives online.

    accountinquestion on the UNKewl one: Literally, your story is something anyone who cares enough could figure out via books and reading the internet. While I find your stuff interesting to read, you've never said anything interesting except for some story you told me in private. I believed it but now I wonder if I wasn't just fed bullshit. At the time I thought you were a legitimate person and have taken things from that convo as true. I now believe this was a mistake.

    accountinquestion on the UNKewl one: You on the other hand are not that believable

    As Mission146 has said, between me and the UNKewl one: In fairness to MDawg, he has definitely proven more about himself than I understand you to have done.

    Mission146 on the UNKewl one: I'm just going to assume that everything you say vis-a-vis your personal life, both previously and ongoing, is probably a lie.
     
  12. Lousy Gambler

    Lousy Gambler Active Member

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    I wasn't sure if I should respond since you are making statements that aren't 100% accurate, i.e. you are saying I said this and I said that when I didn't or even saying I'm changing my story or not answering truthfully or whatever. You may have misinterpreted what I said probably because of your fixed belief that it's 100% impossible to win without some sort of edge, so there is no point talking about it any further as it's all a waste time since I cannot change your notion and I don't intend to waste time even trying it. Let's just say you are 99.99% right and that's that. If 1,000% makes you happier, then so be it.

    My posts are the longest of all on this forum and therefore you are most likely skimming through them and getting only bits and pieces of what I said and somehow it's translating incorrectly in your head, so it's my fault for making these long ass posts.

    No offense, but I always wondered why so many people are attacking you and I can see why now. You are making inaccurate statements when you shouldn't. I would think you have to be most observant person with very good memory skill to be a great blackjack player, but I'm beginning to think that maybe you aren't solely based on what you said in some of your posts because they aren't accurate. I'm probably wrong to assume that since your winning records over the years speak for themselves and there is no question that you are good at what you do. I was just hoping to see it in person but I wasted time trying.

    You are still a nice guy to engage in a conversation with me and I thank you for that.

    Your firm belief that without some sort of edge you just cannot beat the casino could be wrong since there has to be some people who are winning even without an edge (but I know you are probably saying absolutely not possible as reading this comment and that's okay). You think it's a zero chance mathematically so let it be as there is no way of convincing you otherwise. My guess is that you probably had a heated argument about that on some threads.

    IMHO, the statement you made in bold is being rather naïve since you are assuming things by saying that. Just because baccarat is the top casino money makers (when it really isn't as it's the slot that is the top money makers for casinos as far as I know unless you were referring to the table games only) you are assuming that no one really wins thus the voodoo thing that's been said. I know most do lose if not just about everyone as I rarely see people walking away with any type of winnings.

    But, you really don't think there are a handful of people even if it's just one person who could be killing it by doing whatever they are doing that could be a secret to everyone else? Ask Punkcity and see what he says about that. His claim is to have won nearly 700K in just 6 months. Isn't that at a ratio of like 10X of what you are winning in blackjack every year? I have no clue if his winnings have continued since 2019. I hope for his sakes that it has, but I wouldn't know since he hasn't talked about it.

    I think you need to lose the notion that without an edge, EVERYONE LOSES in the long term.

    I said I was going to post some of my sports betting tickets but haven't. Below is one from last fall and my wife took all of it including the original wager amounts, so that answers your doubt about me giving my wife cash last year and it wasn't from the casino winnings as I have clearly have stated in one of my replies to you which you could have missed it. Those two tickets side by side aren't duplicates. I make wagers so that the pick up amounts don't exceed 10K since if it did then they need my license to report the winnings.

    Below are my exact quotes.

    "How have I fared in those 2.5 years? I've lost some and won some, but in the last 1.5 years it's mostly up. It's not a lot but enough for me to give my wife 20K in cash (of which she lost 1/2 already) and bought a used car for another 11K. I still have a 20K bankroll with me at all times." <- I never said the winnings were from the casino plays but I can see how it could have been misinterpreted.

    But, I clarified it for you on another sentence.

    "I won those betting on sports. I fared quite well to be honest in sports betting."

    Below is the conversation thread where some of my posts were moved to and why in the world was it move to a thread called "kewlj-can-you-help-me-win-at-blackjack"? That was not my intention. I am fascinated by these card counting blackjack players where I never have met one. It amazes me that they can win consistently and I only wanted to watch one like yourself and perhaps ask some questions. I did ask if what you do could be taught, but I wasn't asking if you could teach me card counting as I can do that myself getting a book or whatever. I just wanted to know what things you could be doing that are unique to you to make yourself a consistent winner. But I'm not interested in any of that any more. I feel kind of foolish thinking all these years that it would be nice if I could meet an AP and watch them play. No more. I'm only interested in Punkcity now and baccarat whether it works out for me or not. Playing blackjack is too stressful for me to be honest.

    https://www.gamblingforums.com/threads/kewlj-can-you-help-me-win-at-blackjack.24419/

    Anyway, I digressed. I don't bet $1, $10, or $20 parlays with tons of picks hoping to get rich with a big payout. I cap what I think are the most logical teams who should win since my parlays of mostly ML and bet big. Just so there is no confusion, I will state that I lose just as many or even more as I win on my parlays, but since I'm getting from 2X to 7X on my parlays, I only need to win about 1 out of 3 or so to be very profitable. I don't play a lot of parlay; no more than 3 on a given weekend but mostly only 1 or 2.

    All I can tell you is that I win in sports betting and that's that. Casino gambling is more of a hobby if anything as my goal isn't to win a lot of money or making a living out of it like you are doing. Do I have an edge in sports betting? Yes I do and one of them is betting against the public as I do make single bets too. The last one was on Kansas when they beat Miami in NCAA tourney and I almost NEVER touch basketball except there was a poster on a sports betting forum who was on fire and I just tailed him here and there.

    Sorry for another long post, but it shouldn't be too boring to read.


    Winning_Tickets.jpg


    Kansas.jpg
     
    Last edited: Aug 17, 2022
  13. Lousy Gambler

    Lousy Gambler Active Member

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    If you think I was bragging, that's just your interpretation.

    There is an old saying that to “assume” makes an “ass out of you and me”, but in this case it's just you being an ass.

    I wasn't bragging since I'm not proud of having stayed in casinos for that long as people probably think I'm some type of degenerate gambler who doesn't know how to be an AP.

    It's just a statement of the fact that I made and nothing more and it was mainly because after having read Punkcity's thread, I realized that I had a golden opportunity to make something out of me staying in casinos everyday as I don't have to drive to play and I can just camp out at the baccarat tables to catch some crazy good trends. I could just walk down, look around, and start playing whenever I want. If nothing then I just go back to my room and waste time posting shit on this forum. Why I waste time posting on this forum, I have no clue. It's a mental disease.

    How anyone interprets of what I said about staying in casinos for so long is up to individuals and Punkcity was very civil about it and asked me and I answered him. You on the other hand just assumes that I'm bragging and posts another negative comment.

    This thread is full of poison. It may not be in the earlier pages but I'm guessing I'm right. So, I ASSUMED and I'm the ass this time.

    Since no one seems to believe anything I'm saying, I don't know if I should post proof that I have lived in casinos all this time as I have a record of all my hotel reservations in an Excel sheet going back to whenever it all started including a full month of stay in Vegas and Laughlin last August.

    Now, I'm sure at least you are thinking that I'm making the shit up if I post anything, but not so fast.

    There are reservation confirmation numbers on all of them if I posted them and you can easily verify with the casinos if they are under me or not since KewlJ knows my legal name. I know you aren't interested in that, but call me a liar and I will prove otherwise.

    I don't know about Borgata, Bally's, or Hard Rock, but CET at least allows you to go back pretty far in case you want to dispute something and I had plenty of disputes with all of the CET properties with them sneakily charging me resort fees and WIFI fees when they aren't supposed to as I'm at least the Diamond level player. Never got to be a Seven Star since I don't gamble enough or lose enough.
     
    Last edited: Aug 17, 2022
  14. MDawg

    MDawg Well-Known Member

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    You must understand that the UNKewl one just refers back to the books from which he concocted his online presence, when trying to decide what might or might not fly at the casinos. He has no idea and his actual casino play barely rates for a free hot dog.

    So when you tell him that you've been staying at the casinos fully comp'ed for extended periods and winning, he is thrown into a panic and starts shuffling through those books he read trying to figure out what he should say. Really, having never lived it the way you and I have, he has no idea.

     
    Last edited: Aug 17, 2022

  15. Lousy Gambler

    Lousy Gambler Active Member

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    Atlantic City (sort of), NJ
    I certainly have never tried to live in comped rooms for years or months. I live 1.5 hours from the AC casinos. It's a chore driving back and forth every weekend wasting gas and tolls; especially with the high gas price. It's just cheaper to stay in AC hotels continuously because no wasted utilities at home (electric, gas, and water) which I save from using much less as no one's home except for when my wife has to go home to work two weeks a month. The food cost is much less since I don't do much of grocery shopping except getting water, milk, and some snacks for the kids as the comp dollars cover a lot of the food we eat. So, I'm already ahead staying in casino hotels and that's my AP even with having to pay the daily mandatory fees. I cut off my cable TV at home except for phone (which I should cut off too since I have a cell phone) and WIFI and that alone saves me $100 a month. Just think about it for a moment, I have to pay the stupid ass mandatory fees in AC when you don't in Vegas. If you could stay in casinos forever, wouldn't you want to since you can gamble whenever you want any day of the year with no hassle of driving anywhere? I certainly would if I'm getting the comped rooms without losing. If I was losing, I wouldn't be here. I have a great wife as she leaves me alone no matter what I do whether I lose or not but since I'm not losing she's happy since she gets extra spending money whenever she comes back to AC as she just likes to spend. She stays with us 2 weeks a month because of her job and my goal is to be able to win enough so she can quit working. Whether that's possible or not, I have no clue.

    Now I know that comped rooms are easy to get. Las Vegas now and Atlantic City back in 2004-2009 when I played are very similar. Somewhat busy on weekends but really empty as far as rooms Sunday thru Thursday. It costs the casino almost nothing to give comped rooms. The difference between a room sitting empty and a comped room is housekeeping cost. Mostly correct as the weekends are still very hard to get during summer unless you lose a lot (in few thousands from what I can tell or play a long hours with high average bet amounts >=$100 which I do just enough to keep the comped rooms) and summer is tough even for weekdays. Some weekday rates especially Sundays are crazy high when there is a beach concert or the air show on 23rd (full practice) and 24th (live). Hard Rock is charging me $999 per night if I wanted their rooms, so they aren't even comping me on those two dates. I book my rooms months in advance, so I already booked comped rooms at Borgata for the air show days. They are now either sold out since they don't show a rate for one of the days and charging $600+ for the other night at Borgata for the air show dates. Below are my room rates for August and September at Hard Rock. You will see my name at the top right hand corner, so I'm not cutting and pasting from someone else's account. I'm already booked for every weekend at Hard Rock and Borgata for September. I use one of the rooms and my parents use the other.

    Getting rooms on weekdays is never an issue as long as you book way in advance.


    Hard_Rock_Rates.jpg
     

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    Last edited: Aug 18, 2022
  16. MrV

    MrV Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2016
    Likes:
    666
    Occupation:
    attorney at law (retired)
    Location:
    Portland, Oregon
    C'mon, man...

    You brag, I mean claim to have lived in AC casinos for 2 1/2 years straight, funding your lifestyle by following trends and winning at baccarat.

    Good grief, you're channeling John Patrick!

    Obviously you ARE a "degenerate gambler," just as you surmised: at least I give you points for self-awareness.

    But your invitation to KJ was just plain creepy.

    Don't let the Big, Bad Mr. V scare you off this forum: keep on posting.

    If nothing else it's probably therapeutic for you.
     
    Last edited: Aug 18, 2022
  17. Lousy Gambler

    Lousy Gambler Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2021
    Likes:
    25
    Occupation:
    Professional gambler
    Location:
    Atlantic City (sort of), NJ
    It's obvious that your reading comprehension isn't your strong suit.

    You like to assume a lot and that's really sad since you are just becoming bigger bigger ass. Maybe you are just senile?

    Shit, I'm violating this forum policies like crazy aren't I?

    Post a URL where I said that I'm funding my lifestyle by following trends and winning at baccarat?

    I will be waiting patiently you goof. Just go away and stop posting for a day will ya? I will be gone by then and you can come back and post more of your dribbles as much as you want. Oh, you are the one who said this is a free speech forum. I forgot. I'm so sorry [some expletive here].
     
  18. KewlJ

    KewlJ Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jun 22, 2015
    Likes:
    1,074
    Location:
    Las Vegas
    Oh boy, I feel like I am being sucked into this crap again. :rolleyes:

    Baccarou: If you read numerous forums along with all the youtube video, there seems to be a whole (pretty big) group of people claiming to win at baccarat. Hense my use of the term "army". And I have never seen a single person explain how they get a legitimate advantage to overcome the house edge. Yet, most are claiming some sort of long-term winnings play. And that is the key.....long-term.

    Now 20 years ago, just before I got started, there was similarly a large group of players, involved in card counting before most moved on to other opportunities with bigger edges. And likewise, this large group, claimed long-term wins. But the difference is card counters are doing something that gives them a long-term advantage.

    Lousy gambler: You are mis-characterizing my position by leaving out the phrase long-term. Can a player win playing -Ev over an hour? of course, several hours? Absolutely. Several day? happens all the time?. Weeks? months? becomes rarer. Years...playing every day. No.

    The best example of my position continues to be roulette. Can a player walk up to a roulette wheel, bet black and win 3 or 5 for 60% and a win? Of course. Can he bet win 30 of 50 spins for that same 60% win rate? yes? Could he win 3000 out of 5000 spins for that same 60% win rate. Less likely. Could he win 3,000,000 out of 5 000,000 spins for a 60% win rate. No.

    When you get to a big enough sample or trial size the math takes over. It is called the law of large numbers. You just can't be "lucky" forever. If you are going to win long-term, there has to be something that flips the math in your favor and allows for that.
     
    Last edited: Aug 18, 2022
  19. Lousy Gambler

    Lousy Gambler Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 8, 2021
    Likes:
    25
    Occupation:
    Professional gambler
    Location:
    Atlantic City (sort of), NJ
    Who the heck is John Patrick? Don't know him.
     
  20. MrV

    MrV Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Apr 8, 2016
    Likes:
    666
    Occupation:
    attorney at law (retired)
    Location:
    Portland, Oregon
    You claim that you've lived full time in a casino for 2 1/2 years, your house is in Philly or somewhere else 1 1/2 hours away, so it seems you'd be unable to work a day job at your place of employment which presumably is near your home; oh, and you are the one who talked about trends.

    Thanks for asking, now get bad to blowing your children's expected inheritance and neglecting your family you self-absorbed gamblin' man.
     
    Last edited: Aug 18, 2022

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